Standings
16 teams · 9 conf games
Big 12
16 teams · 9 conf games · Top 2 to Arlington · Through wk 8
Title favorite
39%
BYU
Cutline
8-1
in 88% of sims
Title game
Dec 4
Arlington · ABC
Title favorite
39%BYU
Likeliest title game
29%BYU vs Texas Tech
Cutline
8-1gets in 88% of sims
Tiebreaker needed
47%Tie at the cut
Standings
Odds from 10K sims · Tiebreakers appliedSeed | Team | Conference record | Tiebreaker that set the place | Overall record | Net EPA per playNet EPA per play and FBS rank | Net EPA rank (FBS) | havoc rating | Strength of schedule left (rank) | Projected conference record | Title game odds | Conference title odds | Playoff odds | Playoff outlook now | Playoff outlook in the sims | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |   Texas Tech, AP 8, now lock, sims bubble | 3-0 | OPP% | 6-0 | +0.1721 | 21 | +13.0 | 49 | 7.4–1.6 | 54% | 25%CFP67% | 67% | lock | bubble | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2 |   BYU, AP 2, now lock, sims likely | 3-0 | OPP% | 6-0 | +0.324 | 4 | +16.5 | 47 | 7.6–1.4 | 65% | 39%CFP85% | 85% | lock | likely | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Title game line | Title game line | Title game line | Title game line | Title game line | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 3 |   Utah, AP 10, now lock, sims bubble | 3-0 | OPP% | 6-0 | +0.2313 | 13 | +13.3 | 30 | 6.9–2.1 | 39% | 19%CFP57% | 57% | lock | bubble | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 4 |   Houston, AP 14, now in, sims bubble | 3-1 | 6-1 | +0.2512 | 12 | +11.4 | 64 | 6.5–2.5 | 23% | 10%CFP36% | 36% | in | bubble | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 5 |   Arizona, AP 25, now in, sims long shot | 2-1 | OPP% | 5-1 | +0.1817 | 17 | +10.0 | 25 | 5.7–3.3 | 14% | 5%CFP15% | 15% | in | long shot | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 6 |   Baylor, now bubble, sims long shot | 2-1 | OPP% | 4-2 | +0.0745 | 45 | +5.0 | 9 | 4.5–4.5 | 2% | <1%CFP<1% | <1% | bubble | long shot | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 |   Oklahoma State, now bubble, sims long shot | 2-1 | OPP% | 4-2 | +0.1040 | 40 | +1.7 | 51 | 4.8–4.2 | 2% | <1%CFP<1% | <1% | bubble | long shot | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 8 |   Cincinnati, now bubble, sims long shot | 1-2 | OPP% | 4-2 | +0.0066 | 66 | +1.4 | 13 | 2.9–6.1 | <1% | <1%CFP<1% | <1% | bubble | long shot | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 9 |   TCU, now needs title, sims long shot | 1-2 | RTG | 3-3 | +0.0941 | 41 | +6.2 | 14 | 4.1–4.9 | 1% | <1%CFP<1% | <1% | needs title | long shot | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 10 |   Iowa State, now needs title, sims long shot | 1-2 | RTG | 3-3 | −0.0067 | 67 | +1.9 | 55 | 3.7–5.3 | <1% | <1%CFP<1% | <1% | needs title | long shot | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 11 |   Arizona State, now out, sims out | 1-2 | OPP% | 3-3 | −0.0790 | 90 | −2.3 | 28 | 2.9–6.1 | <1% | 0%CFP0% | 0% | out | out | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 12 |   UCF, now needs title, sims long shot | 1-2 | OPP% | 3-3 | +0.0746 | 46 | +3.2 | 60 | 4.1–4.9 | <1% | <1%CFP<1% | <1% | needs title | long shot | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 13 |   Kansas State, now bubble, sims long shot | 1-2 | OPP% | 4-2 | +0.0356 | 56 | +3.3 | 43 | 3.9–5.1 | <1% | <1%CFP<1% | <1% | bubble | long shot | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 14 |   West Virginia, now out, sims out | 1-3 | 4-3 | −0.0994 | 94 | −4.4 | 3 | 1.9–7.1 | 0% | 0%CFP0% | 0% | out | out | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 15 |   Colorado, now out, sims out | 0-3 | OPP% | 2-4 | +0.0263 | 63 | +0.2 | 52 | 2.5–6.5 | <1% | 0%CFP0% | 0% | out | out | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 16 |   Kansas, now out, sims out | 0-3 | OPP% | 2-4 | +0.0260 | 60 | +1.7 | 41 | 2.6–6.4 | 0% | 0%CFP0% | 0% | out | out | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Odds from 10K sims
Playoff outlook
nowby losses: 0 lock · 1 in · 2 bubble
lock≥95likely≥70bubble≥30long shot>0
3+ losses: needs title · sims: CFP % of 10K sims
NowBy losses so far · Power 4: 0 lock · 1 in · 2 bubble · 3+ needs title (top-5 champ) or out
Sims
lock≥95%likely≥70%bubble≥30%long shot>0%outnever in the field · CFP % of 10K sims, 12-team format