reportedThe Daily Orange football@sports
1dUnconfirmed tip: Odom could be out for the season.
Amari Odom · QBCHECKING
ACC · 2-4 · 0-4 CONF · ATS 3-3 · O/U 4-2
Syracuse Orange
HC Fran Brown (3rd yr) · OC Jeff Nixon · DC Vince Kehres
STARTS IN 11 PERSONNEL (5 OF 6) · BASE D 3-3-5 · SHOTGUN 96%
Power rating−1.881st
CFP odds0%—
PLAYOFFOUT→OUT
Proj. wins4.1of 12
Fan pulse—1 of 30 scored
ACC · 2-4 · 0-4 CONF · ATS 3-3 · O/U 4-2
Syracuse
Orange · HC Fran Brown (3rd yr) · starts in 11 (5 of 6) · base D 3-3-5
Power rating−1.881st
CFP odds · outlook0%—OUT→OUT
Proj. wins4.1of 12
Fan pulse—1 of 30 scored
Syracuse
2-4 · 0-4 ACC
POWER RATING−1.881st in FBS
CFP ODDS0%no change
PROJ. WINS4.1of 12 games
PLAYOFF OUTLOOKOUT→OUT
4 losses now · CFP 0% in sims · CCG 0% · title 0%
FAN PULSE—1 of 30 scored
Latest from the beat
SYRACUSE · LAST 72 HLAST 72 H
All coverage →reportedThe Daily Orange football@sports
1dUnconfirmed tip: Nelson could be out against North Carolina on Saturday.
Malachi Nelson · QBCHECKING
reportedThe Daily Orange football@sports
1dUnconfirmed tip: Angeli could play against North Carolina on Saturday.
Steve Angeli · QBCHECKING
Schedule & resultsSchedule
POSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS · FUTURE ROWS SHOW PREGAME WPCLOSING LINES · FUTURE ROWS SHOW PROJECTED LINEFUTURE LINES PROJECTED
Wk | Opponent | Result | Line | ATS | Net EPA | Off SR | Def SR | Win prob | Plays | s/play | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |   New HampshireNew Hampshire | W66–3 | −35−35 | W | +1.26 | 60% | 25% | 100% | 76 | 25.1 | |
| 2 |   CaliforniaCalifornia | L18–21 | −4−4 | L | −0.01 | 34% | 36% | 47% | 86 | 24.5 | |
| 3 |   at Pittsburghat Pittsburgh | L13–27 | +11+11 | L | −0.16 | 37% | 47% | 18% | 71 | 28.5 | |
| 4 | BYE | ||||||||||
| 5 |   at UConnat UConn | W42–41 | −6.5−6.5 | L | +0.03 | 51% | 41% | 49% | 83 | 28.3 | |
| 6 |   at Virginiaat Virginia | L25–28 | +14+14 | W | +0.03 | 38% | 49% | 42% | 81 | 26.6 | |
| 7 |   LouisvilleLouisville | L26–34 | +14.5+14.5 | W | −0.22 | 45% | 44% | 36% | 83 | 25.9 | |
| 8 |   at North Carolinaat North CarolinaNEXT | SAT 7:30 ACC NetworkSAT 7:30 | +9+9 | — | — | — | — | 33% | 137 | — | |
| 9 |   SMUSMU | OCT 31OCT 31 | +7.2 proj+7.2 | 33% | |||||||
| 10 |   ClemsonClemson | NOV 7NOV 7 | +1.7 proj+1.7 | 46% | |||||||
| 11 |   at NC Stateat NC State | NOV 14NOV 14 | +4.9 proj+4.9 | 38% | |||||||
| 12 |   at Boston Collegeat Boston College | NOV 21NOV 21 | −1 proj−1 | 52% | |||||||
| 13 |   Notre DameNotre Dame | NOV 28NOV 28 | +25.6 proj+25.6 | 6% |
Success rate by down & distance
1st67%n 625%n 444%n 18638%n 8
2nd58%n 2648%n 3137%n 6821%n 19
3rd70%n 2047%n 1927%n 3020%n 15
4th67%n 90%n 10%n 167%n 3
Formation & personnelFormation
PBP TAGS · 440 OF 446 PLAYS440 OF 446 PLAYS TAGGED
LookLook · usage | Usage | Pass %Pass | EPA/playEPA | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shotgun96% | 96% | 53% | +0.06 | 42% |
| Under center4% | 4% | 31% | +0.17 | 56% |
| No-huddle79% | 79% | 54% | +0.06 | 44% |
| Huddle21% | 21% | 43% | +0.07 | 36% |
StartersSTARTERS
115 of 6 games121 of 6BASE D3-3-54 of 6
115 of 63-3-5base D · 4 of 6
In shotgun on 96 % of tagged snaps, passing 53 % of the time (+0.06 EPA a play; +0.17 under center). No-huddle on 79 %. Starts in 11 personnel in 5 of 6 games. Base defense 3-3-5 (4 of 6).
