Big 12 · #8 AP · 6-0 · 3-0 CONF · ATS 3-3 · O/U 4-2
Texas Tech Red Raiders
HC Joey McGuire (5th yr) · OC Mack Leftwich · DC Shiel Wood
STARTS IN 11 PERSONNEL (3 OF 6) · BASE D 2-5-4 · SHOTGUN 100%
Big 12 · #8 AP · 6-0 · 3-0 CONF · ATS 3-3 · O/U 4-2
Texas Tech
Red Raiders · HC Joey McGuire (5th yr) · starts in 11 (3 of 6) · base D 2-5-4
Texas Tech
#8 · 6-0 · 3-0 Big 12
0 losses now · CFP 67% in sims · CCG 54% · title 25%
Latest from the beat
TEXAS TECH · LAST 72 HLAST 72 H
All coverage →No verified updates in the last 72 hours.
Schedule & resultsSchedule
POSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS · FUTURE ROWS SHOW PREGAME WPCLOSING LINES · FUTURE ROWS SHOW PROJECTED LINEFUTURE LINES PROJECTED
Wk | Opponent | Result | Line | ATS | Net EPA | Off SR | Def SR | Win prob | Plays | s/play | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |   Abilene ChristianAbilene Christian | W33–10 | −45−45 | L | +0.51 | 53% | 26% | 91% | 73 | 27.7 | |
| 2 |   at Oregon Stateat Oregon State | W35–24 | −25.5−25.5 | L | +0.06 | 42% | 30% | 74% | 74 | 25.5 | |
| 3 |   HoustonHouston | W28–26 | −8−8 | L | +0.10 | 49% | 53% | 50% | 59 | 26.4 | |
| 4 |   Sam HoustonSam Houston | W49–14 | −34.5−34.5 | W | +0.33 | 65% | 36% | 96% | 65 | 23.3 | |
| 5 |   at Coloradoat Colorado | W29–7 | −13.5−13.5 | W | +0.10 | 30% | 41% | 90% | 64 | 28.3 | |
| 6 | BYE | ||||||||||
| 7 |   Arizona StateArizona State | W53–25 | −16.5−16.5 | W | +0.74 | 56% | 31% | 94% | 64 | 25.6 | |
| 8 |   at Cincinnatiat CincinnatiNEXT | SAT 12:00 FS1SAT 12:00 | −11.5−11.5 | — | — | — | — | 72% | 131 | — | |
| 9 |   ArizonaArizona | OCT 31OCT 31 | −5.6 proj−5.6 | 63% | |||||||
| 10 |   West VirginiaWest Virginia | NOV 7NOV 7 | −22.2 proj−22.2 | 91% | |||||||
| 11 |   at Oklahoma Stateat Oklahoma State | NOV 14NOV 14 | −9.8 proj−9.8 | 72% | |||||||
| 12 |   at Baylorat Baylor | NOV 21NOV 21 | −6.9 proj−6.9 | 66% | |||||||
| 13 |   TCUTCU | NOV 26NOV 26 | −9.6 proj−9.6 | 72% |
Success rate by down & distance
Formation & personnelFormation
PBP TAGS · 356 OF 360 PLAYS356 OF 360 PLAYS TAGGED
LookLook · usage | Usage | Pass %Pass | EPA/playEPA | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shotgun100% | 100% | 48% | +0.11 | 48% |
| No-huddle69% | 69% | 49% | +0.16 | 47% |
| Huddle31% | 31% | 47% | +0.02 | 51% |
In shotgun on 100 % of tagged snaps, passing 48 % of the time. No-huddle on 69 %. Starts in 11 personnel in 3 of 6 games. Base defense 2-5-4 (3 of 6).
Next game
SAT 12:00 FS1 · NIPPERT STADIUMSAT 12:00 FS1
TOP INJURY · OFFICIAL REPORT
% to play = 1 − P(out) · expected return not reported
Refs
JUDGMENT FLAGS OVER EXPECTED · 2026FLAGS OVER EXPECTED / G · 2026
Crews from | FOE / G | 90% range | Games | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Big 12 crews−0.3 to +0.5 · 46 games | +0.1 | −0.3 to +0.5 | 46 | NOISE |
| American crews— · 5 games | −0.8 | — | 5 | NOISE |
| ACC crews— · 3 games | −2.8 | — | 3 | NOISE |
| Pac-12 crews— · 3 games | +2.7 | — | 3 | NOISE |
| Big Ten crews— · 1 game | −3.9 | — | 1 | NOISE |
+ = more judgment flags on Texas Tech than expected · 2026 only: crews known for 6 of 7 games · no lean before 8 gamesJudgment flags only, 2026 · crews known for 6 of 7 games · + = more on Texas Tech than expected · no lean before 8 games
Key players
Unit statsEfficiency
OPP-ADJUSTED · RANK OF 138 FBSFBS RANK · OPP-ADJUSTED
MetricStat | Texas TechTTU | RankRK | FBS avgVS FBS |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPA / play | +0.10 | 48th | +0.06 |
| Success rate | 46.2% | 28th | 42.3% |
| Explosiveness | 1.25 | 105th | 1.30 |
| Rush EPA / play | +0.10 | 51st | +0.07 |
| Pass EPA / play | +0.12 | 67th | +0.11 |
| Passing downs SR | 34.2% | 21st | 31.1% |
| Line yards | 3.22 | 70th | 3.21 |
| Sack rate allowed | 4.1% | 48th | 5.3% |
| 3rd-down conversion | 44% | 39th | 41% |
| Points / opportunity | 4.55 | 59th | 4.27 |
| Red zone TD rate | 55% | 104th | 63% |
| Seconds / play | 26.1 | 35th | 28.0 |