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2026 · THROUGH WK 8

SEC · #11 AP · 6-1 · 3-1 CONF · ATS 4-3 · O/U 1-6

Tennessee Volunteers

HC Josh Heupel (6th yr) · OC Joey Halzle · DC Jim Knowles

STARTS IN 11 PERSONNEL (4 OF 7) · BASE D 3-3-5 · SHOTGUN 99%

Power rating11.514th
CFP odds27%−1
PLAYOFFIN→LONG SHOT
Proj. wins9.1of 12
Fan pulse+9▼16

SEC · #11 AP · 6-1 · 3-1 CONF · ATS 4-3 · O/U 1-6

Tennessee

Volunteers · HC Josh Heupel (6th yr) · starts in 11 (4 of 7) · base D 3-3-5

Power rating11.514th
CFP odds · outlook27%−1IN→LONG SHOT
Proj. wins9.1of 12
Fan pulse+9▼16

Tennessee

#11 · 6-1 · 3-1 SEC

POWER RATING11.514th in FBS
CFP ODDS27%−1 this week
PROJ. WINS9.1of 12 games
PLAYOFF OUTLOOKIN→LONG SHOT

1 loss now · CFP 27% in sims · CCG 31% · title 13%

FAN PULSE+9▼16

43 pts below the model ·Coverage →

RECORD6-1
ATS · O/U4-3 · 1-6
POSTGAME WE · AVG80%5.6 expected wins
NET EPA / PLAY+0.1916th FBS

Schedule & resultsSchedule

POSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS (10K SIMS) · FUTURE ROWS: PREGAME WP + MODEL LINEPOSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS (10K SIMS)POSTGAME WE · 10K SIMS

Tennessee schedule and results
Wk
Opponent
Result
Line
ATS
Net EPA
Off SR
Def SR
WP · post / pre
O/U
Model
1FurmanFurmanW56–9−49.5−49.5L+0.8748%21%100%U 66.5—
EPA +0.87 · SR 48% · U 66.5WE 100%
2at Georgia Techat Georgia TechW45–24−12.5−12.5W+0.5145%46%86%O 55.5—
EPA +0.51 · SR 45% · O 55.5WE 86%
3Kennesaw StateKennesaw StateW42–9−35.5−35.5L+0.6055%32%99%U 61—
EPA +0.60 · SR 55% · U 61WE 99%
4TexasTexasL17–20+5.5+5.5W−0.0930%36%43%U 54.5—
EPA −0.09 · SR 30% · U 54.5WE 43%
5AuburnAuburnW24–14−6.5−6.5W+0.1141%42%77%U 54.5—
EPA +0.11 · SR 41% · U 54.5WE 77%
6at Arkansasat ArkansasW24–17−13.5−13.5L+0.1746%45%68%U 51.5—
EPA +0.17 · SR 46% · U 51.5WE 68%
7AlabamaAlabamaW26–10+7.5+7.5W+0.3147%30%86%U 50.5—
EPA +0.31 · SR 47% · U 50.5WE 86%
8at South Carolinaat South CarolinaNEXTSAT 3:30 ESPNSAT 3:30+2.5+2.5————64%50.5−5.9
MODEL −5.9 · TOTAL 50.5WP 64%
9BYE
10KentuckyKentuckyNOV 7NOV 7—−971%−9
MODEL −9WP 71%
11at Texas A&Mat Texas A&MNOV 14NOV 14—−3.659%−3.6
MODEL −3.6WP 59%
12LSULSUNOV 21NOV 21—+3.941%+3.9
MODEL +3.9WP 41%
13at Vanderbiltat VanderbiltNOV 28NOV 28—−11.475%−11.4
MODEL −11.4WP 75%