Big 12 · 3-3 · 1-2 CONF · ATS 2-4 · O/U 4-2
Arizona State Sun Devils
HC Kenny Dillingham (4th yr) · OC Marcus Arroyo · DC Brian Ward
STARTS IN 11 PERSONNEL (3 OF 4) · BASE D 4-2-5 · SHOTGUN 94%
Big 12 · 3-3 · 1-2 CONF · ATS 2-4 · O/U 4-2
Arizona State
Sun Devils · HC Kenny Dillingham (4th yr) · starts in 11 (3 of 4) · base D 4-2-5
Arizona State
3-3 · 1-2 Big 12
3 losses now · CFP 0% in sims · CCG 0% · title 0%
Latest from the beat
ARIZONA STATE · LAST 72 HLAST 72 H
All coverage →No verified updates in the last 72 hours.
Schedule & resultsSchedule
POSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS · FUTURE ROWS SHOW PREGAME WPCLOSING LINES · FUTURE ROWS SHOW PROJECTED LINEFUTURE LINES PROJECTED
Wk | Opponent | Result | Line | ATS | Net EPA | Off SR | Def SR | Win prob | Plays | s/play | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Morgan StateMorgan State | W70–7 | −44.5−44.5 | W | +1.19 | 71% | 31% | 100% | 71 | 28.0 | |
| 2 |   at Texas A&Mat Texas A&M | L20–48 | +15.5+15.5 | L | −0.14 | 36% | 38% | 10% | 62 | 27.8 | |
| 3 |   vs Kansas · Londonvs Kansas | W24–17 | −5.5−5.5 | W | +0.04 | 33% | 38% | 61% | 63 | 27.0 | |
| 4 | BYE | ||||||||||
| 5 |   BaylorBaylor | L19–55 | −3.5−3.5 | L | −0.56 | 39% | 43% | 4% | 74 | 24.5 | |
| 6 |   Hawai'iHawai'i | W30–12 | −20.5−20.5 | L | +0.38 | 55% | 39% | 87% | 60 | 28.5 | |
| 7 |   at Texas Techat Texas Tech | L25–53 | +16.5+16.5 | L | −0.74 | 31% | 56% | 7% | 72 | 28.7 | |
| 8 |   Kansas StateKansas StateNEXT | SAT 3:45 ESPN2SAT 3:45 | +1.5+1.5 | — | — | — | — | 42% | 137 | — | |
| 9 |   at BYUat BYU | OCT 31OCT 31 | +21.5 proj+21.5 | 10% | |||||||
| 10 |   ColoradoColorado | NOV 7NOV 7 | +0.2 proj+0.2 | 49% | |||||||
| 11 |   at UCFat UCF | NOV 14NOV 14 | +8.1 proj+8.1 | 31% | |||||||
| 12 |   Oklahoma StateOklahoma State | NOV 21NOV 21 | +1.7 proj+1.7 | 46% | |||||||
| 13 |   at Arizonaat Arizona | NOV 28NOV 28 | +15.4 proj+15.4 | 17% |
Success rate by down & distance
Formation & personnelFormation
PBP TAGS · 311 OF 312 PLAYS311 OF 312 PLAYS TAGGED
LookLook · usage | Usage | Pass %Pass | EPA/playEPA | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shotgun94% | 94% | 52% | +0.04 | 44% |
| Under center6% | 6% | 44% | +0.33 | 33% |
| No-huddle89% | 89% | 53% | +0.06 | 44% |
| Huddle11% | 11% | 43% | −0.02 | 40% |
In shotgun on 94 % of tagged snaps, passing 52 % of the time (+0.04 EPA a play; +0.33 under center). No-huddle on 89 %. Starts in 11 personnel in 3 of 4 games. Base defense 4-2-5 (4 of 4).
Next game
SAT 3:45 ESPN2 · MOUNTAIN AMERICA STADIUMSAT 3:45 ESPN2
TOP INJURY · OFFICIAL REPORT
% to play = 1 − P(out) · expected return not reported
Refs
JUDGMENT FLAGS OVER EXPECTED · 2026FLAGS OVER EXPECTED / G · 2026
Crews from | FOE / G | 90% range | Games | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Big 12 crews−0.4 to +0.5 · 23 games | +0.1 | −0.4 to +0.5 | 23 | NOISE |
| Pac-12 crews−0.5 to +0.5 · 15 games | 0.0 | −0.5 to +0.5 | 15 | NOISE |
| Big Ten crews— · 2 games | −1.4 | — | 2 | NOISE |
| SEC crews— · 1 game | +0.6 | — | 1 | NOISE |
| Sun Belt crews— · 1 game | −1.1 | — | 1 | NOISE |
+ = more judgment flags on Arizona State than expected · 2026 only: crews known for 5 of 7 games · no lean before 8 gamesJudgment flags only, 2026 · crews known for 5 of 7 games · + = more on Arizona State than expected · no lean before 8 games
Key players
Unit statsEfficiency
OPP-ADJUSTED · RANK OF 138 FBSFBS RANK · OPP-ADJUSTED
MetricStat | Arizona StateASU | RankRK | FBS avgVS FBS |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPA / play | +0.01 | 96th | +0.06 |
| Success rate | 42.6% | 57th | 42.3% |
| Explosiveness | 1.31 | 51st | 1.30 |
| Rush EPA / play | +0.08 | 61st | +0.07 |
| Pass EPA / play | +0.06 | 96th | +0.11 |
| Passing downs SR | 32.8% | 34th | 31.1% |
| Line yards | 3.24 | 65th | 3.21 |
| Sack rate allowed | 4.9% | 68th | 5.3% |
| 3rd-down conversion | 31% | 130th | 41% |
| Points / opportunity | 4.00 | 87th | 4.27 |
| Red zone TD rate | 54% | 108th | 63% |
| Seconds / play | 27.9 | 68th | 28.0 |