Next game
SAT 7:30 ACC Network · KENAN STADIUMSAT 7:30 ACC Network
TOP INJURY · OFFICIAL REPORT
O
Amari OdomQB · JR
QB · top injuryNEXT UPS. AngeliΔ −0.17 EPA/play
0%TO PLAY
−3.1IMPACT PTS
% to play = 1 − P(out) · expected return not reported
LINE · MODEL · WPIMPACT −3.1 PTS
Refs
JUDGMENT FLAGS OVER EXPECTED · 2026FLAGS OVER EXPECTED / G · 2026
Crews from | FOE / G | 90% range | Games | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ACC crews−0.4 to +0.4 · 47 games | 0.0 | −0.4 to +0.4 | 47 | NOISE |
| Big Ten crews— · 3 games | −1.6 | — | 3 | NOISE |
| Big 12 crews— · 1 game | −1.8 | — | 1 | NOISE |
| C-USA crews— · 1 game | +0.6 | — | 1 | NOISE |
| MAC crews— · 1 game | +0.9 | — | 1 | NOISE |
| SEC crews— · 1 game | +1.7 | — | 1 | NOISE |
| Sun Belt crews— · 1 game | −0.2 | — | 1 | NOISE |
FRIENDLIEST CREWFRIENDLIESTRiley Johnson−1.6 / g · 6 games · noise−1.6 / g · 6 g · noise
TOUGHEST CREWTOUGHESTJeff Flanagan+1.4 / g · 3 games · noise+1.4 / g · 3 g · noise
+ = more judgment flags on Syracuse than expected · 2026 only: crews known for 6 of 7 games · no lean before 8 gamesJudgment flags only, 2026 · crews known for 6 of 7 games · + = more on Syracuse than expected · no lean before 8 games
Key players
QB · #9 · SRSteve Angeli−0.01EPA/dropback · 116thCPOE−2.7aDOT9.0Sack %7.2%RB · #20 · SOTylik Hill44.3%rush SR · 119thYards per carry5.4Explosive rate8.9%Rush EPA+0.10WR · #2 · SRUmari Hatcher3.34YPTPA · 11thTarget share33.3%EPA / target+0.62aDOT12.3DL · #92 · SRRashard Perry8havoc plays · 32ndTFL7Sacks1Forced fumbles0
Unit statsEfficiency
OPP-ADJUSTED · RANK OF 138 FBSFBS RANK · OPP-ADJUSTED
MetricStat | SyracuseSYR | RankRK | FBS avgVS FBS |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPA / play | +0.03 | 81st | +0.06 |
| Success rate | 42.2% | 64th | 42.3% |
| Explosiveness | 1.30 | 69th | 1.30 |
| Rush EPA / play | +0.07 | 67th | +0.07 |
| Pass EPA / play | +0.06 | 90th | +0.11 |
| Passing downs SR | 31.6% | 55th | 31.1% |
| Line yards | 2.87 | 122nd | 3.21 |
| Sack rate allowed | 6.4% | 98th | 5.3% |
| 3rd-down conversion | 43% | 55th | 41% |
| Points / opportunity | 3.67 | 108th | 4.27 |
| Red zone TD rate | 54% | 109th | 63% |
| Seconds / play | 26.4 | 40th | 28.0 |