Standings

16 teams · 9 conf games

SEC

16 teams · 9 conf games · Top 2 to Atlanta · Through wk 8

Title favorite

31%

Georgia

Cutline

7-2

in 73% of sims

Title game

Dec 5

Atlanta · ABC

Title favorite

31%Georgia

Likeliest title game

14%Georgia vs Tennessee

Cutline

7-2gets in 73% of sims

Tiebreaker needed

59%Tie at the cut

Standings

Odds from 10K sims · Tiebreakers applied

SEC standings
Seed	Team	Conference record	Tiebreaker that set the place	Overall record	Net EPA per playNet EPA per play and FBS rank	Net EPA rank (FBS)	havoc rating	Strength of schedule left (rank)	Projected conference record	Title game odds	Conference title odds	Playoff odds	Playoff outlook now	Playoff outlook in the sims
1	Georgia, AP 5, now in, sims bubble	4-1	COM	6-1	+0.317	7	+17.1	29	6.8–2.3	52%	31%CFP68%	68%	in	bubble
2	Kentucky, AP 12, now in, sims long shot	4-1	COM	6-1	+0.1037	37	+5.3	5	5.8–3.2	18%	5%CFP3%	3%	in	long shot
Title game line						Title game line						Title game line			Title game line	Title game line
3	Ole Miss, AP 7, now in, sims long shot	3-1	OPP%	5-1	+0.2014	14	+12.6	42	6.0–3.0	32%	16%CFP28%	28%	in	long shot
4	Tennessee, AP 11, now in, sims long shot	3-1	OPP%	6-1	+0.1916	16	+11.5	26	6.1–2.9	31%	13%CFP27%	27%	in	long shot
5	Alabama, AP 13, now bubble, sims bubble	3-2	COM	5-2	+0.316	6	+17.9	17	5.9–3.1	22%	13%CFP53%	53%	bubble	bubble
6	Florida, AP 20, now bubble, sims long shot	3-2	COM	5-2	+0.1426	26	+8.5	32	5.3–3.8	11%	4%CFP3%	3%	bubble	long shot
7	LSU, AP 18, now bubble, sims bubble	2-2	COM	5-2	+0.343	3	+16.8	10	5.5–3.5	17%	10%CFP34%	34%	bubble	bubble
8	Missouri, AP 22, now bubble, sims long shot	2-2	COM	5-2	+0.1723	23	+9.8	24	4.9–4.1	8%	4%CFP5%	5%	bubble	long shot
9	Auburn, now bubble, sims long shot	2-2	OPP%	4-2	+0.1038	38	+6.8	45	4.0–5.0	2%	<1%CFP<1%	<1%	bubble	long shot
10	Mississippi State, now bubble, sims long shot	2-2	OPP%	4-2	+0.1427	27	+6.9	19	4.5–4.5	2%	<1%CFP1%	1%	bubble	long shot
11	Oklahoma, now needs title, sims long shot	1-2	H2H	3-3	+0.0455	55	+4.7	15	3.5–5.5	1%	<1%CFP<1%	<1%	needs title	long shot
12	Texas, AP 19, now bubble, sims long shot	1-2	H2H	4-2	+0.1719	19	+11.2	21	4.4–4.6	4%	2%CFP4%	4%	bubble	long shot
13	South Carolina, now needs title, sims out	1-3	OPP%	3-3	+0.0744	44	+4.1	36	3.2–5.8	<1%	<1%CFP0%	0%	needs title	out
14	Texas A&M, now needs title, sims long shot	1-3	H2H	4-3	+0.0262	62	+6.1	16	3.0–6.0	<1%	<1%CFP<1%	<1%	needs title	long shot
15	Arkansas, now out, sims out	1-3	H2H	3-4	−0.12103	103	−3.8	4	2.0–7.0	0%	0%CFP0%	0%	out	out
16	Vanderbilt, now out, sims out	0-4		3-4	−0.1098	98	−1.8	2	1.1–7.9	0%	0%CFP0%	0%	out	out

Odds from 10K sims

Playoff outlook

nowby losses: 0 lock · 1 in · 2 bubble

lock≥95likely≥70bubble≥30long shot>0

3+ losses: needs title · sims: CFP % of 10K sims

NowBy losses so far · Power 4: 0 lock · 1 in · 2 bubble · 3+ needs title (top-5 champ) or out

Sims

lock≥95%likely≥70%bubble≥30%long shot>0%outnever in the field · CFP % of 10K sims, 12-team format

Atlanta matchups

Dec 5 · ABC

Georgia – Tennessee14%

Georgia – Alabama9%

Georgia – Ole Miss8%

Georgia – Kentucky8%

72 other pairings61%

Leverage this week

CCG odds · win / loseCCG if win / lose

Tennessee at South CarolinaTENN 43% / 10% · SAT 3:30 ESPN

±33

Ole Miss at TexasMISS 49% / 17% · SAT 7:30 ABC

±32

Texas A&M at AlabamaALA 26% / 4% · SAT 3:30 ABC

±22

Tiebreak order

SEC 2026 (havoc sims-s2)

H2HHead-to-head among the tied teams (3+ teams: combined record when all have met, else a team that beat or lost to all the others)

COMRecord vs common conference opponents

COMRecord vs common opponents from the top of the standings down (tied opponents as a group)

Show all 6 rules

OPP%Combined conference win % of all conference opponents

RTGhavoc rating (stands in for the conference's analytics / ranking step)

RANDDraw / coin toss (the table falls back to school name)

Steps in order; once a step separates a team, the rest start again at step 1. Approximations: common opponents from the top are ordered by conference win %, not tiebroken place; the havoc rating stands in for every analytics / ranking step. rtg stands in for capped relative scoring margin (SportSource).