ACC · 5-2 · 2-2 CONF · ATS 5-2 · O/U 3-4
Duke Blue Devils
HC Manny Diaz (3rd yr) · OC Jonathan Brewer · DC Jonathan Patke
STARTS IN 12 PERSONNEL (2 OF 5) · BASE D 4-3-4 · SHOTGUN 99%
ACC · 5-2 · 2-2 CONF · ATS 5-2 · O/U 3-4
Duke
Blue Devils · HC Manny Diaz (3rd yr) · starts in 12 (2 of 5) · base D 4-3-4
Duke
5-2 · 2-2 ACC
2 losses now · CFP 0% in sims · CCG 1% · title 0%
Latest from the beat
DUKE · LAST 72 HLAST 72 H
All coverage →No verified updates in the last 72 hours.
Schedule & resultsSchedule
POSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS · FUTURE ROWS SHOW PREGAME WPCLOSING LINES · FUTURE ROWS SHOW PROJECTED LINEFUTURE LINES PROJECTED
Wk | Opponent | Result | Line | ATS | Net EPA | Off SR | Def SR | Win prob | Plays | s/play | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |   TulaneTulane | W17–3 | −9−9 | W | +0.22 | 30% | 28% | 82% | 74 | 32.0 | |
| 2 |   at Illinoisat Illinois | W31–27 | +6.5+6.5 | W | +0.26 | 48% | 51% | 60% | 54 | 28.7 | |
| 3 |   StanfordStanford | W35–7 | −10−10 | W | +0.59 | 49% | 34% | 97% | 70 | 35.4 | |
| 4 |   William & MaryWilliam & Mary | W62–7 | −43−43 | W | +0.77 | 56% | 28% | 100% | 71 | 30.4 | |
| 5 | BYE | ||||||||||
| 6 |   at Georgia Techat Georgia Tech | L25–28 | −4.5−4.5 | L | −0.06 | 41% | 46% | 42% | 75 | 30.4 | |
| 7 |   North CarolinaNorth Carolina | L20–24 | −3−3 | L | −0.02 | 41% | 48% | 41% | 69 | 27.0 | |
| 8 |   at Virginiaat Virginia | W19–16 | +2.5+2.5 | W | — | — | — | 60% | — | — | |
| 9 |   Boston CollegeBoston CollegeNEXT | SAT 12:00 CWSAT 12:00 | −10.6 proj−10.6 | — | — | — | — | 74% | — | — | |
| 10 |   at NC Stateat NC State | NOV 7NOV 7 | −0.4 proj−0.4 | 51% | |||||||
| 11 |   at Miamiat Miami | NOV 14NOV 14 | +19.6 proj+19.6 | 12% | |||||||
| 12 |   ClemsonClemson | NOV 20NOV 20 | −3.6 proj−3.6 | 59% | |||||||
| 13 |   at Wake Forestat Wake Forest | NOV 28NOV 28 | +13.7 proj+13.7 | 20% |
Success rate by down & distance
Formation & personnelFormation
PBP TAGS · 425 OF 425 PLAYS425 OF 425 PLAYS TAGGED
LookLook · usage | Usage | Pass %Pass | EPA/playEPA | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shotgun99% | 99% | 49% | +0.16 | 42% |
| Under center1% | 1% | 25% | +1.79 | 75% |
| No-huddle14% | 14% | 53% | +0.13 | 42% |
| Huddle86% | 86% | 48% | +0.18 | 42% |
In shotgun on 99 % of tagged snaps, passing 49 % of the time (+0.15 EPA a play; +1.79 under center). No-huddle on 14 %. Starts in 12 personnel in 2 of 5 games. Base defense 4-3-4 (3 of 5).
Next game
SAT 12:00 CW · WALLACE WADE STADIUMSAT 12:00 CW
Refs
JUDGMENT FLAGS OVER EXPECTED · 2026FLAGS OVER EXPECTED / G · 2026
Crews from | FOE / G | 90% range | Games | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ACC crews−0.2 to +0.6 · 49 games | +0.2 | −0.2 to +0.6 | 49 | NOISE |
| Big Ten crews— · 4 games | −1.0 | — | 4 | NOISE |
| American crews— · 2 games | −2.6 | — | 2 | NOISE |
| Mountain West crews— · 2 games | +0.1 | — | 2 | NOISE |
| C-USA crews— · 1 game | −3.4 | — | 1 | NOISE |
+ = more judgment flags on Duke than expected · 2026 only: crews known for 7 of 8 games · no lean before 8 gamesJudgment flags only, 2026 · crews known for 7 of 8 games · + = more on Duke than expected · no lean before 8 games
Key players
Unit statsEfficiency
OPP-ADJUSTED · RANK OF 138 FBSFBS RANK · OPP-ADJUSTED
MetricStat | DukeDUKE | RankRK | FBS avgVS FBS |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPA / play | +0.08 | 53rd | +0.06 |
| Success rate | 40.2% | 90th | 42.3% |
| Explosiveness | 1.34 | 39th | 1.30 |
| Rush EPA / play | +0.10 | 49th | +0.07 |
| Pass EPA / play | +0.14 | 53rd | +0.11 |
| Passing downs SR | 32.3% | 44th | 31.1% |
| Line yards | 3.38 | 43rd | 3.21 |
| Sack rate allowed | 0.6% | 2nd | 5.3% |
| 3rd-down conversion | 47% | 28th | 41% |
| Points / opportunity | 4.71 | 45th | 4.27 |
| Red zone TD rate | 60% | 84th | 63% |
| Seconds / play | 30.2 | 109th | 28.0 |