Southern Miss vs Troy

USMSouthern Miss

341-4 · 0-1 Sun Belt

FINAL

TROYTroy

553-2 · 1-0 Sun Belt

TROY −9.5 COVEROVER 51.5MODEL EDGE MISS

PREGAME WP TROY 66%→POSTGAME WE TROY 84%

Veterans Memorial Stadium · 21,933

Win probability · full game

TROY LOW 70% · Q1 14:53 · EXCITEMENT INDEX 2.5

Ranked by |win probability added|

1
Lovett 7-yd run
(14:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Lovett rush middle for 7 yards gain to the TROY31 (#5 N.Cairo)
Q1 14:22 · 2nd & 11 TROY 24 · +0.7 EPA
Q1 14:22 · 2nd & 11 TROY 24 · +0.7 EPA
+.05
2
Head 34-yd FG good
(04:37) #33 E.Head field goal attempt from 34 yards GOOD (H: #28 E.Crenshaw, LS: #52 C.Walls), clock 04:37
Q1 4:37 · 4th & Goal · 7–0 → 10–0 · +0.5 TROY EPA
Q1 4:37 · 7–0 → 10–0 · +0.5 TROY EPA
−.05
3
Henderson intercepts Lyddy
(04:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #18 L.Lyddy pass intercepted by #25 K.Henderson at TROY25 QB hurried by #6 J.Powe, End Of Play
Q2 4:49 · 1st & 10 TROY 20 · −5.0 USM EPA
Q2 4:49 · 1st & 10 TROY 20 · −5.0 USM EPA
+.05
4
Lyddy 2-yd TD to Sanders
(12:12) Shotgun #18 L.Lyddy pass complete short right to #1 M.Sanders caught at TROY00, for 2 yards to the TROY00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:09 #40 C.Wilbanks kick attempt good (H: #36 D.Zimmer, LS: #46 L.Beard)
Q2 12:12 · 4th & Goal · 17–0 → 17–7 · +3.2 EPA
Q2 12:12 · 17–0 → 17–7 · +3.2 EPA
−.05
5
Crowder 16-yd pass to Griffin
(09:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 G.Crowder pass complete short left to #0 G.Griffin caught at USM48, for 16 yards to the USM31 (#12 L.Robinson), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN
Q2 9:23 · 4th & 2 USM 47 · +3.4 EPA
Q2 9:23 · 4th & 2 USM 47 · +3.4 EPA
+.04

Total · game