ACC · 5-2 · 2-2 CONF · ATS 5-2 · O/U 3-4
Duke Blue Devils
HC Manny Diaz (3rd yr) · OC Jonathan Brewer · DC Jonathan Patke
STARTS IN 12 PERSONNEL (2 OF 5) · BASE D 4-3-4 · SHOTGUN 99%
Power rating3.846th
CFP odds0%—
PLAYOFFBUBBLE→LONG SHOT
Proj. wins7.3of 12
Fan pulse—15 of 30 scored
ACC · 5-2 · 2-2 CONF · ATS 5-2 · O/U 3-4
Duke
Blue Devils · HC Manny Diaz (3rd yr) · starts in 12 (2 of 5) · base D 4-3-4
Power rating3.846th
CFP odds · outlook0%—BUBBLE→LONG SHOT
Proj. wins7.3of 12
Fan pulse—15 of 30 scored
Duke
5-2 · 2-2 ACC
POWER RATING3.846th in FBS
CFP ODDS0%no change
PROJ. WINS7.3of 12 games
PLAYOFF OUTLOOKBUBBLE→LONG SHOT
2 losses now · CFP 0% in sims · CCG 1% · title 0%
FAN PULSE—15 of 30 scored
RECORD5-2
ATS · O/U5-2 · 3-4
POSTGAME WE · AVG69%4.8 expected wins
NET EPA / PLAY+0.0744th FBS
Schedule & resultsSchedule
POSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS (10K SIMS) · FUTURE ROWS: PREGAME WP + MODEL LINEPOSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS (10K SIMS)POSTGAME WE · 10K SIMS
Wk | Opponent | Result | Line | ATS | Net EPA | Off SR | Def SR | WP · post / pre | O/U | Model | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |   TulaneTulane | W17–3 | −9−9 | W | +0.22 | 30% | 28% | 82% | U 51 | — | |
EPA +0.22 · SR 30% · U 51WE 82% | |||||||||||
| 2 |   at Illinoisat Illinois | W31–27 | +6.5+6.5 | W | +0.26 | 48% | 51% | 60% | O 51.5 | — | |
EPA +0.26 · SR 48% · O 51.5WE 60% | |||||||||||
| 3 |   StanfordStanford | W35–7 | −10−10 | W | +0.59 | 49% | 34% | 97% | U 51.5 | — | |
EPA +0.59 · SR 49% · U 51.5WE 97% | |||||||||||
| 4 |   William & MaryWilliam & Mary | W62–7 | −43−43 | W | +0.77 | 56% | 28% | 100% | O 61.5 | — | |
EPA +0.77 · SR 56% · O 61.5WE 100% | |||||||||||
| 5 | BYE | ||||||||||
| 6 |   at Georgia Techat Georgia Tech | L25–28 | −4.5−4.5 | L | −0.06 | 41% | 46% | 42% | O 45.5 | — | |
EPA −0.06 · SR 41% · O 45.5WE 42% | |||||||||||
| 7 |   North CarolinaNorth Carolina | L20–24 | −3−3 | L | −0.02 | 41% | 48% | 41% | U 46.5 | — | |
EPA −0.02 · SR 41% · U 46.5WE 41% | |||||||||||
| 8 |   at Virginiaat Virginia | W19–16 | +2.5+2.5 | W | +0.02 | 37% | 35% | 60% | U 47.5 | — | |
EPA +0.02 · SR 37% · U 47.5WE 60% | |||||||||||
| 9 |   Boston CollegeBoston CollegeNEXT | SAT 12:00 CWSAT 12:00 | —−11.4 | — | — | — | — | 75% | — | −11.4 | |
MODEL −11.4WP 75% | |||||||||||
| 10 |   at NC Stateat NC State | NOV 7NOV 7 | —−2.6 | 56% | −2.6 | ||||||
MODEL −2.6WP 56% | |||||||||||
| 11 |   at Miamiat Miami | NOV 14NOV 14 | —+18.5 | 13% | +18.5 | ||||||
MODEL +18.5WP 13% | |||||||||||
| 12 |   ClemsonClemson | NOV 20NOV 20 | —−4.4 | 61% | −4.4 | ||||||
MODEL −4.4WP 61% | |||||||||||
| 13 |   at Wake Forestat Wake Forest | NOV 28NOV 28 | —+12.5 | 22% | +12.5 | ||||||
MODEL +12.5WP 22% | |||||||||||