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2026 · THROUGH WK 8

Big 12 · #10 AP · 6-0 · 3-0 CONF · ATS 5-1 · O/U 4-2

Utah Utes

HC Morgan Scalley (1st yr) · OC Kevin McGiven · DC Colton Swan

STARTS IN 12 PERSONNEL (3 OF 5) · BASE D 4-3-4 · SHOTGUN 99%

Power rating13.310th
CFP odds57%+1
PLAYOFFLOCK→BUBBLE
Proj. wins9.9of 12
Fan pulse—3 of 30 scored

Big 12 · #10 AP · 6-0 · 3-0 CONF · ATS 5-1 · O/U 4-2

Utah

Utes · HC Morgan Scalley (1st yr) · starts in 12 (3 of 5) · base D 4-3-4

Power rating13.310th
CFP odds · outlook57%+1LOCK→BUBBLE
Proj. wins9.9of 12
Fan pulse—3 of 30 scored

Utah

#10 · 6-0 · 3-0 Big 12

POWER RATING13.310th in FBS
CFP ODDS57%+1 this week
PROJ. WINS9.9of 12 games
PLAYOFF OUTLOOKLOCK→BUBBLE

0 losses now · CFP 57% in sims · CCG 39% · title 19%

FAN PULSE—3 of 30 scored

Coverage →

Latest from the beat

UTAH · LAST 72 HLAST 72 H

All coverage →

No verified updates in the last 72 hours.

Schedule & resultsSchedule

POSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS · FUTURE ROWS SHOW PREGAME WPCLOSING LINES · FUTURE ROWS SHOW PROJECTED LINEFUTURE LINES PROJECTED

Utah schedule and results
Wk
Opponent
Result
Line
ATS
Net EPA
Off SR
Def SR
Win prob
Plays
s/play
1IdahoIdahoW66–14−38.5−38.5W+0.7958%29%100%7431.2
2ArkansasArkansasW43–10−13−13W+0.9961%29%98%6027.9
3Utah StateUtah StateW33–0−26.5−26.5W+0.6744%24%99%7328.1
4at Iowa Stateat Iowa StateW31–17−7.5−7.5W+0.3853%36%82%5828.6
5BYE
6KansasKansasW41–24−15.5−15.5W+0.2255%38%85%7531.1
7at Coloradoat ColoradoW27–24−15.5−15.5L+0.0141%38%56%8028.7
8HoustonHoustonNEXTSAT 10:15 ESPNSAT 10:15−6.5−6.5————61%140—
9at Cincinnatiat CincinnatiOCT 31OCT 31−10.3 proj−10.373%
10BYUBYUNOV 7NOV 7+0.8 proj+0.848%
11at Arizonaat ArizonaNOV 14NOV 14−1 proj−152%
12at TCUat TCUNOV 21NOV 21−5.1 proj−5.162%
13West VirginiaWest VirginiaNOV 27NOV 27−23.1 proj−23.192%

Success rate by down & distance

1st50%n 450%n 449%n 15650%n 4
2nd47%n 1777%n 3042%n 5345%n 11
3rd58%n 2456%n 1846%n 1329%n 7
4th67%n 6—n 0—n 0—n 0

Formation & personnelFormation

PBP TAGS · 344 OF 347 PLAYS344 OF 347 PLAYS TAGGED

Formation splits
LookLook · usage
Usage
Pass %Pass
EPA/playEPA
SR
Shotgun99%99%51%+0.2751%
Under center1%1%25%−0.2625%
No-huddle99%99%51%+0.2650%
Huddle1%1%67%+1.1367%
StartersSTARTERS
123 of 5 games211 of 5BASE D4-3-44 of 6
123 of 54-3-4base D · 4 of 6

In shotgun on 99 % of tagged snaps, passing 51 % of the time (+0.27 EPA a play; −0.26 under center). No-huddle on 99 %. Starts in 12 personnel in 3 of 5 games. Base defense 4-3-4 (4 of 6).

Next game

SAT 10:15 ESPN · RICE-ECCLES STADIUMSAT 10:15 ESPN

vs HoustonLINE−6.5MODEL−4.5WP61%

TOP INJURY · OFFICIAL REPORT

O
Kelvin ObotOL · FR
OL · top injury
NEXT UPI. Garcia
0%TO PLAY
−0.3IMPACT PTS

% to play = 1 − P(out) · expected return not reported

LINE · MODEL · WPIMPACT −0.3 PTS

Refs

JUDGMENT FLAGS OVER EXPECTED · 2026FLAGS OVER EXPECTED / G · 2026

Judgment flags over expected by crew conference
Crews from
FOE / G
90% range
Games
Read
Big 12 crews−0.6 to +0.3 · 30 games−0.1−0.6 to +0.330NOISE
Pac-12 crews−0.5 to +0.5 · 24 games0.0−0.5 to +0.524NOISE
Mountain West crews— · 2 games+4.3—2NOISE
SEC crews— · 2 games−0.7—2NOISE
FRIENDLIEST CREWFRIENDLIESTMichael VanderVelde−1.7 / g · 3 games · noise−1.7 / g · 3 g · noise
TOUGHEST CREWTOUGHESTFrancisco Villar+0.8 / g · 3 games · noise+0.8 / g · 3 g · noise

+ = more judgment flags on Utah than expected · 2026 only: crews known for 6 of 7 games · no lean before 8 gamesJudgment flags only, 2026 · crews known for 6 of 7 games · + = more on Utah than expected · no lean before 8 games

Key players

Unit statsEfficiency

OPP-ADJUSTED · RANK OF 138 FBSFBS RANK · OPP-ADJUSTED

Utah offense statistics
MetricStat
UtahUTAH
RankRK
FBS avgVS FBS
EPA / play+0.2215th+0.06
Success rate48.7%11th42.3%
Explosiveness1.3532nd1.30
Rush EPA / play+0.1812th+0.07
Pass EPA / play+0.2424th+0.11
Passing downs SR36.6%5th31.1%
Line yards3.5025th3.21
Sack rate allowed4.0%44th5.3%
3rd-down conversion53%9th41%
Points / opportunity5.418th4.27
Red zone TD rate75%15th63%
Seconds / play28.679th28.0