Big 12 · 3-3 · 1-2 CONF · ATS 4-2 · O/U 3-3
UCF Knights
HC Scott Frost (2nd yr) · OC Steve Cooper · DC Alex Grinch
STARTS IN 11 PERSONNEL (3 OF 4) · BASE D 4-2-5 · SHOTGUN 97%
Power rating3.350th
CFP odds0%—
PLAYOFFNEEDS TITLE→LONG SHOT
Proj. wins6.1of 12
Fan pulse—2 of 30 scored
Big 12 · 3-3 · 1-2 CONF · ATS 4-2 · O/U 3-3
UCF
Knights · HC Scott Frost (2nd yr) · starts in 11 (3 of 4) · base D 4-2-5
Power rating3.350th
CFP odds · outlook0%—NEEDS TITLE→LONG SHOT
Proj. wins6.1of 12
Fan pulse—2 of 30 scored
UCF
3-3 · 1-2 Big 12
POWER RATING3.350th in FBS
CFP ODDS0%no change
PROJ. WINS6.1of 12 games
PLAYOFF OUTLOOKNEEDS TITLE→LONG SHOT
3 losses now · CFP 0% in sims · CCG 1% · title 0%
FAN PULSE—2 of 30 scored
RECORD3-3
ATS · O/U4-2 · 3-3
POSTGAME WE · AVG56%3.3 expected wins
NET EPA / PLAY+0.0747th FBS
Schedule & resultsSchedule
POSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS (10K SIMS) · FUTURE ROWS: PREGAME WP + MODEL LINEPOSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS (10K SIMS)POSTGAME WE · 10K SIMS
Wk | Opponent | Result | Line | ATS | Net EPA | Off SR | Def SR | WP · post / pre | O/U | Model | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |   Bethune-CookmanBethune-Cookman | W73–6 | −43.5−43.5 | W | +1.20 | 59% | 18% | 100% | O 58.5 | — | |
EPA +1.20 · SR 59% · O 58.5WE 100% | |||||||||||
| 2 |   at Pittsburghat Pittsburgh | L7–12 | +7.5+7.5 | W | −0.27 | 29% | 38% | 39% | U 55.5 | — | |
EPA −0.27 · SR 29% · U 55.5WE 39% | |||||||||||
| 3 |   Georgia StateGeorgia State | W44–30 | −17.5−17.5 | L | +0.20 | 42% | 38% | 86% | O 50.5 | — | |
EPA +0.20 · SR 42% · O 50.5WE 86% | |||||||||||
| 4 |   TCUTCU | W21–13 | +3.5+3.5 | W | +0.05 | 43% | 37% | 70% | U 48.5 | — | |
EPA +0.05 · SR 43% · U 48.5WE 70% | |||||||||||
| 5 |   at Houstonat Houston | L17–27 | +10.5+10.5 | W | −0.21 | 29% | 50% | 19% | U 51 | — | |
EPA −0.21 · SR 29% · U 51WE 19% | |||||||||||
| 6 |   at Oklahoma Stateat Oklahoma State | L28–42 | +10.5+10.5 | L | −0.21 | 43% | 53% | 21% | O 53.5 | — | |
EPA −0.21 · SR 43% · O 53.5WE 21% | |||||||||||
| 7 | BYE | ||||||||||
| 8 |   BYUBYUNEXT | SAT 3:30 FOXSAT 3:30 | +7.5+7.5 | — | — | — | — | 27% | 43.5 | +10.2 | |
MODEL +10.2 · TOTAL 43.5WP 27% | |||||||||||
| 9 |   BaylorBaylor | OCT 30OCT 30 | —−0.7 | 52% | −0.7 | ||||||
MODEL −0.7WP 52% | |||||||||||
| 10 |   at Kansasat Kansas | NOV 7NOV 7 | —+0.9 | 48% | +0.9 | ||||||
MODEL +0.9WP 48% | |||||||||||
| 11 |   Arizona StateArizona State | NOV 14NOV 14 | —−8.1 | 69% | −8.1 | ||||||
MODEL −8.1WP 69% | |||||||||||
| 12 |   Iowa StateIowa State | NOV 20NOV 20 | —−3.9 | 59% | −3.9 | ||||||
MODEL −3.9WP 59% | |||||||||||
| 13 |   at Coloradoat Colorado | NOV 28NOV 28 | —−0.6 | 51% | −0.6 | ||||||
MODEL −0.6WP 51% | |||||||||||