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FINAL · ACC NETWORK · CALIFORNIA MEMORIAL STADIUM
VTVirginia Tech
204-2 · 1-2 ACC
20
FINAL
CALCalifornia
253-3 · 2-1 ACC
25
CAL +11.5 COVERUNDER 51.5MODEL EDGE HIT
PREGAME WP CAL 37%→POSTGAME WE CAL 64%
California Memorial Stadium · 40,170
Postgame WE
64%CAL · 10k sims
How often this box score wins
Offense EPA / play
+0.13VT +0.08
Success rate
45%VT 44%
Turnovers
0–0
vs model
−5proj VT by 5.5
Plays · pace
135proj 146 · 26.7s

Win probability · full game

CAL LOW 9% · Q2 10:26 · EXCITEMENT INDEX 8.4

Plays that decided it

Ranked by |win probability added|
  1. 1California
    Grunkemeyer incomplete to Reynolds, broken up by Emory
    Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer pass incomplete short middle to #85 L.Reynolds thrown to CAL00 broken up by #20 A.Emory
    Q4 0:06 · 1st & Goal CAL 7 · −4.3 VT EPA
    Q4 0:06 · 1st & Goal CAL 7 · −4.3 VT EPA
    +.47
  2. 2California
    Brousseau 31-yd pass to Strong
    (00:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 J.Brousseau pass complete deep left to #9 I.Strong caught at VT 12, for 31 yards to the VT 02 (#0 Q.Reddish), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY VT Offside declined
    Q4 0:29 · 1st & 10 VT 33 · +3.6 EPA
    Q4 0:29 · 1st & 10 VT 33 · +3.6 EPA
    +.28
  3. 3Virginia Tech
    Grunkemeyer 20-yd pass to Jackson
    Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer pass complete short left to #5 M.Jackson caught at CAL16, for 20 yards to the CAL07, out of bounds at CAL07, 1ST DOWN
    Q4 0:06 · 1st & 10 CAL 27 · +2.3 EPA
    Q4 0:06 · 1st & 10 CAL 27 · +2.3 EPA
    −.27
  4. 4California
    Roughing The Passer on VT
    (00:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 J.Brousseau pass incomplete short middle to #7 C.Hendricks thrown to CAL43 PENALTY VT Roughing The Passer (#3 K.Spencer) 15 yards from CAL37 to VT 48, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY
    Q4 0:42 · 2nd & 10 CAL 37 · +0.8 EPA
    Q4 0:42 · 2nd & 10 CAL 37 · +0.8 EPA
    +.25
  5. 5Virginia Tech
    Hawkins 9-yd run
    (02:00) Shotgun #27 M.Hawkins, Jr. rush middle for 9 yards gain to the CAL02 (#7 D.Harris; #96 D.Wilkins). The previous play is under automatic review - "Short of the line to gain". CALL OVERTURNED. (Original Play: (02:00) Shotgun #27 M.Hawkins, Jr. rush middle for 10 yards gain to the CAL01 (#96 D.Wilkins; #7 D.Harris), 1ST DOWN)
    Q4 2:00 · 1st & 10 CAL 11 · +1.3 EPA
    Q4 2:00 · 1st & 10 CAL 11 · +1.3 EPA
    −.22

Player EPA

Total · game
Full box scoreAll 135 plays