ACC · 4-4 · 2-3 CONF · ATS 3-4 · O/U 3-5
Virginia Cavaliers
HC Tony Elliott (5th yr) · OC Des Kitchings · DC John Rudzinski
STARTS IN 12 PERSONNEL (4 OF 7) · BASE D 4-2-5 · SHOTGUN 94%
Power rating1.163rd
CFP odds0%—
PLAYOFFNEEDS TITLE→OUT
Proj. wins5.8of 12
Fan pulse—1 of 30 scored
ACC · 4-4 · 2-3 CONF · ATS 3-4 · O/U 3-5
Virginia
Cavaliers · HC Tony Elliott (5th yr) · starts in 12 (4 of 7) · base D 4-2-5
Power rating1.163rd
CFP odds · outlook0%—NEEDS TITLE→OUT
Proj. wins5.8of 12
Fan pulse—1 of 30 scored
Virginia
4-4 · 2-3 ACC
POWER RATING1.163rd in FBS
CFP ODDS0%no change
PROJ. WINS5.8of 12 games
PLAYOFF OUTLOOKNEEDS TITLE→OUT
4 losses now · CFP 0% in sims · CCG 0% · title 0%
FAN PULSE—1 of 30 scored
RECORD4-4
ATS · O/U3-4 · 3-5
POSTGAME WE · AVG55%4.4 expected wins
NET EPA / PLAY−0.0171st FBS
Schedule & resultsSchedule
POSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS (10K SIMS) · FUTURE ROWS: PREGAME WP + MODEL LINEPOSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS (10K SIMS)POSTGAME WE · 10K SIMS
Wk | Opponent | Result | Line | ATS | Net EPA | Off SR | Def SR | WP · post / pre | O/U | Model | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |   NC StateNC State | W34–8 | −4−4 | W | +0.58 | 53% | 32% | 98% | U 50.5 | — | |
EPA +0.58 · SR 53% · U 50.5WE 98% | |||||||||||
| 2 |   Norfolk StateNorfolk State | W59–3 | −47.5−47.5 | W | +0.79 | 72% | 38% | 100% | O 56.5 | — | |
EPA +0.79 · SR 72% · O 56.5WE 100% | |||||||||||
| 3 |   vs West Virginia · Charlottevs West Virginia | L27–38 | −11−11 | L | −0.22 | 40% | 42% | 25% | O 51.5 | — | |
EPA −0.22 · SR 40% · O 51.5WE 25% | |||||||||||
| 4 |   DelawareDelaware | W42–3 | −20−20 | W | +0.74 | 55% | 31% | 98% | U 52.5 | — | |
EPA +0.74 · SR 55% · U 52.5WE 98% | |||||||||||
| 5 |   at Florida Stateat Florida State | L7–38 | −1.5−1.5 | L | −0.52 | 33% | 50% | 2% | U 51.5 | — | |
EPA −0.52 · SR 33% · U 51.5WE 2% | |||||||||||
| 6 |   SyracuseSyracuse | W28–25 | −14−14 | L | −0.03 | 49% | 38% | 59% | O 49.5 | — | |
EPA −0.03 · SR 49% · O 49.5WE 59% | |||||||||||
| 7 |   at SMUat SMU | L13–23 | +10+10 | P | −0.22 | 41% | 46% | 20% | U 51.5 | — | |
EPA −0.22 · SR 41% · U 51.5WE 20% | |||||||||||
| 8 |   DukeDuke | L16–19 | −2.5−2.5 | L | — | — | — | 40% | U 47.5 | — | |
EPA — · SR — · U 47.5WE 40% | |||||||||||
| 9 |   at Wake Forestat Wake ForestNEXT | SAT 3:45SAT 3:45 | —+15.3 | — | — | — | — | 18% | — | +15.3 | |
MODEL +15.3WP 18% | |||||||||||
| 10 | BYE | ||||||||||
| 11 |   CaliforniaCalifornia | NOV 14NOV 14 | —−9.9 | 73% | −9.9 | ||||||
MODEL −9.9WP 73% | |||||||||||
| 12 |   North CarolinaNorth Carolina | NOV 21NOV 21 | —−1 | 53% | −1 | ||||||
MODEL −1WP 53% | |||||||||||
| 13 |   at Virginia Techat Virginia Tech | NOV 28NOV 28 | —+3.9 | 41% | +3.9 | ||||||
MODEL +3.9WP 41% | |||||||||||