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2026 · THROUGH WK 8

Big 12 · #8 AP · 6-0 · 3-0 CONF · ATS 3-3 · O/U 4-2

Texas Tech Red Raiders

HC Joey McGuire (5th yr) · OC Mack Leftwich · DC Shiel Wood

STARTS IN 11 PERSONNEL (3 OF 6) · BASE D 2-5-4 · SHOTGUN 100%

Power rating13.011th
CFP odds67%−1
PLAYOFFLOCK→BUBBLE
Proj. wins10.4of 12
Fan pulse—0 of 30 scored

Big 12 · #8 AP · 6-0 · 3-0 CONF · ATS 3-3 · O/U 4-2

Texas Tech

Red Raiders · HC Joey McGuire (5th yr) · starts in 11 (3 of 6) · base D 2-5-4

Power rating13.011th
CFP odds · outlook67%−1LOCK→BUBBLE
Proj. wins10.4of 12
Fan pulse—0 of 30 scored

Texas Tech

#8 · 6-0 · 3-0 Big 12

POWER RATING13.011th in FBS
CFP ODDS67%−1 this week
PROJ. WINS10.4of 12 games
PLAYOFF OUTLOOKLOCK→BUBBLE

0 losses now · CFP 67% in sims · CCG 54% · title 25%

FAN PULSE—0 of 30 scored

Coverage →

RECORD6-0
ATS · O/U3-3 · 4-2
POSTGAME WE · AVG83%5.0 expected wins
NET EPA / PLAY+0.1721st FBS

Schedule & resultsSchedule

POSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS (10K SIMS) · FUTURE ROWS: PREGAME WP + MODEL LINEPOSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS (10K SIMS)POSTGAME WE · 10K SIMS

Texas Tech schedule and results
Wk
Opponent
Result
Line
ATS
Net EPA
Off SR
Def SR
WP · post / pre
O/U
Model
1Abilene ChristianAbilene ChristianW33–10−45−45L+0.5153%26%91%U 61—
EPA +0.51 · SR 53% · U 61WE 91%
2at Oregon Stateat Oregon StateW35–24−25.5−25.5L+0.0642%30%74%O 52.5—
EPA +0.06 · SR 42% · O 52.5WE 74%
3HoustonHoustonW28–26−8−8L+0.1049%53%50%O 52.5—
EPA +0.10 · SR 49% · O 52.5WE 50%
4Sam HoustonSam HoustonW49–14−34.5−34.5W+0.3365%36%96%O 56—
EPA +0.33 · SR 65% · O 56WE 96%
5at Coloradoat ColoradoW29–7−13.5−13.5W+0.1030%41%90%U 50—
EPA +0.10 · SR 30% · U 50WE 90%
6BYE
7Arizona StateArizona StateW53–25−16.5−16.5W+0.7456%31%94%O 50.5—
EPA +0.74 · SR 56% · O 50.5WE 94%
8at Cincinnatiat CincinnatiNEXTSAT 12:00 FS1SAT 12:00−11.5−11.5————72%56.5−9.8
MODEL −9.8 · TOTAL 56.5WP 72%
9ArizonaArizonaOCT 31OCT 31—−5.663%−5.6
MODEL −5.6WP 63%
10West VirginiaWest VirginiaNOV 7NOV 7—−22.291%−22.2
MODEL −22.2WP 91%
11at Oklahoma Stateat Oklahoma StateNOV 14NOV 14—−9.872%−9.8
MODEL −9.8WP 72%
12at Baylorat BaylorNOV 21NOV 21—−6.966%−6.9
MODEL −6.9WP 66%
13TCUTCUNOV 26NOV 26—−9.672%−9.6
MODEL −9.6WP 72%