Big 12 · 4-2 · 1-2 CONF · ATS 3-3 · O/U 4-2
Cincinnati Bearcats
HC Scott Satterfield (4th yr) · OC — · DC Nate Woody
STARTS IN 11 PERSONNEL (5 OF 5) · BASE D 4-3-4 · SHOTGUN 98%
Big 12 · 4-2 · 1-2 CONF · ATS 3-3 · O/U 4-2
Cincinnati
Bearcats · HC Scott Satterfield (4th yr) · starts in 11 (5 of 5) · base D 4-3-4
Cincinnati
4-2 · 1-2 Big 12
2 losses now · CFP 0% in sims · CCG 0% · title 0%
Latest from the beat
CINCINNATI · LAST 72 HLAST 72 H
All coverage →No verified updates in the last 72 hours.
Schedule & resultsSchedule
POSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS · FUTURE ROWS SHOW PREGAME WPCLOSING LINES · FUTURE ROWS SHOW PROJECTED LINEFUTURE LINES PROJECTED
Wk | Opponent | Result | Line | ATS | Net EPA | Off SR | Def SR | Win prob | Plays | s/play | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |   Boston CollegeBoston College | W34–15 | −7−7 | W | +0.29 | 40% | 38% | 91% | 60 | 28.3 | |
| 2 |  Western CarolinaWestern Carolina | W62–10 | −36.5−36.5 | W | +0.73 | 67% | 49% | 100% | 78 | 26.1 | |
| 3 |   Miami (OH)Miami (OH) | W35–31 | −14.5−14.5 | L | −0.01 | 51% | 39% | 59% | 75 | 27.2 | |
| 4 |   Kansas StateKansas State | W31–26 | +6+6 | W | +0.13 | 41% | 45% | 61% | 51 | 32.3 | |
| 5 |   at Arizonaat Arizona | L7–34 | +7+7 | L | −0.58 | 27% | 54% | 7% | 55 | 27.9 | |
| 6 | BYE | ||||||||||
| 7 |   at West Virginiaat West Virginia | L42–45 | +1.5+1.5 | L | +0.12 | 53% | 46% | 44% | 70 | 28.7 | |
| 8 |   Texas TechTexas TechNEXT | SAT 12:00 FS1SAT 12:00 | +11.5+11.5 | — | — | — | — | 28% | 131 | — | |
| 9 |   UtahUtah | OCT 31OCT 31 | +10.3 proj+10.3 | 27% | |||||||
| 10 |   at Houstonat Houston | NOV 7NOV 7 | +13.3 proj+13.3 | 21% | |||||||
| 11 |   at Iowa Stateat Iowa State | NOV 14NOV 14 | +3 proj+3 | 43% | |||||||
| 12 |   ColoradoColorado | NOV 21NOV 21 | −3.7 proj−3.7 | 59% | |||||||
| 13 |   at BYUat BYU | NOV 28NOV 28 | +17.5 proj+17.5 | 14% |
Success rate by down & distance
Formation & personnelFormation
PBP TAGS · 347 OF 349 PLAYS347 OF 349 PLAYS TAGGED
LookLook · usage | Usage | Pass %Pass | EPA/playEPA | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shotgun98% | 98% | 45% | +0.24 | 46% |
| Under center2% | 2% | 0% | +0.68 | 83% |
| No-huddle73% | 73% | 46% | +0.31 | 49% |
| Huddle27% | 27% | 41% | +0.09 | 42% |
In shotgun on 98 % of tagged snaps, passing 45 % of the time (+0.24 EPA a play; +0.68 under center). No-huddle on 73 %. Starts in 11 personnel in 5 of 5 games. Base defense 4-3-4 (4 of 4).
Next game
SAT 12:00 FS1 · NIPPERT STADIUMSAT 12:00 FS1
TOP INJURY · OFFICIAL REPORT
% to play = 1 − P(out) · expected return not reported
Refs
JUDGMENT FLAGS OVER EXPECTED · 2026FLAGS OVER EXPECTED / G · 2026
Crews from | FOE / G | 90% range | Games | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Big 12 crews−0.5 to +0.4 · 27 games | 0.0 | −0.5 to +0.4 | 27 | NOISE |
| American crews−0.6 to +0.6 · 10 games | 0.0 | −0.6 to +0.6 | 10 | NOISE |
| ACC crews— · 2 games | +1.4 | — | 2 | NOISE |
| MAC crews— · 2 games | −0.6 | — | 2 | NOISE |
| Big Ten crews— · 1 game | −2.3 | — | 1 | NOISE |
| SEC crews— · 1 game | −0.6 | — | 1 | NOISE |
+ = more judgment flags on Cincinnati than expected · 2026 only: crews known for 5 of 7 games · no lean before 8 gamesJudgment flags only, 2026 · crews known for 5 of 7 games · + = more on Cincinnati than expected · no lean before 8 games
Key players
Unit statsEfficiency
OPP-ADJUSTED · RANK OF 138 FBSFBS RANK · OPP-ADJUSTED
MetricStat | CincinnatiCIN | RankRK | FBS avgVS FBS |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPA / play | +0.14 | 35th | +0.06 |
| Success rate | 43.8% | 50th | 42.3% |
| Explosiveness | 1.36 | 27th | 1.30 |
| Rush EPA / play | +0.15 | 22nd | +0.07 |
| Pass EPA / play | +0.17 | 43rd | +0.11 |
| Passing downs SR | 33.1% | 30th | 31.1% |
| Line yards | 3.55 | 20th | 3.21 |
| Sack rate allowed | 5.7% | 91st | 5.3% |
| 3rd-down conversion | 49% | 24th | 41% |
| Points / opportunity | 4.86 | 36th | 4.27 |
| Red zone TD rate | 86% | 6th | 63% |
| Seconds / play | 28.1 | 72nd | 28.0 |