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2026 · THROUGH WK 8

Big 12 · 4-2 · 2-1 CONF · ATS 5-1 · O/U 4-2

Oklahoma State Cowboys

HC Eric Morris (1st yr) · OC Sean Brophy · DC Skyler Cassity

STARTS IN 11 PERSONNEL (6 OF 6) · BASE D 4-2-5 · SHOTGUN 100%

Power rating1.759th
CFP odds0%—
PLAYOFFBUBBLE→LONG SHOT
Proj. wins6.8of 12
Fan pulse—8 of 30 scored

Big 12 · 4-2 · 2-1 CONF · ATS 5-1 · O/U 4-2

Oklahoma State

Cowboys · HC Eric Morris (1st yr) · starts in 11 (6 of 6) · base D 4-2-5

Power rating1.759th
CFP odds · outlook0%—BUBBLE→LONG SHOT
Proj. wins6.8of 12
Fan pulse—8 of 30 scored

Oklahoma State

4-2 · 2-1 Big 12

POWER RATING1.759th in FBS
CFP ODDS0%no change
PROJ. WINS6.8of 12 games
PLAYOFF OUTLOOKBUBBLE→LONG SHOT

2 losses now · CFP 0% in sims · CCG 2% · title 0%

FAN PULSE—8 of 30 scored

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Latest from the beat

OKLAHOMA STATE · LAST 72 HLAST 72 H

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Schedule & resultsSchedule

POSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS · FUTURE ROWS SHOW PREGAME WPCLOSING LINES · FUTURE ROWS SHOW PROJECTED LINEFUTURE LINES PROJECTED

Oklahoma State schedule and results
Wk
Opponent
Result
Line
ATS
Net EPA
Off SR
Def SR
Win prob
Plays
s/play
1at Tulsaat TulsaL10–24−13.5−13.5L−0.4036%41%17%8622.6
2OregonOregonW39–31+24.5+24.5W+0.2245%30%69%8225.3
3Murray StateMurray StateW59–0−56−56W+1.0065%28%100%7031.6
4at West Virginiaat West VirginiaW41–24+1.5+1.5W+0.3660%45%84%6527.4
5BYE
6UCFUCFW42–28−10.5−10.5W+0.2153%43%79%5927.9
7at Houstonat HoustonL32–35+4+4W−0.1554%56%41%5927.5
8ColoradoColoradoNEXTSAT 7:00 FS1SAT 7:00−13.5−13.5————59%140—
9at Iowa Stateat Iowa StateOCT 31OCT 31+2.7 proj+2.743%
10at Kansas Stateat Kansas StateNOV 7NOV 7+4.4 proj+4.440%
11Texas TechTexas TechNOV 14NOV 14+9.8 proj+9.828%
12at Arizona Stateat Arizona StateNOV 21NOV 21−1.7 proj−1.754%
13KansasKansasNOV 28NOV 28−2.4 proj−2.456%

Success rate by down & distance

1st25%n 450%n 453%n 17325%n 4
2nd70%n 3368%n 2546%n 6140%n 10
3rd64%n 2210%n 1029%n 210%n 9
4th22%n 9100%n 1100%n 2—n 0

Formation & personnelFormation

PBP TAGS · 386 OF 388 PLAYS386 OF 388 PLAYS TAGGED

Formation splits
LookLook · usage
Usage
Pass %Pass
EPA/playEPA
SR
Shotgun100%100%52%+0.1450%
No-huddle98%98%53%+0.1750%
Huddle2%2%29%−1.0414%
StartersSTARTERS
116 of 6 gamesBASE D4-2-55 of 6
116 of 64-2-5base D · 5 of 6

In shotgun on 100 % of tagged snaps, passing 52 % of the time. No-huddle on 98 %. Starts in 11 personnel in 6 of 6 games. Base defense 4-2-5 (5 of 6).

Next game

SAT 7:00 FS1 · BOONE PICKENS STADIUMSAT 7:00 FS1

vs ColoradoLINE−13.5MODEL−3.9WP59%

TOP INJURY · OFFICIAL REPORT

O
Landon DeanDT · SR
DT · top injury
NEXT UPE. White
0%TO PLAY
−0.1IMPACT PTS

% to play = 1 − P(out) · expected return not reported

LINE · MODEL · WPIMPACT −0.1 PTS

Refs

JUDGMENT FLAGS OVER EXPECTED · 2026FLAGS OVER EXPECTED / G · 2026

Judgment flags over expected by crew conference
Crews from
FOE / G
90% range
Games
Read
Big 12 crews−0.5 to +0.3 · 48 games−0.1−0.5 to +0.348NOISE
SEC crews— · 3 games+0.9—3NOISE
Big Ten crews— · 2 games−0.2—2NOISE
ACC crews— · 1 game−0.3—1NOISE
American crews— · 1 game−1.1—1NOISE
Pac-12 crews— · 1 game+4.1—1NOISE
FRIENDLIEST CREWFRIENDLIESTStephen Baron−1.1 / g · 3 games · noise−1.1 / g · 3 g · noise
TOUGHEST CREWTOUGHESTHenry Johns+2.0 / g · 5 games · noise+2.0 / g · 5 g · noise

+ = more judgment flags on Oklahoma State than expected · 2026 only: crews known for 6 of 7 games · no lean before 8 gamesJudgment flags only, 2026 · crews known for 6 of 7 games · + = more on Oklahoma State than expected · no lean before 8 games

Key players

Unit statsEfficiency

OPP-ADJUSTED · RANK OF 138 FBSFBS RANK · OPP-ADJUSTED

Oklahoma State offense statistics
MetricStat
Oklahoma StateOKST
RankRK
FBS avgVS FBS
EPA / play+0.1433rd+0.06
Success rate48.4%13th42.3%
Explosiveness1.25107th1.30
Rush EPA / play+0.0857th+0.07
Pass EPA / play+0.2423rd+0.11
Passing downs SR32.4%40th31.1%
Line yards3.4632nd3.21
Sack rate allowed1.0%4th5.3%
3rd-down conversion34%109th41%
Points / opportunity4.2769th4.27
Red zone TD rate48%127th63%
Seconds / play26.133rd28.0