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2026 · THROUGH WK 8

Big 12 · 4-3 · 1-3 CONF · ATS 3-3 · O/U 7-0

West Virginia Mountaineers

HC Rich Rodriguez (2nd yr) · OC — · DC Zac Alley

STARTS IN 11 PERSONNEL (6 OF 7) · BASE D 4-2-5 · SHOTGUN 99%

Power rating−4.496th
CFP odds0%—
PLAYOFFOUT→OUT
Proj. wins4.9of 12
Fan pulse—25 of 30 scored

Big 12 · 4-3 · 1-3 CONF · ATS 3-3 · O/U 7-0

West Virginia

Mountaineers · HC Rich Rodriguez (2nd yr) · starts in 11 (6 of 7) · base D 4-2-5

Power rating−4.496th
CFP odds · outlook0%—OUT→OUT
Proj. wins4.9of 12
Fan pulse—25 of 30 scored

West Virginia

4-3 · 1-3 Big 12

POWER RATING−4.496th in FBS
CFP ODDS0%no change
PROJ. WINS4.9of 12 games
PLAYOFF OUTLOOKOUT→OUT

3 losses now · CFP 0% in sims · CCG 0% · title 0%

FAN PULSE—25 of 30 scored

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Latest from the beat

WEST VIRGINIA · LAST 72 HLAST 72 H

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No verified updates in the last 72 hours.

Schedule & resultsSchedule

POSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS · FUTURE ROWS SHOW PREGAME WPCLOSING LINES · FUTURE ROWS SHOW PROJECTED LINEFUTURE LINES PROJECTED

West Virginia schedule and results
Wk
Opponent
Result
Line
ATS
Net EPA
Off SR
Def SR
Win prob
Plays
s/play
1Coastal CarolinaCoastal CarolinaW31–24−21−21L+0.0941%41%65%7325.0
2UT MartinUT MartinW52–7−41.5−41.5W+0.8161%41%97%6325.1
3vs Virginia · Charlottevs VirginiaW38–27+11+11W+0.2242%40%76%6724.9
4Oklahoma StateOklahoma StateL24–41−1.5−1.5L−0.3645%60%16%8821.8
5at Iowa Stateat Iowa StateL42–45+3+3P+0.0143%51%35%6321.3
6ArizonaArizonaL31–52+3.5+3.5L−0.4938%49%13%10422.1
7CincinnatiCincinnatiW45–42−1.5−1.5W−0.1246%53%56%7922.2
8at TCUat TCUNEXTSAT 12:00 ESPN2SAT 12:00+10.5+10.5————19%142—
9BYE
10at Texas Techat Texas TechNOV 7NOV 7+22.2 proj+22.29%
11KansasKansasNOV 14NOV 14+4.6 proj+4.639%
12HoustonHoustonNOV 21NOV 21+16 proj+1617%
13at Utahat UtahNOV 27NOV 27+23.1 proj+23.18%

Success rate by down & distance

1st67%n 650%n 643%n 19725%n 4
2nd46%n 2853%n 4332%n 7738%n 21
3rd75%n 2845%n 2940%n 308%n 13
4th70%n 100%n 10%n 20%n 2

Formation & personnelFormation

PBP TAGS · 496 OF 497 PLAYS496 OF 497 PLAYS TAGGED

Formation splits
LookLook · usage
Usage
Pass %Pass
EPA/playEPA
SR
Shotgun99%99%31%+0.2143%
Under center1%1%0%−1.6433%
No-huddle99%99%31%+0.2143%
Huddle1%1%17%−0.5533%
StartersSTARTERS
116 of 7 games201 of 7BASE D4-2-53 of 7
116 of 74-2-5base D · 3 of 7

In shotgun on 99 % of tagged snaps, passing 31 % of the time (+0.21 EPA a play; −1.64 under center). No-huddle on 99 %. Starts in 11 personnel in 6 of 7 games. Base defense 4-2-5 (3 of 7).

Next game

SAT 12:00 ESPN2 · AMON G. CARTER STADIUMSAT 12:00 ESPN2

at TCULINE+10.5MODEL+14.7WP19%

TOP INJURY · OFFICIAL REPORT

O
Corey McIntyre Jr.DL · JR
DL · top injury
NEXT UPK. Henson
0%TO PLAY
−0.5IMPACT PTS

% to play = 1 − P(out) · expected return not reported

LINE · MODEL · WPIMPACT −0.5 PTS

Refs

JUDGMENT FLAGS OVER EXPECTED · 2026FLAGS OVER EXPECTED / G · 2026

Judgment flags over expected by crew conference
Crews from
FOE / G
90% range
Games
Read
Big 12 crews−0.5 to +0.3 · 50 games−0.1−0.5 to +0.350NOISE
ACC crews— · 2 games+0.8—2NOISE
Big Ten crews— · 2 games+2.6—2NOISE
Sun Belt crews— · 2 games+0.4—2NOISE
FRIENDLIEST CREWFRIENDLIESTKevin Boitmann−1.8 / g · 4 games · noise−1.8 / g · 4 g · noise
TOUGHEST CREWTOUGHESTMichael VanderVelde+1.9 / g · 7 games · noise+1.9 / g · 7 g · noise

+ = more judgment flags on West Virginia than expected · 2026 only: crews known for 7 of 8 games · no lean before 8 gamesJudgment flags only, 2026 · crews known for 7 of 8 games · + = more on West Virginia than expected · no lean before 8 games

Key players

Unit statsEfficiency

OPP-ADJUSTED · RANK OF 138 FBSFBS RANK · OPP-ADJUSTED

West Virginia offense statistics
MetricStat
West VirginiaWVU
RankRK
FBS avgVS FBS
EPA / play+0.1243rd+0.06
Success rate41.6%73rd42.3%
Explosiveness1.407th1.30
Rush EPA / play+0.1427th+0.07
Pass EPA / play+0.1938th+0.11
Passing downs SR32.1%47th31.1%
Line yards3.1782nd3.21
Sack rate allowed7.2%106th5.3%
3rd-down conversion48%26th41%
Points / opportunity4.8041st4.27
Red zone TD rate69%46th63%
Seconds / play22.84th28.0