Standings

17 teams · 9 conf games

ACC

17 teams · 9 conf games · Top 2 to Charlotte · Through wk 8

Title favorite

64%

Miami

Cutline

7-2

in 46% of sims

Title game

Dec 5

Charlotte · ABC

Title favorite

64%Miami

Likeliest title game

60%Miami vs Wake Forest

Cutline

7-2gets in 46% of sims

Tiebreaker needed

30%Tie at the cut

Standings

Odds from 10K sims · Tiebreakers applied

ACC standings
Seed	Team	Conference record	Tiebreaker that set the place	Overall record	Net EPA per playNet EPA per play and FBS rank	Net EPA rank (FBS)	havoc rating	Strength of schedule left (rank)	Projected conference record	Title game odds	Conference title odds	Playoff odds	Playoff outlook now	Playoff outlook in the sims
1	Miami, AP 1, now lock, sims likely	4-0		6-0	+0.325	5	+18.6	38	8.3–0.7	96%	64%CFP93%	93%	lock	likely
2	Wake Forest, AP 17, now in, sims bubble	4-1		6-1	+0.298	8	+13.5	85	7.1–1.9	62%	25%CFP62%	62%	in	bubble
Title game line						Title game line						Title game line			Title game line	Title game line
3	SMU, AP 23, now in, sims long shot	3-1		5-1	+0.1035	35	+6.5	37	6.4–2.6	26%	7%CFP6%	6%	in	long shot
4	Clemson, now bubble, sims long shot	2-1	H2H	4-2	−0.0277	77	+2.1	61	4.6–3.4	3%	<1%CFP<1%	<1%	bubble	long shot
5	North Carolina, now bubble, sims long shot	2-1	H2H	4-2	+0.0942	42	+2.5	33	4.4–3.6	3%	<1%CFP<1%	<1%	bubble	long shot
6	Louisville, now needs title, sims long shot	3-2		4-3	+0.1524	24	+8.8	68	5.8–3.2	5%	2%CFP<1%	<1%	needs title	long shot
7	Virginia Tech, now bubble, sims long shot	2-2	COM	5-2	+0.0647	47	+2.3	46	4.3–4.7	<1%	<1%CFP<1%	<1%	bubble	long shot
8	Duke, now bubble, sims long shot	2-2	COM	5-2	+0.0651	51	+2.9	31	4.2–4.8	1%	<1%CFP<1%	<1%	bubble	long shot
9	California, now needs title, sims out	2-2	OPP%	3-4	−0.11102	102	−5.8	71	3.6–5.4	<1%	<1%CFP0%	0%	needs title	out
10	Pittsburgh, now bubble, sims long shot	2-2	OPP%	5-2	+0.1039	39	+6.3	63	4.7–4.3	2%	<1%CFP<1%	<1%	bubble	long shot
11	Stanford, now out, sims out	2-3	OPP%	4-4	−0.23129	129	−10.7	54	2.7–6.3	0%	0%CFP0%	0%	out	out
12	Virginia, now needs title, sims out	2-3	OPP%	4-4	−0.0171	71	+1.1	53	3.8–5.2	<1%	<1%CFP0%	0%	needs title	out
13	Georgia Tech, now needs title, sims out	1-2	OPP%	2-4	−0.14110	110	−4.0	6	2.5–5.5	<1%	<1%CFP0%	0%	needs title	out
14	Boston College, now out, sims out	1-2	OPP%	3-3	−0.0892	92	−4.8	11	2.5–5.5	0%	0%CFP0%	0%	out	out
15	NC State, now out, sims out	1-3	COM	3-4	−0.0173	73	+0.3	66	3.6–5.4	0%	0%CFP0%	0%	out	out
16	Florida State, now out, sims out	1-3	COM	3-4	+0.0357	57	+3.8	56	3.3–4.7	0%	0%CFP0%	0%	out	out
17	Syracuse, now out, sims out	0-4		2-4	+0.0164	64	−1.8	35	2.0–7.0	0%	0%CFP0%	0%	out	out

Odds from 10K sims

Playoff outlook

nowby losses: 0 lock · 1 in · 2 bubble

lock≥95likely≥70bubble≥30long shot>0

3+ losses: needs title · sims: CFP % of 10K sims

NowBy losses so far · Power 4: 0 lock · 1 in · 2 bubble · 3+ needs title (top-5 champ) or out

Sims

lock≥95%likely≥70%bubble≥30%long shot>0%outnever in the field · CFP % of 10K sims, 12-team format

Charlotte matchups

Dec 5 · ABC

Miami – Wake Forest60%

Miami – SMU25%

Miami – Louisville4%

Miami – Clemson3%

31 other pairings8%

Leverage this week

CCG odds · win / loseCCG if win / lose

California at SMUSMU 29% / 9% · SAT 12:00 CW

±21

Pittsburgh at MiamiMIA 99% / 86% · SAT 12:00 ESPN

±13

Virginia Tech at ClemsonCLEM 6% / <1% · SAT 7:00 ESPN

±5

Tiebreak order

ACC 2026 (havoc sims-s2)

H2HHead-to-head among the tied teams (3+ teams: combined record when all have met, else a team that beat or lost to all the others)

COMRecord vs common conference opponents

COMRecord vs common opponents from the top of the standings down (tied opponents as a group)

Show all 6 rules

OPP%Combined conference win % of all conference opponents

RTGhavoc rating (stands in for the conference's analytics / ranking step)

RANDDraw / coin toss (the table falls back to school name)

Steps in order; once a step separates a team, the rest start again at step 1. Approximations: common opponents from the top are ordered by conference win %, not tiebroken place; the havoc rating stands in for every analytics / ranking step. rtg stands in for the SportSource Team Rating Score; random for the commissioner's draw.