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2026 · THROUGH WK 8

ACC · 4-2 · 2-1 CONF · ATS 2-4 · O/U 3-3

Clemson Tigers

HC Dabo Swinney (13th yr) · OC Chad Morris · DC Tom Allen

STARTS IN 11 PERSONNEL (5 OF 5) · BASE D 4-2-5 · SHOTGUN 99%

Power rating2.155th
CFP odds0%—
PLAYOFFBUBBLE→LONG SHOT
Proj. wins7.1of 12
Fan pulse+2▲3

ACC · 4-2 · 2-1 CONF · ATS 2-4 · O/U 3-3

Clemson

Tigers · HC Dabo Swinney (13th yr) · starts in 11 (5 of 5) · base D 4-2-5

Power rating2.155th
CFP odds · outlook0%—BUBBLE→LONG SHOT
Proj. wins7.1of 12
Fan pulse+2▲3

Clemson

4-2 · 2-1 ACC

POWER RATING2.155th in FBS
CFP ODDS0%no change
PROJ. WINS7.1of 12 games
PLAYOFF OUTLOOKBUBBLE→LONG SHOT

2 losses now · CFP 0% in sims · CCG 3% · title 1%

FAN PULSE+2▲3

16 pts below the model ·Coverage →

Latest from the beat

CLEMSON · LAST 72 HLAST 72 H

All coverage →

No verified updates in the last 72 hours.

Schedule & resultsSchedule

POSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS · FUTURE ROWS SHOW PREGAME WPCLOSING LINES · FUTURE ROWS SHOW PROJECTED LINEFUTURE LINES PROJECTED

Clemson schedule and results
Wk
Opponent
Result
Line
ATS
Net EPA
Off SR
Def SR
Win prob
Plays
s/play
1at LSUat LSUL10–51+10+10L−1.0712%54%0%4828.3
2Georgia SouthernGeorgia SouthernW22–7−20−20L+0.0433%26%83%7226.3
3North CarolinaNorth CarolinaW28–20−3−3W+0.1442%43%73%6423.4
4at Californiaat CaliforniaW24–10−2.5−2.5W+0.2335%36%79%6529.3
5MiamiMiamiL13–41+15+15L−0.3739%52%3%7522.1
6BYE
7Charleston SouthernCharleston SouthernW37–0−42.5−42.5L+0.5649%36%99%8623.0
8Virginia TechVirginia TechNEXTSAT 7:00 ESPNSAT 7:00−2.5−2.5————55%140—
9at Florida Stateat Florida StateOCT 31OCT 31+4.3 proj+4.340%
10at Syracuseat SyracuseNOV 7NOV 7−1.7 proj−1.754%
11Georgia TechGeorgia TechNOV 14NOV 14−8.7 proj−8.770%
12at Dukeat DukeNOV 20NOV 20+3.6 proj+3.641%
13South CarolinaSouth CarolinaNOV 28NOV 28−0.1 proj−0.150%

Success rate by down & distance

1st33%n 317%n 639%n 13320%n 5
2nd46%n 1328%n 2948%n 5417%n 18
3rd57%n 2123%n 1319%n 2623%n 13
4th86%n 7—n 00%n 1—n 0

Formation & personnelFormation

PBP TAGS · 339 OF 342 PLAYS339 OF 342 PLAYS TAGGED

Formation splits
LookLook · usage
Usage
Pass %Pass
EPA/playEPA
SR
Shotgun99%99%52%−0.1137%
Under center1%1%40%−0.0760%
No-huddle98%98%52%−0.1137%
Huddle2%2%0%+0.3850%
StartersSTARTERS
115 of 5 gamesBASE D4-2-55 of 5
115 of 54-2-5base D · 5 of 5

In shotgun on 99 % of tagged snaps, passing 52 % of the time (−0.10 EPA a play; −0.07 under center). No-huddle on 98 %. Starts in 11 personnel in 5 of 5 games. Base defense 4-2-5 (5 of 5).

Next game

SAT 7:00 ESPN · MEMORIAL STADIUM (CLEMSON, SC)SAT 7:00 ESPN

vs Virginia TechLINE−2.5MODEL−2.1WP55%

TOP INJURY · OFFICIAL REPORT

O
Corian GipsonCB · JR
CB · top injury
NEXT UPR. Hanafin
0%TO PLAY
−0.2IMPACT PTS

% to play = 1 − P(out) · expected return not reported

LINE · MODEL · WPIMPACT −0.2 PTS

Refs

JUDGMENT FLAGS OVER EXPECTED · 2026FLAGS OVER EXPECTED / G · 2026

Judgment flags over expected by crew conference
Crews from
FOE / G
90% range
Games
Read
ACC crews−0.5 to +0.4 · 37 games0.0−0.5 to +0.437NOISE
Big Ten crews— · 2 games+0.4—2NOISE
FRIENDLIEST CREWFRIENDLIESTAdam Savoie−1.0 / g · 6 games · noise−1.0 / g · 6 g · noise
TOUGHEST CREWTOUGHESTStuart Mullins+2.1 / g · 3 games · noise+2.1 / g · 3 g · noise

+ = more judgment flags on Clemson than expected · 2026 only: crews known for 6 of 7 games · no lean before 8 gamesJudgment flags only, 2026 · crews known for 6 of 7 games · + = more on Clemson than expected · no lean before 8 games

Key players

Unit statsEfficiency

OPP-ADJUSTED · RANK OF 138 FBSFBS RANK · OPP-ADJUSTED

Clemson offense statistics
MetricStat
ClemsonCLEM
RankRK
FBS avgVS FBS
EPA / play−0.06117th+0.06
Success rate38.3%122nd42.3%
Explosiveness1.2974th1.30
Rush EPA / play+0.0488th+0.07
Pass EPA / play−0.04127th+0.11
Passing downs SR30.6%79th31.1%
Line yards2.88120th3.21
Sack rate allowed8.0%119th5.3%
3rd-down conversion32%127th41%
Points / opportunity3.78101st4.27
Red zone TD rate41%133rd63%
Seconds / play24.818th28.0