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FINAL · CW · GERALD J. FORD STADIUM
UVAVirginia
134-3 · 2-2 ACC
13
FINAL
SMUSMU
235-1 · 3-1 ACC
23
SMU −10 PUSHUNDER 51.5MODEL EDGE PUSH
PREGAME WP SMU 66%→POSTGAME WE SMU 81%
Gerald J. Ford Stadium · 28,713
Postgame WE
81%SMU · 10k sims
How often this box score wins
Offense EPA / play
+0.18UVA −0.04
Success rate
46%UVA 41%
Turnovers
0–1≈ 4.2 pts swing
vs model
+10proj SMU by 6.7
Plays · pace
121proj 135 · 29.8s

Win probability · full game

SMU LOW 60% · Q2 11:12 · EXCITEMENT INDEX 4.3

Plays that decided it

Ranked by |win probability added|
  1. 1SMU
    Jennings 59-yd pass to Smith
    (10:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Jennings pass complete deep right to #3 Y.Smith caught at SMU41, for 59 yards to the UVA29 (#17 J.Ross), 1ST DOWN
    Q2 10:56 · 2nd & 11 SMU 12 · +4.7 EPA
    Q2 10:56 · 2nd & 11 SMU 12 · +4.7 EPA
    +.13
  2. 2SMU
    Jennings 37-yd TD to Hale
    (12:34) Shotgun #7 K.Jennings pass complete short right to #2 J.Hale caught at UVA25, for 37 yards to the UVA00 QB hurried by #16 M.Fobbs-White TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:22, 1ST DOWN #97 B.Baird kick attempt good (H: #96 W.Olson, LS: #48 M.Tribbett)
    Q4 12:34 · 3rd & 10 · 16–13 → 23–13 · +5.7 EPA
    Q4 12:34 · 16–13 → 23–13 · +5.7 EPA
    +.13
  3. 3Virginia
    Pribula 25-yd pass to Gibson
    (02:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 B.Pribula pass complete short middle to #4 J.Gibson caught at UVA30, for 25 yards to the SMU48 (#32 J.Anderson; #28 B.Booker), 1ST DOWN
    Q3 2:11 · 3rd & 8 UVA 27 · +4.0 EPA
    Q3 2:11 · 3rd & 8 UVA 27 · +4.0 EPA
    −.08
  4. 4SMU
    Jennings 6-yd TD to Pittman
    (06:26) Shotgun #7 K.Jennings pass complete short right to #5 R.Pittman Jr. caught at UVA06, for 6 yards to the UVA00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 06:20, 1ST DOWN #97 B.Baird kick attempt good (H: #96 W.Olson, LS: #48 M.Tribbett)
    Q2 6:26 · 4th & 1 · 3–7 → 10–7 · +3.0 EPA
    Q2 6:26 · 3–7 → 10–7 · +3.0 EPA
    +.08
  5. 5SMU
    Jennings 7-yd pass to Knight
    (09:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Jennings pass complete short right to #8 Y.Knight caught at UVA17, for 7 yards to the UVA15 QB hurried by #33 N.Anyanwu (#14 F.Camac), 1ST DOWN
    Q2 9:23 · 4th & 3 UVA 22 · +2.9 EPA
    Q2 9:23 · 4th & 3 UVA 22 · +2.9 EPA
    +.07

Player EPA

Total · game
Full box scoreAll 121 plays