Georgia Tech
2-42-4 · 1-2 ACC · ATS 1-5
7:30 PM ET
Sat, Oct 31 · ESPN2
Acrisure Stadium · Pittsburgh
WIN PROB
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Pittsburgh
5-25-2 · 2-2 ACC · ATS 4-3
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- Win probability
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- Projected score
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- Projected plays
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- FBS avg 131 · 28.9 s/play
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Where the model sees the game
EPA / PLAY VS FBS MEAN · OPP-ADJUSTED · GARBAGE TIME OUTEPA / PLAY VS FBS MEAN · OPP-ADJUSTED
| Unit vs defense | Offense gainsOff | Defense allowsDef | Plays | Model impactImpact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
  Pittsburgh passvs Georgia Tech pass Dvs GT pass DBIGGEST EDGE | 62nd+0.01 | 123rd+0.12 | 35 | PITT +6.5 |
  Georgia Tech runvs Pittsburgh run Dvs PITT run D | 66th0.00 | 6th−0.12 | 30 | PITT +5.0 |
| Pittsburgh runvs Georgia Tech run Dvs GT run D | 64th+0.01 | 123rd+0.08 | 33 | PITT +4.3 |
| Georgia Tech passvs Pittsburgh pass Dvs PITT pass D | 64th0.00 | 69th0.00 | 38 | GT +0.2 |
BIGGEST EDGE · PITT +6.5
Pittsburgh's passing game vs the Georgia Tech pass defense
Pittsburgh gains +0.12 EPA a play on the pass (62nd); Georgia Tech allows +0.24 (123rd). About 35 such plays projected. OFFENSE / DEFENSE columns are EPA a play above the FBS mean; negative defense is stingier.
OFF = EPA/play gained above the FBS mean, DEF = allowed above it (negative is stingier). Impact = model points.
OffensePittsburgh
PITT OFFWhen Pittsburgh has the ball
DefenseGeorgia Tech
GT DEF- +0.0952ndEPA / play127th+0.20
- 42.3%62ndSuccess rate96th44.2%
- 1.3061stExplosiveness128th1.39
- +0.0864thRush EPA / play123rd+0.15
- +0.1262ndPass EPA / dropback123rd+0.24
- 47.6%57thStandard downs SR45th45.9%
- 31.3%62ndPassing downs SR137th37.4%
- 3.3350thLine yards112th3.38
- 12.5%49thHavoc rate115th12.1%
- 4.0386thPoints / opportunity73rd4.09
- 64%70thRed zone TD rate29th50%
Pittsburgh's offense rates higher in 8 of 11. Widest gap: EPA / play (52nd vs 127th).
OffenseGeorgia Tech
GT OFFWhen Georgia Tech has the ball
DefensePittsburgh
PITT DEF- +0.0665thEPA / play35th−0.01
- 43.8%49thSuccess rate17th37.8%
- 1.3068thExplosiveness129th1.39
- +0.0766thRush EPA / play6th−0.05
- +0.1264thPass EPA / dropback69th+0.11
- 48.4%49thStandard downs SR24th43.7%
- 31.4%58thPassing downs SR18th28.6%
- 3.1389thLine yards3rd2.36
- 15.8%114thHavoc rate43rd15.5%
- 4.0384thPoints / opportunity22nd3.23
- 52%114thRed zone TD rate68th61%
Pittsburgh's defense rates higher in 9 of 11. Widest gap: line yards (89th vs 3rd).
Tempo & tendencies
SEASON TO DATE · NEUTRAL = WP 20–80%SEASON TO DATE
| Metric | GTGT | PITTPITT | FBS avgFBS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Seconds per play · neutralSeconds per play · neutral | 27.9 | 26.6 | 28.9 |
| Plays per gamePlays per game | 61.5 | 70.7 | 65.7 |
| Pass rate · neutralPass rate · neutral | 54.7% | 47.9% | 47.9% |
| Pass rate over expected (PROE) · neutral, dropbacks vs xPassPass rate over expectedPROE · NEUTRAL · vs xPASS | +6.2% | −3.2% | −2.0% |
| Early-down pass rate · neutralEarly-down pass rate · neutral | 49.6% | 45.9% | 44.6% |
| 4th-down go rate · all situations4th-down go rate · all situations | 24% | 29% | 27% |
| Time of possessionTime of possession | 27:12 | 31:52 | 30:11 |
| Avg starting field positionAvg starting field position | Own 27.6 | Own 29.9 | Own 29.8 |
Neutral = WP 20–80%
All tempo →Injury report
ACC AVAILABILITY · DUE ~WED · IMPACT = PTS VS REPLACEMENT × P(OUT)
No report yetACC REPORT EXPECTED ~WED (T-3)
Week 8 T-1 report1 OUT FOR SEASON · 13 OUT · 1 DOUBTFUL · 4 QUESTIONABLE
- Out for seasonKyle Efford · LB
- OutMalachi Hosley · RB
- OutDaiquan White · CB
- OutSavion Riley · S
- OutJaedyn Terry · CB
- OutNoah Carter · EDGE
- OutFenix Felton · S
- OutWill Kiker · S
- OutMarkell Samuel · OL
- OutEthan Mackenny · OL
- OutKentrell Davis · WR
- OutA.J. Hoffler · EDGE
- OutShymeik Jones · DT
- OutLanden Marshall · DT
- DoubtfulTawfiq Thomas · DT
- QuestionableKelvin Hill · CB
- QuestionableJordan Walker · EDGE
- QuestionableJosh Petty · OL
- QuestionableVincent Carroll-Jackson · DT
No report yetACC REPORT EXPECTED ~WED (T-3)
Week 8 T-1 report7 OUT FOR SEASON · 2 OUT · 2 QUESTIONABLE
- Out for seasonMason Heintschel · QB
- Out for seasonElijah Lagg · TE
- Out for seasonMax Hunt · TE
- Out for seasonAllen Bryant · DB
- Out for seasonBen Kauffman · DL
- Out for seasonIsaac Patterson · DB
- Out for seasonRodney Dunbar · WR
- OutJa'Kyrian Turner · RB
- OutTrevor Sommers · DL
- QuestionableRashan Murray · DB
- QuestionableJosh Guerrier · DB
Broadcast
ESPN2CrewTBA
Conditions & crew
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RefereeCrew TBA
RestGT 14d · PITT 14dBOTH OFF BYE