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2026 · THROUGH WK 8

ACC · 3-3 · 1-2 CONF · ATS 4-2 · O/U 1-5

Boston College Eagles

HC Bill O'Brien (3rd yr) · OC Bill O'Brien · DC Ted Roof

STARTS IN 11 PERSONNEL (3 OF 6) · BASE D 4-2-5 · SHOTGUN 100%

Power rating−4.897th
CFP odds0%—
PLAYOFFOUT→OUT
Proj. wins4.6of 12
Fan pulse—7 of 30 scored

ACC · 3-3 · 1-2 CONF · ATS 4-2 · O/U 1-5

Boston College

Eagles · HC Bill O'Brien (3rd yr) · starts in 11 (3 of 6) · base D 4-2-5

Power rating−4.897th
CFP odds · outlook0%—OUT→OUT
Proj. wins4.6of 12
Fan pulse—7 of 30 scored

Boston College

3-3 · 1-2 ACC

POWER RATING−4.897th in FBS
CFP ODDS0%no change
PROJ. WINS4.6of 12 games
PLAYOFF OUTLOOKOUT→OUT

3 losses now · CFP 0% in sims · CCG 0% · title 0%

FAN PULSE—7 of 30 scored

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Schedule & resultsSchedule

POSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS · FUTURE ROWS SHOW PREGAME WPCLOSING LINES · FUTURE ROWS SHOW PROJECTED LINEFUTURE LINES PROJECTED

Boston College schedule and results
Wk
Opponent
Result
Line
ATS
Net EPA
Off SR
Def SR
Win prob
Plays
s/play
1at Cincinnatiat CincinnatiL15–34+7+7L−0.2938%40%9%7248.8
2RutgersRutgersW28–21−3−3W+0.0437%41%59%5926.0
3MaineMaineW22–16−37.5−37.5L−0.0547%34%61%5731.4
4Virginia TechVirginia TechL14–21+14.5+14.5W+0.0937%45%35%6030.0
5at SMUat SMUL16–25+21.5+21.5W−0.1040%37%27%6531.0
6BYE
7PittsburghPittsburghW27–21+6.5+6.5W+0.0941%48%66%6429.1
8at Georgia Techat Georgia TechNEXTSAT 3:30 ACC NetworkSAT 3:30+6+6————42%124—
9at Dukeat DukeOCT 31OCT 31+10.6 proj+10.626%
10Florida StateFlorida StateNOV 7NOV 7+6.1 proj+6.135%
11at Notre Dameat Notre DameNOV 14NOV 14+30.6 proj+30.63%
12SyracuseSyracuseNOV 21NOV 21+1 proj+148%
13at Miamiat MiamiNOV 28NOV 28+26.9 proj+26.95%

Success rate by down & distance

1st67%n 340%n 541%n 14220%n 10
2nd52%n 2345%n 2235%n 5541%n 22
3rd63%n 1935%n 1730%n 2727%n 15
4th44%n 90%n 233%n 3—n 0

Formation & personnelFormation

PBP TAGS · 372 OF 374 PLAYS372 OF 374 PLAYS TAGGED

Formation splits
LookLook · usage
Usage
Pass %Pass
EPA/playEPA
SR
Shotgun100%100%47%−0.0640%
No-huddle41%41%47%−0.0341%
Huddle59%59%47%−0.0739%
StartersSTARTERS
113 of 6 games123 of 6BASE D4-2-55 of 6
113 of 64-2-5base D · 5 of 6

In shotgun on 100 % of tagged snaps, passing 47 % of the time. No-huddle on 41 %. Starts in 11 personnel in 3 of 6 games. Base defense 4-2-5 (5 of 6).

Next game

SAT 3:30 ACC Network · BOBBY DODD STADIUMSAT 3:30 ACC Network

at Georgia TechLINE+6MODEL+3.4WP42%

TOP INJURY · OFFICIAL REPORT

O
Evan DickensRB · JR
RB · top injury
NEXT UPB. M. IIIΔ −0.06 EPA/play
0%TO PLAY
−0.8IMPACT PTS

% to play = 1 − P(out) · expected return not reported

LINE · MODEL · WPIMPACT −0.8 PTS

Refs

JUDGMENT FLAGS OVER EXPECTED · 2026FLAGS OVER EXPECTED / G · 2026

Judgment flags over expected by crew conference
Crews from
FOE / G
90% range
Games
Read
ACC crews−0.3 to +0.5 · 46 games+0.1−0.3 to +0.546NOISE
Big Ten crews— · 3 games−0.9—3NOISE
American crews— · 2 games−0.8—2NOISE
Big 12 crews— · 1 game−2.8—1NOISE
C-USA crews— · 1 game−1.9—1NOISE
MAC crews— · 1 game+2.7—1NOISE
SEC crews— · 1 game−0.7—1NOISE
FRIENDLIEST CREWFRIENDLIESTTim Hedgepeth−2.3 / g · 3 games · noise−2.3 / g · 3 g · noise
TOUGHEST CREWTOUGHESTRiley Johnson+2.3 / g · 5 games · noise+2.3 / g · 5 g · noise

+ = more judgment flags on Boston College than expected · 2026 only: crews known for 6 of 7 games · no lean before 8 gamesJudgment flags only, 2026 · crews known for 6 of 7 games · + = more on Boston College than expected · no lean before 8 games

Key players

Unit statsEfficiency

OPP-ADJUSTED · RANK OF 138 FBSFBS RANK · OPP-ADJUSTED

Boston College offense statistics
MetricStat
Boston CollegeBC
RankRK
FBS avgVS FBS
EPA / play−0.07119th+0.06
Success rate38.9%111th42.3%
Explosiveness1.3152nd1.30
Rush EPA / play+0.0491st+0.07
Pass EPA / play−0.01118th+0.11
Passing downs SR30.6%80th31.1%
Line yards3.0896th3.21
Sack rate allowed7.3%111th5.3%
3rd-down conversion37%97th41%
Points / opportunity3.19126th4.27
Red zone TD rate50%119th63%
Seconds / play29.8103rd28.0