ACC · 4-4 · 2-3 CONF · ATS 3-4 · O/U 3-5
Virginia Cavaliers
HC Tony Elliott (5th yr) · OC Des Kitchings · DC John Rudzinski
STARTS IN 12 PERSONNEL (4 OF 7) · BASE D 4-2-5 · SHOTGUN 94%
ACC · 4-4 · 2-3 CONF · ATS 3-4 · O/U 3-5
Virginia
Cavaliers · HC Tony Elliott (5th yr) · starts in 12 (4 of 7) · base D 4-2-5
Virginia
4-4 · 2-3 ACC
4 losses now · CFP 0% in sims · CCG 0% · title 0%
Latest from the beat
VIRGINIA · LAST 72 HLAST 72 H
All coverage →No verified updates in the last 72 hours.
Schedule & resultsSchedule
POSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS · FUTURE ROWS SHOW PREGAME WPCLOSING LINES · FUTURE ROWS SHOW PROJECTED LINEFUTURE LINES PROJECTED
Wk | Opponent | Result | Line | ATS | Net EPA | Off SR | Def SR | Win prob | Plays | s/play | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |   NC StateNC State | W34–8 | −4−4 | W | +0.58 | 53% | 32% | 98% | 68 | 34.9 | |
| 2 |   Norfolk StateNorfolk State | W59–3 | −47.5−47.5 | W | +0.79 | 72% | 38% | 100% | 60 | 30.1 | |
| 3 |   vs West Virginia · Charlottevs West Virginia | L27–38 | −11−11 | L | −0.22 | 40% | 42% | 25% | 70 | 29.8 | |
| 4 |   DelawareDelaware | W42–3 | −20−20 | W | +0.74 | 55% | 31% | 98% | 84 | 28.3 | |
| 5 |   at Florida Stateat Florida State | L7–38 | −1.5−1.5 | L | −0.52 | 33% | 50% | 2% | 70 | 25.4 | |
| 6 |   SyracuseSyracuse | W28–25 | −14−14 | L | −0.03 | 49% | 38% | 59% | 53 | 29.4 | |
| 7 |   at SMUat SMU | L13–23 | +10+10 | P | −0.22 | 41% | 46% | 20% | 54 | 34.2 | |
| 8 |   DukeDuke | L16–19 | −2.5−2.5 | L | — | — | — | 40% | — | — | |
| 9 |   at Wake Forestat Wake ForestNEXT | SAT 3:45SAT 3:45 | +15.3 proj+15.3 | — | — | — | — | 18% | — | — | |
| 10 | BYE | ||||||||||
| 11 |   CaliforniaCalifornia | NOV 14NOV 14 | −9.9 proj−9.9 | 73% | |||||||
| 12 |   North CarolinaNorth Carolina | NOV 21NOV 21 | −1 proj−1 | 53% | |||||||
| 13 |   at Virginia Techat Virginia Tech | NOV 28NOV 28 | +3.9 proj+3.9 | 41% |
Success rate by down & distance
Formation & personnelFormation
PBP TAGS · 447 OF 451 PLAYS447 OF 451 PLAYS TAGGED
LookLook · usage | Usage | Pass %Pass | EPA/playEPA | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shotgun94% | 94% | 44% | +0.06 | 44% |
| Under center6% | 6% | 19% | +0.21 | 63% |
| No-huddle26% | 26% | 45% | −0.13 | 37% |
| Huddle74% | 74% | 42% | +0.13 | 48% |
In shotgun on 94 % of tagged snaps, passing 44 % of the time (+0.06 EPA a play; +0.21 under center). No-huddle on 26 %. Starts in 12 personnel in 4 of 7 games. Base defense 4-2-5 (6 of 7).
Next game
SAT 3:45 · ALLEGACY FEDERAL CREDIT UNION STADIUMSAT 3:45
Refs
JUDGMENT FLAGS OVER EXPECTED · 2026FLAGS OVER EXPECTED / G · 2026
Crews from | FOE / G | 90% range | Games | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ACC crews−0.3 to +0.6 · 34 games | +0.1 | −0.3 to +0.6 | 34 | NOISE |
| Big Ten crews— · 1 game | −2.1 | — | 1 | NOISE |
| C-USA crews— · 1 game | −1.6 | — | 1 | NOISE |
| SEC crews— · 1 game | −5.4 | — | 1 | NOISE |
| Sun Belt crews— · 1 game | −0.5 | — | 1 | NOISE |
+ = more judgment flags on Virginia than expected · 2026 only: crews known for 8 of 9 games · no lean before 8 gamesJudgment flags only, 2026 · crews known for 8 of 9 games · + = more on Virginia than expected · no lean before 8 games
Key players
Unit statsEfficiency
OPP-ADJUSTED · RANK OF 138 FBSFBS RANK · OPP-ADJUSTED
MetricStat | VirginiaUVA | RankRK | FBS avgVS FBS |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPA / play | +0.05 | 69th | +0.06 |
| Success rate | 43.8% | 47th | 42.3% |
| Explosiveness | 1.19 | 133rd | 1.30 |
| Rush EPA / play | +0.06 | 74th | +0.07 |
| Pass EPA / play | +0.08 | 79th | +0.11 |
| Passing downs SR | 26.8% | 132nd | 31.1% |
| Line yards | 3.55 | 21st | 3.21 |
| Sack rate allowed | 8.5% | 126th | 5.3% |
| 3rd-down conversion | 29% | 136th | 41% |
| Points / opportunity | 5.14 | 17th | 4.27 |
| Red zone TD rate | 77% | 13th | 63% |
| Seconds / play | 30.8 | 119th | 28.0 |