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FINAL · FS1 · MOUNTAIN AMERICA STADIUM
HAWHawai'i
121-5 · 0-3 Mountain West
12
FINAL
ASUArizona State
303-2 · 1-1 Big 12
30
HAW +20.5 COVERUNDER 51.5MODEL EDGE HIT
PREGAME WP ASU 77%→POSTGAME WE ASU 87%
Mountain America Stadium · 47,931
Postgame WE
87%ASU · 10k sims
How often this box score wins
Offense EPA / play
+0.20HAW −0.18
Success rate
55%HAW 39%
Turnovers
0–1≈ 4.5 pts swing
vs model
+18proj ASU by 11.9
Plays · pace
132proj 138 · 27.3s

Win probability · full game

ASU LOW 86% · Q2 14:14 · EXCITEMENT INDEX 3.2

Plays that decided it

Ranked by |win probability added|
  1. 1Arizona State
    Hugo sacks Alejado, −12
    (12:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 M.Alejado sacked for loss of 12 yards to the ASU33 (#98 J.Hugo)
    Q2 12:20 · 3rd & Goal ASU 21 · −2.5 HAW EPA
    Q2 12:20 · 3rd & Goal ASU 21 · −2.5 HAW EPA
    +.05
  2. 2Hawai'i
    Alejado 47-yd pass to Alves
    (14:55) Shotgun #12 M.Alejado pass complete deep middle to #11 D.Alves caught at ASU35, for 47 yards to the ASU28 (#1 A.Stamps), 1ST DOWN
    Q1 14:55 · 1st & 10 HAW 25 · +3.7 EPA
    Q1 14:55 · 1st & 10 HAW 25 · +3.7 EPA
    −.05
  3. 3Arizona State
    False Start on HAW
    PENALTY HAW False Start (#9 D.Tauaefa) 5 yards from ASU02 to ASU07. NO PLAY
    Q2 13:49 · 1st & Goal ASU 2 · −0.7 HAW EPA
    Q2 13:49 · 1st & Goal ASU 2 · −0.7 HAW EPA
    +.03
  4. 4Arizona State
    Mack 1-yd TD run
    (09:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 C.Mack rush right for 1 yard gain to the HAW00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 09:56 #32 C.Smith kick attempt good (H: #31 K.Floyd, LS: #43 G.Curtis)
    Q2 9:59 · 3rd & Goal · 7–3 → 14–3 · +1.2 EPA
    Q2 9:59 · 7–3 → 14–3 · +1.2 EPA
    +.03
  5. 5Arizona State
    Mack 67-yd TD run
    (01:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 C.Mack rush middle for 67 yards gain to the HAW00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:51, 1ST DOWN #32 C.Smith kick attempt good (H: #31 K.Floyd, LS: #43 G.Curtis)
    Q3 1:01 · 1st & 10 · 17–6 → 24–6 · +5.3 EPA
    Q3 1:01 · 17–6 → 24–6 · +5.3 EPA
    +.02

Player EPA

Total · game
Full box scoreAll 132 plays