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2026 · THROUGH WK 8

ACC · 2-4 · 1-2 CONF · ATS 1-5 · O/U 4-2

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets

HC Brent Key (4th yr) · OC George Godsey · DC Jason Semore

STARTS IN 11 PERSONNEL (2 OF 5) · BASE D 4-2-5 · SHOTGUN 91%

Power rating−4.094th
CFP odds0%—
PLAYOFFNEEDS TITLE→OUT
Proj. wins3.6of 12
Fan pulse—26 of 30 scored

ACC · 2-4 · 1-2 CONF · ATS 1-5 · O/U 4-2

Georgia Tech

Yellow Jackets · HC Brent Key (4th yr) · starts in 11 (2 of 5) · base D 4-2-5

Power rating−4.094th
CFP odds · outlook0%—NEEDS TITLE→OUT
Proj. wins3.6of 12
Fan pulse—26 of 30 scored

Georgia Tech

2-4 · 1-2 ACC

POWER RATING−4.094th in FBS
CFP ODDS0%no change
PROJ. WINS3.6of 12 games
PLAYOFF OUTLOOKNEEDS TITLE→OUT

4 losses now · CFP 0% in sims · CCG 0% · title 0%

FAN PULSE—26 of 30 scored

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GEORGIA TECH · LAST 72 HLAST 72 H

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Schedule & resultsSchedule

POSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS · FUTURE ROWS SHOW PREGAME WPCLOSING LINES · FUTURE ROWS SHOW PROJECTED LINEFUTURE LINES PROJECTED

Georgia Tech schedule and results
Wk
Opponent
Result
Line
ATS
Net EPA
Off SR
Def SR
Win prob
Plays
s/play
1ColoradoColoradoL13–14−6.5−6.5L−0.0937%37%54%5430.0
2TennesseeTennesseeL24–45+12.5+12.5L−0.5146%45%14%7126.7
3MercerMercerW44–11−38.5−38.5L+0.4356%48%99%5927.4
4at Stanfordat StanfordL27–34−3−3L−0.1444%43%32%7026.7
5BYE
6DukeDukeW28–25+4.5+4.5W+0.0646%41%58%5627.2
7at Virginia Techat Virginia TechL24–34+8.5+8.5L−0.2544%45%30%5930.2
8Boston CollegeBoston CollegeNEXTSAT 3:30 ACC NetworkSAT 3:30−6−6————58%124—
9at Pittsburghat PittsburghOCT 31OCT 31+13.3 proj+13.321%
10LouisvilleLouisvilleNOV 7NOV 7+10 proj+1027%
11at Clemsonat ClemsonNOV 14NOV 14+8.7 proj+8.730%
12Wake ForestWake ForestNOV 21NOV 21+15 proj+1518%
13at Georgiaat GeorgiaNOV 28NOV 28+22.8 proj+22.88%

Success rate by down & distance

1st100%n 386%n 747%n 15425%n 8
2nd53%n 1554%n 2638%n 4539%n 23
3rd60%n 1535%n 2347%n 158%n 12
4th75%n 450%n 20%n 10%n 2

Formation & personnelFormation

PBP TAGS · 348 OF 355 PLAYS348 OF 355 PLAYS TAGGED

Formation splits
LookLook · usage
Usage
Pass %Pass
EPA/playEPA
SR
Shotgun91%91%57%+0.0444%
Under center9%9%42%−0.0155%
No-huddle28%28%55%+0.1052%
Huddle72%72%57%+0.0142%
StartersSTARTERS
112 of 5 games212 of 5BASE D4-2-53 of 5
112 of 54-2-5base D · 3 of 5

In shotgun on 91 % of tagged snaps, passing 57 % of the time (+0.04 EPA a play; −0.01 under center). No-huddle on 28 %. Starts in 11 personnel in 2 of 5 games. Base defense 4-2-5 (3 of 5).

Next game

SAT 3:30 ACC Network · BOBBY DODD STADIUMSAT 3:30 ACC Network

vs Boston CollegeLINE−6MODEL−3.4WP58%

TOP INJURY · OFFICIAL REPORT

D
Tawfiq ThomasDT · SR
DT · top injury
NEXT UPC. Speakman
25%TO PLAY
−0.7IMPACT PTS

% to play = 1 − P(out) · expected return not reported

LINE · MODEL · WPIMPACT −0.7 PTS

Refs

JUDGMENT FLAGS OVER EXPECTED · 2026FLAGS OVER EXPECTED / G · 2026

Judgment flags over expected by crew conference
Crews from
FOE / G
90% range
Games
Read
ACC crews−0.5 to +0.4 · 31 games−0.1−0.5 to +0.431NOISE
SEC crews— · 4 games+0.4—4NOISE
Big 12 crews— · 1 game+0.9—1NOISE
FRIENDLIEST CREWFRIENDLIESTJerry Magallanes−1.2 / g · 4 games · noise−1.2 / g · 4 g · noise
TOUGHEST CREWTOUGHESTRiley Johnson+2.0 / g · 3 games · noise+2.0 / g · 3 g · noise

+ = more judgment flags on Georgia Tech than expected · 2026 only: crews known for 6 of 7 games · no lean before 8 gamesJudgment flags only, 2026 · crews known for 6 of 7 games · + = more on Georgia Tech than expected · no lean before 8 games

Key players

Unit statsEfficiency

OPP-ADJUSTED · RANK OF 138 FBSFBS RANK · OPP-ADJUSTED

Georgia Tech offense statistics
MetricStat
Georgia TechGT
RankRK
FBS avgVS FBS
EPA / play+0.0665th+0.06
Success rate43.8%49th42.3%
Explosiveness1.3068th1.30
Rush EPA / play+0.0766th+0.07
Pass EPA / play+0.1264th+0.11
Passing downs SR31.4%58th31.1%
Line yards3.1389th3.21
Sack rate allowed6.0%96th5.3%
3rd-down conversion38%86th41%
Points / opportunity4.0384th4.27
Red zone TD rate52%114th63%
Seconds / play27.759th28.0