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FINAL · ACCNX · STANFORD STADIUM
ELONElon
70-1 · 0-0 Coastal Athletic
7
FINAL
STANStanford
343-4 · 1-3 ACC
34
ELON +33.5 COVERUNDER 55.5MODEL EDGE HIT
PREGAME WP STAN 79%→POSTGAME WE STAN 95%
Stanford Stadium · 18,940
Postgame WE
95%STAN · 10k sims
How often this box score wins
Offense EPA / play
+0.24ELON −0.14
Success rate
51%ELON 31%
Turnovers
1–0≈ 7.0 pts swing
vs model
+27proj STAN by 13.4
Plays · pace
134proj 126 · 26.9s

Win probability · full game

STAN LOW 97% · Q1 6:01 · EXCITEMENT INDEX 2.6

Plays that decided it

Ranked by |win probability added|
  1. 1Elon
    Kenney 35-yd FG no good
    (08:10) #13 E.Kenney field goal attempt from 35 yards NO GOOD (H: #37 A.Flintoft, LS: #47 A.Chavez), clock 08:07
    Q1 8:10 · 4th & 12 ELON 22 · −2.7 STAN EPA
    Q1 8:10 · 4th & 12 ELON 22 · −2.7 STAN EPA
    −.01
  2. 2Elon
    Mcdowell-Moore 12-yd run
    (06:06) #22 K.Mcdowell-Moore rush middle for 12 yards gain to the ELON47 (#39 C.Eckhardt; #5 J.Green), 1ST DOWN
    Q1 6:06 · 2nd & 10 ELON 35 · +1.6 EPA
    Q1 6:06 · 2nd & 10 ELON 35 · +1.6 EPA
    −.01
  3. 3Stanford
    Crews incomplete to Alford, broken up by Bryant
    (04:20) Shotgun #12 T.Crews IV pass incomplete short middle to #17 J.Alford thrown to STAN25 broken up by #4 L.Bryant
    Q1 4:20 · 2nd & 9 STAN 37 · −1.2 ELON EPA
    Q1 4:20 · 2nd & 9 STAN 37 · −1.2 ELON EPA
    +.01
  4. 4Stanford
    Holding on ELON
    (04:15) Shotgun #12 T.Crews IV pass incomplete short middle to #0 Z.Winston thrown to STAN33 QB hurried by #0 J.Galvan PENALTY ELON Holding (#58 G.Navarro) 10 yards from STAN37 to STAN47. NO PLAY
    Q1 4:15 · 3rd & 9 STAN 37 · −1.1 ELON EPA
    Q1 4:15 · 3rd & 9 STAN 37 · −1.1 ELON EPA
    +.01
  5. 5Elon
    Mcdowell-Moore 7-yd run
    (06:51) #22 K.Mcdowell-Moore rush middle for 7 yards gain to the ELON35 (#10 S.Mattingly), 1ST DOWN
    Q1 6:51 · 3rd & 4 ELON 28 · +1.7 EPA
    Q1 6:51 · 3rd & 4 ELON 28 · +1.7 EPA
    −.01

Player EPA

Total · game
Full box scoreAll 134 plays