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2026 · THROUGH WK 8

ACC · 4-4 · 2-3 CONF · ATS 3-5 · O/U 6-2

Stanford Cardinal

HC Tavita Pritchard (1st yr) · OC Terry Heffernan · DC —

STARTS IN 12 PERSONNEL (3 OF 5) · BASE D 2-4-5 · SHOTGUN 92%

Power rating−10.7125th
CFP odds0%—
PLAYOFFOUT→OUT
Proj. wins4.7of 12
Fan pulse—2 of 30 scored

ACC · 4-4 · 2-3 CONF · ATS 3-5 · O/U 6-2

Stanford

Cardinal · HC Tavita Pritchard (1st yr) · starts in 12 (3 of 5) · base D 2-4-5

Power rating−10.7125th
CFP odds · outlook0%—OUT→OUT
Proj. wins4.7of 12
Fan pulse—2 of 30 scored

Stanford

4-4 · 2-3 ACC

POWER RATING−10.7125th in FBS
CFP ODDS0%no change
PROJ. WINS4.7of 12 games
PLAYOFF OUTLOOKOUT→OUT

4 losses now · CFP 0% in sims · CCG 0% · title 0%

FAN PULSE—2 of 30 scored

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Schedule & resultsSchedule

POSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS · FUTURE ROWS SHOW PREGAME WPCLOSING LINES · FUTURE ROWS SHOW PROJECTED LINEFUTURE LINES PROJECTED

Stanford schedule and results
Wk
Opponent
Result
Line
ATS
Net EPA
Off SR
Def SR
Win prob
Plays
s/play
1Hawai'iHawai'iW37–27−5−5W+0.2045%36%69%7126.8
1MiamiMiamiL6–45+24.5+24.5L−0.6838%63%0%6524.4
2BYE
3at Dukeat DukeL7–35+10+10L−0.5934%49%3%5923.8
4Georgia TechGeorgia TechW34–27+3+3W+0.1443%44%69%7026.5
5at Wake Forestat Wake ForestL3–57+14.5+14.5L−0.8928%65%0%6728.5
6at Notre Dameat Notre DameL7–58+40.5+40.5L−1.3319%48%0%4432.2
7ElonElonW34–7−33.5−33.5L+0.5348%27%95%7328.0
8NC StateNC StateW31–28+7.5+7.5W———40%——
9at Louisvilleat LouisvilleNEXTSAT 3:15 ACC NetworkSAT 3:15+22 proj+22————9%——
10BYE
11at Virginia Techat Virginia TechNOV 14NOV 14+16.6 proj+16.616%
12at Californiaat CaliforniaNOV 21NOV 21+7.8 proj+7.832%
13SMUSMUNOV 28NOV 28+15.6 proj+15.617%

Success rate by down & distance

1st100%n 275%n 444%n 17220%n 5
2nd62%n 1349%n 3531%n 676%n 16
3rd69%n 1650%n 2022%n 326%n 17
4th60%n 5100%n 2100%n 150%n 2

Formation & personnelFormation

PBP TAGS · 407 OF 409 PLAYS407 OF 409 PLAYS TAGGED

Formation splits
LookLook · usage
Usage
Pass %Pass
EPA/playEPA
SR
Shotgun92%92%58%+0.0240%
Under center8%8%45%+0.2236%
No-huddle62%62%58%+0.0338%
Huddle38%38%56%+0.0343%
StartersSTARTERS
123 of 5 games112 of 5BASE D2-4-54 of 5
123 of 52-4-5base D · 4 of 5

In shotgun on 92 % of tagged snaps, passing 58 % of the time (+0.02 EPA a play; +0.22 under center). No-huddle on 62 %. Starts in 12 personnel in 3 of 5 games. Base defense 2-4-5 (4 of 5).

Next game

SAT 3:15 ACC Network · L&N FEDERAL CREDIT UNION STADIUMSAT 3:15 ACC Network

at LouisvilleLINE—MODEL+22WP9%

Refs

JUDGMENT FLAGS OVER EXPECTED · 2026FLAGS OVER EXPECTED / G · 2026

Judgment flags over expected by crew conference
Crews from
FOE / G
90% range
Games
Read
ACC crews−0.5 to +0.5 · 17 games0.0−0.5 to +0.517NOISE
Pac-12 crews−0.6 to +0.5 · 15 games0.0−0.6 to +0.515NOISE
Mountain West crews— · 1 game−2.1—1NOISE
FRIENDLIEST CREWFRIENDLIESTNate Black−1.2 / g · 3 games · noise−1.2 / g · 3 g · noise
TOUGHEST CREWTOUGHESTJustin Elliott+1.0 / g · 4 games · noise+1.0 / g · 4 g · noise

+ = more judgment flags on Stanford than expected · 2026 only: crews known for 4 of 9 games · no lean before 8 gamesJudgment flags only, 2026 · crews known for 4 of 9 games · + = more on Stanford than expected · no lean before 8 games

Key players

Unit statsEfficiency

OPP-ADJUSTED · RANK OF 138 FBSFBS RANK · OPP-ADJUSTED

Stanford offense statistics
MetricStat
StanfordSTAN
RankRK
FBS avgVS FBS
EPA / play−0.05112th+0.06
Success rate38.1%124th42.3%
Explosiveness1.2786th1.30
Rush EPA / play−0.04127th+0.07
Pass EPA / play+0.05101st+0.11
Passing downs SR27.0%130th31.1%
Line yards2.86124th3.21
Sack rate allowed3.6%40th5.3%
3rd-down conversion33%117th41%
Points / opportunity4.0879th4.27
Red zone TD rate61%80th63%
Seconds / play26.439th28.0