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2026 · THROUGH WK 8

ACC · 5-2 · 2-2 CONF · ATS 4-3 · O/U 5-2

Virginia Tech Hokies

HC James Franklin (1st yr) · OC Ty Howle · DC Brent Pry

STARTS IN 11 PERSONNEL (5 OF 5) · BASE D 4-3-4 · SHOTGUN 91%

Power rating2.354th
CFP odds0%—
PLAYOFFBUBBLE→LONG SHOT
Proj. wins7.3of 12
Fan pulse—7 of 30 scored

ACC · 5-2 · 2-2 CONF · ATS 4-3 · O/U 5-2

Virginia Tech

Hokies · HC James Franklin (1st yr) · starts in 11 (5 of 5) · base D 4-3-4

Power rating2.354th
CFP odds · outlook0%—BUBBLE→LONG SHOT
Proj. wins7.3of 12
Fan pulse—7 of 30 scored

Virginia Tech

5-2 · 2-2 ACC

POWER RATING2.354th in FBS
CFP ODDS0%no change
PROJ. WINS7.3of 12 games
PLAYOFF OUTLOOKBUBBLE→LONG SHOT

2 losses now · CFP 0% in sims · CCG 1% · title 0%

FAN PULSE—7 of 30 scored

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VIRGINIA TECH · LAST 72 HLAST 72 H

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Schedule & resultsSchedule

POSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS · FUTURE ROWS SHOW PREGAME WPCLOSING LINES · FUTURE ROWS SHOW PROJECTED LINEFUTURE LINES PROJECTED

Virginia Tech schedule and results
Wk
Opponent
Result
Line
ATS
Net EPA
Off SR
Def SR
Win prob
Plays
s/play
1VMIVMIW73–3−54.5−54.5W+1.6977%6%100%7225.4
2Old DominionOld DominionW44–21−18−18W+0.2841%32%69%8628.3
3at Marylandat MarylandW35–26−2.5−2.5W+0.2054%49%72%7228.6
4at Boston Collegeat Boston CollegeW21–14−14.5−14.5L−0.0945%37%65%7421.5
5PittsburghPittsburghL33–35−1.5−1.5L+0.0540%30%46%7327.4
6at Californiaat CaliforniaL20–25−11.5−11.5L−0.0544%45%36%6427.5
7Georgia TechGeorgia TechW34–24−8.5−8.5W+0.2545%44%70%6031.5
8at Clemsonat ClemsonNEXTSAT 7:00 ESPNSAT 7:00+2.5+2.5————45%140—
9BYE
10at SMUat SMUNOV 6NOV 6+7.2 proj+7.233%
11StanfordStanfordNOV 14NOV 14−16.6 proj−16.684%
12at Miamiat MiamiNOV 21NOV 21+20.6 proj+20.611%
13VirginiaVirginiaNOV 28NOV 28−3.9 proj−3.959%

Success rate by down & distance

1st67%n 6—n 047%n 18033%n 3
2nd50%n 2442%n 3150%n 6443%n 21
3rd68%n 3129%n 2128%n 1821%n 14
4th89%n 950%n 2—n 0100%n 1

Formation & personnelFormation

PBP TAGS · 421 OF 425 PLAYS421 OF 425 PLAYS TAGGED

Formation splits
LookLook · usage
Usage
Pass %Pass
EPA/playEPA
SR
Shotgun91%91%56%+0.1746%
Under center9%9%22%+0.3058%
No-huddle29%29%60%0.0043%
Huddle71%71%51%+0.2649%
StartersSTARTERS
115 of 5 gamesBASE D4-3-43 of 4
115 of 54-3-4base D · 3 of 4

In shotgun on 91 % of tagged snaps, passing 56 % of the time (+0.17 EPA a play; +0.30 under center). No-huddle on 29 %. Starts in 11 personnel in 5 of 5 games. Base defense 4-3-4 (3 of 4).

Next game

SAT 7:00 ESPN · MEMORIAL STADIUM (CLEMSON, SC)SAT 7:00 ESPN

at ClemsonLINE+2.5MODEL+2.1WP45%

TOP INJURY · OFFICIAL REPORT

O
Montavious CunninghamOL · SR
OL · top injury
NEXT UPM. T. III
0%TO PLAY
−0.3IMPACT PTS

% to play = 1 − P(out) · expected return not reported

LINE · MODEL · WPIMPACT −0.3 PTS

Refs

JUDGMENT FLAGS OVER EXPECTED · 2026FLAGS OVER EXPECTED / G · 2026

Judgment flags over expected by crew conference
Crews from
FOE / G
90% range
Games
Read
ACC crews−0.5 to +0.4 · 28 games−0.1−0.5 to +0.428NOISE
Big 12 crews— · 1 game+6.9—1NOISE
Big Ten crews— · 1 game−2.9—1NOISE
SEC crews— · 1 game−1.7—1NOISE
Sun Belt crews— · 1 game−0.4—1NOISE
FRIENDLIEST CREWFRIENDLIESTAdam Savoie−2.1 / g · 3 games · noise−2.1 / g · 3 g · noise
TOUGHEST CREWTOUGHESTRiley Johnson+0.8 / g · 3 games · noise+0.8 / g · 3 g · noise

+ = more judgment flags on Virginia Tech than expected · 2026 only: crews known for 5 of 8 games · no lean before 8 gamesJudgment flags only, 2026 · crews known for 5 of 8 games · + = more on Virginia Tech than expected · no lean before 8 games

Key players

Unit statsEfficiency

OPP-ADJUSTED · RANK OF 138 FBSFBS RANK · OPP-ADJUSTED

Virginia Tech offense statistics
MetricStat
Virginia TechVT
RankRK
FBS avgVS FBS
EPA / play+0.1432nd+0.06
Success rate46.0%30th42.3%
Explosiveness1.3065th1.30
Rush EPA / play+0.1048th+0.07
Pass EPA / play+0.2229th+0.11
Passing downs SR36.3%7th31.1%
Line yards3.1685th3.21
Sack rate allowed6.2%97th5.3%
3rd-down conversion42%63rd41%
Points / opportunity4.6354th4.27
Red zone TD rate59%92nd63%
Seconds / play27.048th28.0