SEC · #11 AP · 6-1 · 3-1 CONF · ATS 4-3 · O/U 1-6
Tennessee Volunteers
HC Josh Heupel (6th yr) · OC Joey Halzle · DC Jim Knowles
STARTS IN 11 PERSONNEL (4 OF 7) · BASE D 3-3-5 · SHOTGUN 99%
SEC · #11 AP · 6-1 · 3-1 CONF · ATS 4-3 · O/U 1-6
Tennessee
Volunteers · HC Josh Heupel (6th yr) · starts in 11 (4 of 7) · base D 3-3-5
Tennessee
#11 · 6-1 · 3-1 SEC
1 loss now · CFP 27% in sims · CCG 31% · title 13%
43 pts below the model ·Coverage →
Latest from the beat
TENNESSEE · LAST 72 HLAST 72 H
All coverage →No verified updates in the last 72 hours.
Schedule & resultsSchedule
POSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS · FUTURE ROWS SHOW PREGAME WPCLOSING LINES · FUTURE ROWS SHOW PROJECTED LINEFUTURE LINES PROJECTED
Wk | Opponent | Result | Line | ATS | Net EPA | Off SR | Def SR | Win prob | Plays | s/play | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |   FurmanFurman | W56–9 | −49.5−49.5 | L | +0.87 | 48% | 21% | 100% | 74 | 27.4 | |
| 2 |   at Georgia Techat Georgia Tech | W45–24 | −12.5−12.5 | W | +0.51 | 45% | 46% | 86% | 66 | 28.8 | |
| 3 |   Kennesaw StateKennesaw State | W42–9 | −35.5−35.5 | L | +0.60 | 55% | 32% | 99% | 67 | 27.0 | |
| 4 |   TexasTexas | L17–20 | +5.5+5.5 | W | −0.09 | 30% | 36% | 43% | 76 | 24.2 | |
| 5 |   AuburnAuburn | W24–14 | −6.5−6.5 | W | +0.11 | 41% | 42% | 77% | 66 | 28.9 | |
| 6 |   at Arkansasat Arkansas | W24–17 | −13.5−13.5 | L | +0.17 | 46% | 45% | 68% | 61 | 27.2 | |
| 7 |   AlabamaAlabama | W26–10 | +7.5+7.5 | W | +0.31 | 47% | 30% | 86% | 70 | 30.5 | |
| 8 |   at South Carolinaat South CarolinaNEXT | SAT 3:30 ESPNSAT 3:30 | +2.5+2.5 | — | — | — | — | 64% | 140 | — | |
| 9 | BYE | ||||||||||
| 10 |   KentuckyKentucky | NOV 7NOV 7 | −9 proj−9 | 71% | |||||||
| 11 |   at Texas A&Mat Texas A&M | NOV 14NOV 14 | −3.6 proj−3.6 | 59% | |||||||
| 12 |   LSULSU | NOV 21NOV 21 | +3.9 proj+3.9 | 41% | |||||||
| 13 |   at Vanderbiltat Vanderbilt | NOV 28NOV 28 | −11.4 proj−11.4 | 75% |
Success rate by down & distance
Formation & personnelFormation
PBP TAGS · 439 OF 439 PLAYS439 OF 439 PLAYS TAGGED
LookLook · usage | Usage | Pass %Pass | EPA/playEPA | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shotgun99% | 99% | 42% | +0.08 | 43% |
| Under center1% | 1% | 0% | +1.57 | 100% |
| No-huddle80% | 80% | 47% | +0.05 | 41% |
| Huddle20% | 20% | 22% | +0.28 | 55% |
In shotgun on 99 % of tagged snaps, passing 42 % of the time (+0.08 EPA a play; +1.57 under center). No-huddle on 80 %. Starts in 11 personnel in 4 of 7 games. Base defense 3-3-5 (7 of 7).
Next game
SAT 3:30 ESPN · WILLIAMS-BRICE STADIUMSAT 3:30 ESPN
TOP INJURY · OFFICIAL REPORT
% to play = 1 − P(out) · expected return not reported
Refs
JUDGMENT FLAGS OVER EXPECTED · 2026FLAGS OVER EXPECTED / G · 2026
Crews from | FOE / G | 90% range | Games | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEC crews−0.5 to +0.3 · 52 games | −0.1 | −0.5 to +0.3 | 52 | NOISE |
| ACC crews— · 4 games | +0.6 | — | 4 | NOISE |
| Big Ten crews— · 3 games | +1.4 | — | 3 | NOISE |
+ = more judgment flags on Tennessee than expected · 2026 only: crews known for 7 of 8 games · no lean before 8 gamesJudgment flags only, 2026 · crews known for 7 of 8 games · + = more on Tennessee than expected · no lean before 8 games
Key players
Unit statsEfficiency
OPP-ADJUSTED · RANK OF 138 FBSFBS RANK · OPP-ADJUSTED
MetricStat | TennesseeTENN | RankRK | FBS avgVS FBS |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPA / play | +0.08 | 59th | +0.06 |
| Success rate | 43.6% | 51st | 42.3% |
| Explosiveness | 1.21 | 126th | 1.30 |
| Rush EPA / play | +0.21 | 2nd | +0.07 |
| Pass EPA / play | −0.02 | 119th | +0.11 |
| Passing downs SR | 27.8% | 118th | 31.1% |
| Line yards | 3.67 | 12th | 3.21 |
| Sack rate allowed | 8.2% | 123rd | 5.3% |
| 3rd-down conversion | 39% | 75th | 41% |
| Points / opportunity | 4.59 | 56th | 4.27 |
| Red zone TD rate | 68% | 49th | 63% |
| Seconds / play | 27.3 | 53rd | 28.0 |