Big 12 · 2-4 · 0-3 CONF · ATS 2-4 · O/U 2-3
Colorado Buffaloes
HC Deion Sanders (4th yr) · OC Brennan Marion · DC Chris Marve
STARTS IN 11 PERSONNEL (2 OF 4) · BASE D 4-2-5 · SHOTGUN 95%
Big 12 · 2-4 · 0-3 CONF · ATS 2-4 · O/U 2-3
Colorado
Buffaloes · HC Deion Sanders (4th yr) · starts in 11 (2 of 4) · base D 4-2-5
Colorado
2-4 · 0-3 Big 12
4 losses now · CFP 0% in sims · CCG 0% · title 0%
Latest from the beat
COLORADO · LAST 72 HLAST 72 H
All coverage →No verified updates in the last 72 hours.
Schedule & resultsSchedule
POSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS · FUTURE ROWS SHOW PREGAME WPCLOSING LINES · FUTURE ROWS SHOW PROJECTED LINEFUTURE LINES PROJECTED
Wk | Opponent | Result | Line | ATS | Net EPA | Off SR | Def SR | Win prob | Plays | s/play | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |   at Georgia Techat Georgia Tech | W14–13 | +6.5+6.5 | W | +0.09 | 37% | 37% | 47% | 75 | 27.3 | |
| 2 |   Weber StateWeber State | W52–21 | −38.5−38.5 | L | +0.86 | 51% | 30% | 95% | 71 | 25.3 | |
| 3 |   at Northwesternat Northwestern | L7–41 | +3.5+3.5 | L | −0.67 | 43% | 51% | 2% | 62 | 23.3 | |
| 4 |   at Baylorat Baylor | L13–23 | +8.5+8.5 | L | +0.05 | 35% | 35% | 28% | 80 | 24.7 | |
| 5 |   Texas TechTexas Tech | L7–29 | +13.5+13.5 | L | −0.10 | 41% | 30% | 10% | 80 | 24.0 | |
| 6 | BYE | ||||||||||
| 7 |   UtahUtah | L24–27 | +15.5+15.5 | W | −0.01 | 38% | 41% | 44% | 53 | 26.9 | |
| 8 |   at Oklahoma Stateat Oklahoma StateNEXT | SAT 7:00 FS1SAT 7:00 | +13.5+13.5 | — | — | — | — | 41% | 140 | — | |
| 9 |   Kansas StateKansas State | OCT 31OCT 31 | +0.8 proj+0.8 | 48% | |||||||
| 10 |   at Arizona Stateat Arizona State | NOV 7NOV 7 | −0.2 proj−0.2 | 51% | |||||||
| 11 |   HoustonHouston | NOV 13NOV 13 | +10 proj+10 | 27% | |||||||
| 12 |   at Cincinnatiat Cincinnati | NOV 21NOV 21 | +3.7 proj+3.7 | 41% | |||||||
| 13 |   UCFUCF | NOV 28NOV 28 | +0.6 proj+0.6 | 49% |
Success rate by down & distance
Formation & personnelFormation
PBP TAGS · 353 OF 355 PLAYS353 OF 355 PLAYS TAGGED
LookLook · usage | Usage | Pass %Pass | EPA/playEPA | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shotgun95% | 95% | 52% | −0.02 | 40% |
| Under center5% | 5% | 16% | −0.38 | 42% |
| No-huddle87% | 87% | 50% | 0.00 | 42% |
| Huddle13% | 13% | 57% | −0.29 | 24% |
In shotgun on 95 % of tagged snaps, passing 52 % of the time (−0.02 EPA a play; −0.38 under center). No-huddle on 87 %. Starts in 11 personnel in 2 of 4 games. Base defense 4-2-5 (4 of 6).
Next game
SAT 7:00 FS1 · BOONE PICKENS STADIUMSAT 7:00 FS1
TOP INJURY · OFFICIAL REPORT
% to play = 1 − P(out) · expected return not reported
Refs
JUDGMENT FLAGS OVER EXPECTED · 2026FLAGS OVER EXPECTED / G · 2026
Crews from | FOE / G | 90% range | Games | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Big 12 crews−0.5 to +0.4 · 29 games | −0.1 | −0.5 to +0.4 | 29 | NOISE |
| Pac-12 crews−0.4 to +0.6 · 21 games | +0.1 | −0.4 to +0.6 | 21 | NOISE |
| Big Ten crews— · 2 games | −0.4 | — | 2 | NOISE |
| ACC crews— · 1 game | −0.9 | — | 1 | NOISE |
| Mountain West crews— · 1 game | +0.6 | — | 1 | NOISE |
| SEC crews— · 1 game | −0.7 | — | 1 | NOISE |
+ = more judgment flags on Colorado than expected · 2026 only: crews known for 6 of 7 games · no lean before 8 gamesJudgment flags only, 2026 · crews known for 6 of 7 games · + = more on Colorado than expected · no lean before 8 games
Key players
Unit statsEfficiency
OPP-ADJUSTED · RANK OF 138 FBSFBS RANK · OPP-ADJUSTED
MetricStat | ColoradoCOLO | RankRK | FBS avgVS FBS |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPA / play | −0.03 | 106th | +0.06 |
| Success rate | 41.0% | 80th | 42.3% |
| Explosiveness | 1.27 | 96th | 1.30 |
| Rush EPA / play | −0.01 | 120th | +0.07 |
| Pass EPA / play | +0.09 | 77th | +0.11 |
| Passing downs SR | 31.1% | 69th | 31.1% |
| Line yards | 3.14 | 88th | 3.21 |
| Sack rate allowed | 5.0% | 72nd | 5.3% |
| 3rd-down conversion | 37% | 100th | 41% |
| Points / opportunity | 3.25 | 124th | 4.27 |
| Red zone TD rate | 50% | 119th | 63% |
| Seconds / play | 25.6 | 25th | 28.0 |