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FINAL · TNT · MILAN PUSKAR STADIUM
CINCincinnati
424-2 · 1-2 Big 12
42
FINAL
WVUWest Virginia
454-3 · 1-3 Big 12
45
WVU −1.5 COVEROVER 64.5MODEL EDGE MISS
PREGAME WP WVU 45%→POSTGAME WE WVU 56%
Milan Puskar Stadium · 48,106
Postgame WE
56%WVU · 10k sims
How often this box score wins
Offense EPA / play
+0.35CIN +0.47
Success rate
46%CIN 53%
Turnovers
0–0
vs model
−3proj CIN by 2.0
Plays · pace
149proj 140 · 24.2s

Win probability · full game

WVU LOW 13% · Q4 5:08 · EXCITEMENT INDEX 9.6

Plays that decided it

Ranked by |win probability added|
  1. 1West Virginia
    Hawkins 41-yd pass to Strachan
    (01:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 M.Hawkins Jr. pass complete deep left to #17 P.Strachan caught at WVU43, for 41 yards to the WVU43 (#0 J.Finley), 1ST DOWN
    Q4 1:53 · 3rd & 9 WVU 2 · +3.2 EPA
    Q4 1:53 · 3rd & 9 WVU 2 · +3.2 EPA
    +.38
  2. 2West Virginia
    Cassidy 35-yd FG good
    Jack Cassidy 35 Yd Field Goal
    Q4 0:00 · 3rd & 9 · 42–42 → 45–42 · +1.3 EPA
    Q4 0:00 · 42–42 → 45–42 · +1.3 EPA
    +.25
  3. 3West Virginia
    Latimer 3-yd TD run
    (07:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 A.Latimer rush middle for 3 yards gain to the CIN00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:29 #42 J.Cassidy kick attempt good (H: #83 B.Hansen, LS: #38 M.Moss)
    Q4 7:29 · 1st & Goal · 28–35 → 35–35 · +1.3 EPA
    Q4 7:29 · 28–35 → 35–35 · +1.3 EPA
    +.24
  4. 4Cincinnati
    French 59-yd pass to Henry
    (06:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.French IV pass complete deep left to #9 M.Henry caught at WVU35, for 59 yards to the WVU13 (#29 K.Reddic), 1ST DOWN
    Q4 6:55 · 3rd & 7 CIN 28 · +5.1 EPA
    Q4 6:55 · 3rd & 7 CIN 28 · +5.1 EPA
    −.22
  5. 5West Virginia
    Hawkins 40-yd TD to Cook
    (03:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 M.Hawkins Jr. pass complete short left to #4 C.Cook caught at CIN44, for 40 yards to the CIN00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:44, 1ST DOWN #42 J.Cassidy kick attempt good (H: #83 B.Hansen, LS: #38 M.Moss)
    Q4 3:52 · 2nd & 11 · 35–42 → 42–42 · +4.7 EPA
    Q4 3:52 · 35–42 → 42–42 · +4.7 EPA
    +.20

Player EPA

Total · game