

SEC · #11 AP · 6-1 · 3-1 CONF · ATS 4-3 · O/U 1-6
Tennessee Volunteers
HC Josh Heupel (6th yr) · OC Joey Halzle · DC Jim Knowles
STARTS IN 11 PERSONNEL (4 OF 7) · BASE D 3-3-5 · SHOTGUN 99%
Power rating11.514th
CFP odds27%−1
PLAYOFFIN→LONG SHOT
Proj. wins9.1of 12
Fan pulse+9▼16


SEC · #11 AP · 6-1 · 3-1 CONF · ATS 4-3 · O/U 1-6
Tennessee
Volunteers · HC Josh Heupel (6th yr) · starts in 11 (4 of 7) · base D 3-3-5
Power rating11.514th
CFP odds · outlook27%−1IN→LONG SHOT
Proj. wins9.1of 12
Fan pulse+9▼16


Tennessee
#11 · 6-1 · 3-1 SEC
POWER RATING11.514th in FBS
CFP ODDS27%−1 this week
PROJ. WINS9.1of 12 games
PLAYOFF OUTLOOKIN→LONG SHOT
1 loss now · CFP 27% in sims · CCG 31% · title 13%
FAN PULSE+9▼16
43 pts below the model ·Coverage →
RECORD6-1
ATS · O/U4-3 · 1-6
POSTGAME WE · AVG80%5.6 expected wins
NET EPA / PLAY+0.1916th FBS
Schedule & resultsSchedule
POSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS (10K SIMS) · FUTURE ROWS: PREGAME WP + MODEL LINEPOSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS (10K SIMS)POSTGAME WE · 10K SIMS
Wk | Opponent | Result | Line | ATS | Net EPA | Off SR | Def SR | WP · post / pre | O/U | Model | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | W56–9 | −49.5−49.5 | L | +0.87 | 48% | 21% | 100% | U 66.5 | — | ||
EPA +0.87 · SR 48% · U 66.5WE 100% | |||||||||||
| 2 | W45–24 | −12.5−12.5 | W | +0.51 | 45% | 46% | 86% | O 55.5 | — | ||
EPA +0.51 · SR 45% · O 55.5WE 86% | |||||||||||
| 3 | W42–9 | −35.5−35.5 | L | +0.60 | 55% | 32% | 99% | U 61 | — | ||
EPA +0.60 · SR 55% · U 61WE 99% | |||||||||||
| 4 | L17–20 | +5.5+5.5 | W | −0.09 | 30% | 36% | 43% | U 54.5 | — | ||
EPA −0.09 · SR 30% · U 54.5WE 43% | |||||||||||
| 5 | W24–14 | −6.5−6.5 | W | +0.11 | 41% | 42% | 77% | U 54.5 | — | ||
EPA +0.11 · SR 41% · U 54.5WE 77% | |||||||||||
| 6 | W24–17 | −13.5−13.5 | L | +0.17 | 46% | 45% | 68% | U 51.5 | — | ||
EPA +0.17 · SR 46% · U 51.5WE 68% | |||||||||||
| 7 | W26–10 | +7.5+7.5 | W | +0.31 | 47% | 30% | 86% | U 50.5 | — | ||
EPA +0.31 · SR 47% · U 50.5WE 86% | |||||||||||
| 8 | SAT 3:30 ESPNSAT 3:30 | +2.5+2.5 | — | — | — | — | 64% | 50.5 | −5.9 | ||
MODEL −5.9 · TOTAL 50.5WP 64% | |||||||||||
| 9 | BYE | ||||||||||
| 10 | NOV 7NOV 7 | —−9 | 71% | −9 | |||||||
MODEL −9WP 71% | |||||||||||
| 11 | NOV 14NOV 14 | —−3.6 | 59% | −3.6 | |||||||
MODEL −3.6WP 59% | |||||||||||
| 12 | NOV 21NOV 21 | —+3.9 | 41% | +3.9 | |||||||
MODEL +3.9WP 41% | |||||||||||
| 13 | NOV 28NOV 28 | —−11.4 | 75% | −11.4 | |||||||
MODEL −11.4WP 75% | |||||||||||

