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FINAL · ESPN2 · ALUMNI STADIUM
PITTPittsburgh
215-2 · 2-2 ACC
21
FINAL
BCBoston College
273-3 · 1-2 ACC
27
BC +6.5 COVEROVER 42.5MODEL EDGE MISS
PREGAME WP BC 23%→POSTGAME WE BC 66%
Alumni Stadium · 32,847
Postgame WE
66%BC · 10k sims
How often this box score wins
Offense EPA / play
+0.15PITT +0.06
Success rate
41%PITT 48%
Turnovers
2–1≈ 3.7 pts swing
vs model
−6proj PITT by 12.3
Plays · pace
128proj 134 · 28.1s

Win probability · full game

BC LOW 9% · Q1 6:02 · EXCITEMENT INDEX 5.2

Plays that decided it

Ranked by |win probability added|
  1. 1Boston College
    Ferguson fumble, BC recovers
    (05:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 D.Ferguson Jr. rush middle for 1 yard gain to the PIT48 fumbled by #26 D.Ferguson Jr. at PIT47 forced by #7 C.Davis recovered by BC #19 M.Townsend at PIT48, End Of Play
    Q3 5:07 · 3rd & 1 PITT 47 · −4.7 PITT EPA
    Q3 5:07 · 3rd & 1 PITT 47 · −4.7 PITT EPA
    +.20
  2. 2Boston College
    McKenzie 69-yd TD to Wright
    (14:24) Shotgun #10 M.McKenzie pass complete deep left to #9 L.Wright caught at PIT35, for 69 yards to the PIT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 14:14, 1ST DOWN #99 L.Lombardo kick attempt good (H: #96 B.LaFollette, LS: #49 C.Crook)
    Q3 14:24 · 2nd & 4 · 14–12 → 21–12 · +5.8 EPA
    Q3 14:24 · 14–12 → 21–12 · +5.8 EPA
    +.19
  3. 3Pittsburgh
    MacCormack run, −1
    (03:53) Shotgun #24 B.MacCormack III rush middle for 1 yard loss to the PIT41 (#5 Z.Crothers; #12 C.Brookins), TURNOVER ON DOWNS
    Q3 3:53 · 4th & 2 PITT 40 · turnover on downs · −3.3 BC EPA
    Q3 3:53 · 4th & 2 PITT 40 · −3.3 BC EPA
    −.17
  4. 4Pittsburgh
    Dailey 75-yd TD to Hicks
    (14:54) Shotgun #16 C.Dailey pass complete deep middle to #3 C.Hicks caught at BC 33, for 75 yards to the BC 00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 14:42, 1ST DOWN #48 A.Chadha kick attempt good (H: #92 K.Tijerina, LS: #59 J.Schmidt)
    Q1 14:54 · 1st & 10 · 0–0 → 0–7 · +6.4 EPA
    Q1 14:54 · 0–0 → 0–7 · +6.4 EPA
    −.17
  5. 5Boston College
    McKenzie 53-yd pass to Wright
    (13:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 M.McKenzie pass complete deep left to #9 L.Wright caught at PIT13, for 53 yards to the PIT01 (#22 Z.Ferguson), 1ST DOWN
    Q4 13:44 · 2nd & 11 BC 46 · +4.9 EPA
    Q4 13:44 · 2nd & 11 BC 46 · +4.9 EPA
    +.15

Player EPA

Total · game
Full box scoreAll 128 plays