Big 12 · 3-3 · 1-2 CONF · ATS 4-2 · O/U 3-3
UCF Knights
HC Scott Frost (2nd yr) · OC Steve Cooper · DC Alex Grinch
STARTS IN 11 PERSONNEL (3 OF 4) · BASE D 4-2-5 · SHOTGUN 97%
Big 12 · 3-3 · 1-2 CONF · ATS 4-2 · O/U 3-3
UCF
Knights · HC Scott Frost (2nd yr) · starts in 11 (3 of 4) · base D 4-2-5
UCF
3-3 · 1-2 Big 12
3 losses now · CFP 0% in sims · CCG 1% · title 0%
Latest from the beat
UCF · LAST 72 HLAST 72 H
All coverage →No verified updates in the last 72 hours.
Schedule & resultsSchedule
POSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS · FUTURE ROWS SHOW PREGAME WPCLOSING LINES · FUTURE ROWS SHOW PROJECTED LINEFUTURE LINES PROJECTED
Wk | Opponent | Result | Line | ATS | Net EPA | Off SR | Def SR | Win prob | Plays | s/play | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |   Bethune-CookmanBethune-Cookman | W73–6 | −43.5−43.5 | W | +1.20 | 59% | 18% | 100% | 60 | 31.2 | |
| 2 |   at Pittsburghat Pittsburgh | L7–12 | +7.5+7.5 | W | −0.27 | 29% | 38% | 39% | 52 | 25.9 | |
| 3 |   Georgia StateGeorgia State | W44–30 | −17.5−17.5 | L | +0.20 | 42% | 38% | 86% | 57 | 29.5 | |
| 4 |   TCUTCU | W21–13 | +3.5+3.5 | W | +0.05 | 43% | 37% | 70% | 54 | 31.0 | |
| 5 |   at Houstonat Houston | L17–27 | +10.5+10.5 | W | −0.21 | 29% | 50% | 19% | 59 | 28.6 | |
| 6 |   at Oklahoma Stateat Oklahoma State | L28–42 | +10.5+10.5 | L | −0.21 | 43% | 53% | 21% | 83 | 25.8 | |
| 7 | BYE | ||||||||||
| 8 |   BYUBYUNEXT | SAT 3:30 FOXSAT 3:30 | +7.5+7.5 | — | — | — | — | 27% | 121 | — | |
| 9 |   BaylorBaylor | OCT 30OCT 30 | −0.7 proj−0.7 | 52% | |||||||
| 10 |   at Kansasat Kansas | NOV 7NOV 7 | +0.9 proj+0.9 | 48% | |||||||
| 11 |   Arizona StateArizona State | NOV 14NOV 14 | −8.1 proj−8.1 | 69% | |||||||
| 12 |   Iowa StateIowa State | NOV 20NOV 20 | −3.8 proj−3.8 | 59% | |||||||
| 13 |   at Coloradoat Colorado | NOV 28NOV 28 | −0.6 proj−0.6 | 51% |
Success rate by down & distance
Formation & personnelFormation
PBP TAGS · 334 OF 337 PLAYS334 OF 337 PLAYS TAGGED
LookLook · usage | Usage | Pass %Pass | EPA/playEPA | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shotgun97% | 97% | 51% | +0.01 | 39% |
| Under center3% | 3% | 22% | −0.20 | 56% |
| No-huddle61% | 61% | 44% | −0.02 | 39% |
| Huddle39% | 39% | 60% | +0.04 | 40% |
In shotgun on 97 % of tagged snaps, passing 51 % of the time (+0.01 EPA a play; −0.20 under center). No-huddle on 61 %. Starts in 11 personnel in 3 of 4 games. Base defense 4-2-5 (4 of 4).
Next game
SAT 3:30 FOX · FBC MORTGAGE STADIUMSAT 3:30 FOX
TOP INJURY · OFFICIAL REPORT
% to play = 1 − P(out) · expected return not reported
Refs
JUDGMENT FLAGS OVER EXPECTED · 2026FLAGS OVER EXPECTED / G · 2026
Crews from | FOE / G | 90% range | Games | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Big 12 crews−0.4 to +0.5 · 31 games | 0.0 | −0.4 to +0.5 | 31 | NOISE |
| American crews−0.7 to +0.4 · 9 games | −0.2 | −0.7 to +0.4 | 9 | NOISE |
| ACC crews— · 2 games | +1.6 | — | 2 | NOISE |
| C-USA crews— · 1 game | −1.5 | — | 1 | NOISE |
| SEC crews— · 1 game | +0.2 | — | 1 | NOISE |
+ = more judgment flags on UCF than expected · 2026 only: crews known for 6 of 7 games · no lean before 8 gamesJudgment flags only, 2026 · crews known for 6 of 7 games · + = more on UCF than expected · no lean before 8 games
Key players
Unit statsEfficiency
OPP-ADJUSTED · RANK OF 138 FBSFBS RANK · OPP-ADJUSTED
MetricStat | UCFUCF | RankRK | FBS avgVS FBS |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPA / play | +0.03 | 82nd | +0.06 |
| Success rate | 41.2% | 77th | 42.3% |
| Explosiveness | 1.29 | 75th | 1.30 |
| Rush EPA / play | +0.06 | 75th | +0.07 |
| Pass EPA / play | +0.11 | 72nd | +0.11 |
| Passing downs SR | 31.8% | 51st | 31.1% |
| Line yards | 2.91 | 114th | 3.21 |
| Sack rate allowed | 4.1% | 49th | 5.3% |
| 3rd-down conversion | 34% | 110th | 41% |
| Points / opportunity | 5.69 | 3rd | 4.27 |
| Red zone TD rate | 75% | 15th | 63% |
| Seconds / play | 27.7 | 61st | 28.0 |