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FINAL · FOX · TDECU STADIUM
OKSTOklahoma State
324-2 · 2-1 Big 12
32
FINAL
HOUHouston
356-1 · 3-1 Big 12
35
OKST +4 COVEROVER 62.5MODEL EDGE MISS
PREGAME WP HOU 81%→POSTGAME WE HOU 60%
TDECU Stadium · 42,544
Postgame WE
60%HOU · 10k sims
How often this box score wins
Offense EPA / play
+0.41OKST +0.26
Success rate
56%OKST 54%
Turnovers
1–1≈ 0.6 pts swing
vs model
+3proj HOU by 14.5
Plays · pace
130proj 143 · 27.7s

Win probability · full game

HOU LOW 51% · Q1 9:55 · EXCITEMENT INDEX 5.7

Plays that decided it

Ranked by |win probability added|
  1. 1Oklahoma State
    Mestemaker 66-yd TD to Hawkins
    Caleb Hawkins 66 Yd pass from Drew Mestemaker (Drew Mestemaker Pass to Justin Bowick for Two-Point Conversion)
    Q4 11:57 · 1st & 10 · 28–17 → 28–25 · +5.3 EPA
    Q4 11:57 · 28–17 → 28–25 · +5.3 EPA
    −.17
  2. 2Houston
    Weigman 21-yd TD to Thomas
    (02:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Weigman pass complete deep right to #0 A.Thomas caught at OSU00, for 21 yards to the OSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:00, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY OSU Pass Interference declined #49 J.Dimas kick attempt good (H: #15 J.Sock, LS: #69 W.Edwards)
    Q3 2:05 · 4th & 3 · 21–17 → 28–17 · +4.8 EPA
    Q3 2:05 · 21–17 → 28–17 · +4.8 EPA
    +.15
  3. 3Houston
    Weigman 48-yd TD to Young
    (09:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Weigman pass complete deep left to #2 K.Young caught at OSU14, for 48 yards to the OSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 09:48, 1ST DOWN #49 J.Dimas kick attempt good (H: #15 J.Sock, LS: #69 W.Edwards) PENALTY #49 J.Dimas kick attempt good (H: #15 J.Sock, LS: #69 W.Edwards) PENALTY OSU Leverage 15 yards from OSU00 to HOU50 #49 J.Dimas kick attempt good (H: #15 J.Sock, LS: #69 W.Edwards) PENALTY OSU Leverage (#94 B.Rigsby) 15 yards from OSU00 to HOU50
    Q4 9:55 · 1st & 10 · 28–25 → 35–25 · +4.2 EPA
    Q4 9:55 · 28–25 → 35–25 · +4.2 EPA
    +.15
  4. 4Houston
    Weigman 44-yd run
    (04:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Weigman rush middle for 44 yards gain to the OSU28 (#32 E.Wesloski), 1ST DOWN
    Q3 4:02 · 3rd & 7 HOU 28 · +5.0 EPA
    Q3 4:02 · 3rd & 7 HOU 28 · +5.0 EPA
    +.11
  5. 5Houston
    Weigman 7-yd TD to Thomas
    (02:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Weigman pass complete short middle to #0 A.Thomas caught at OSU00, for 7 yards to the OSU00 QB hurried by #10 J.Williams TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:22, 1ST DOWN #49 J.Dimas kick attempt good (H: #15 J.Sock, LS: #69 W.Edwards)
    Q2 2:25 · 3rd & 5 · 7–3 → 14–3 · +3.0 EPA
    Q2 2:25 · 7–3 → 14–3 · +3.0 EPA
    +.10

Player EPA

Total · game
Full box scoreAll 130 plays