reportedThe Reveille football@By Santiago Rodriguez, Asst. Sports Director
17hUnconfirmed tip: Harris could play against Auburn on Saturday.
Jaxson HarrisCHECKING
SEC · #18 AP · 5-2 · 2-2 CONF · ATS 3-4 · O/U 4-3
LSU Tigers
HC Lane Kiffin (1st yr) · OC Charlie Weis Jr. · DC Blake Baker
STARTS IN 11 PERSONNEL (5 OF 6) · BASE D 4-2-5 · SHOTGUN 99%
Power rating16.86th
CFP odds34%—
PLAYOFFBUBBLE→BUBBLE
Proj. wins8.5of 12
Fan pulse—29 of 30 scored
SEC · #18 AP · 5-2 · 2-2 CONF · ATS 3-4 · O/U 4-3
LSU
Tigers · HC Lane Kiffin (1st yr) · starts in 11 (5 of 6) · base D 4-2-5
Power rating16.86th
CFP odds · outlook34%—BUBBLE→BUBBLE
Proj. wins8.5of 12
Fan pulse—29 of 30 scored
LSU
#18 · 5-2 · 2-2 SEC
POWER RATING16.86th in FBS
CFP ODDS34%no change
PROJ. WINS8.5of 12 games
PLAYOFF OUTLOOKBUBBLE→BUBBLE
2 losses now · CFP 34% in sims · CCG 17% · title 10%
FAN PULSE—29 of 30 scored
Latest from the beat
LSU · LAST 72 HLAST 72 H
All coverage →reportedThe Reveille football@By Santiago Rodriguez, Asst. Sports Director
17hUnconfirmed tip: Umanmielen could play against Auburn on Saturday.
Princewill Umanmielen · EDGECHECKING
reportedThe Reveille football@By Santiago Rodriguez, Asst. Sports Director
17hUnconfirmed tip: Green could play against Auburn on Saturday.
Trey'Dez Green · TECHECKING
Schedule & resultsSchedule
POSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS · FUTURE ROWS SHOW PREGAME WPCLOSING LINES · FUTURE ROWS SHOW PROJECTED LINEFUTURE LINES PROJECTED
Wk | Opponent | Result | Line | ATS | Net EPA | Off SR | Def SR | Win prob | Plays | s/play | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |   ClemsonClemson | W51–10 | −10−10 | W | +1.07 | 54% | 12% | 100% | 95 | 24.1 | |
| 2 |   Louisiana TechLouisiana Tech | W45–14 | −35−35 | L | +0.90 | 39% | 6% | 90% | 85 | 24.8 | |
| 3 |   at Ole Missat Ole Miss | L24–32 | −3−3 | L | −0.13 | 43% | 45% | 35% | 69 | 26.4 | |
| 4 |   Texas A&MTexas A&M | W35–6 | −8.5−8.5 | W | +0.74 | 49% | 29% | 96% | 66 | 28.8 | |
| 5 |   McNeeseMcNeese | W63–14 | −53.5−53.5 | L | +1.17 | 61% | 17% | 100% | 101 | 24.2 | |
| 6 |   at Kentuckyat Kentucky | L34–35 | −9.5−9.5 | L | +0.07 | 51% | 43% | 52% | 70 | 29.4 | |
| 7 |   Mississippi StateMississippi State | W31–0 | −17.5−17.5 | W | +0.57 | 71% | 41% | 99% | 68 | 26.7 | |
| 8 |   at Auburnat AuburnNEXT | SAT 12:00 ABCSAT 12:00 | −7−7 | — | — | — | — | 72% | 149 | — | |
| 9 | BYE | ||||||||||
| 10 |   AlabamaAlabama | NOV 7NOV 7 | −1.4 proj−1.4 | 53% | |||||||
| 11 |   TexasTexas | NOV 14NOV 14 | −9.1 proj−9.1 | 71% | |||||||
| 12 |   at Tennesseeat Tennessee | NOV 21NOV 21 | −3.9 proj−3.9 | 59% | |||||||
| 13 |   at Arkansasat Arkansas | NOV 28NOV 28 | −21.8 proj−21.8 | 91% |
Success rate by down & distance
1st56%n 950%n 851%n 17029%n 7
2nd77%n 2649%n 3740%n 6056%n 16
3rd81%n 2142%n 2439%n 1845%n 11
4th100%n 575%n 4—n 0—n 0
Formation & personnelFormation
PBP TAGS · 413 OF 416 PLAYS413 OF 416 PLAYS TAGGED
LookLook · usage | Usage | Pass %Pass | EPA/playEPA | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shotgun99% | 99% | 50% | +0.19 | 52% |
| Under center1% | 1% | 0% | +0.75 | 50% |
| No-huddle87% | 87% | 50% | +0.17 | 52% |
| Huddle13% | 13% | 46% | +0.39 | 54% |
StartersSTARTERS
115 of 6 games101 of 6BASE D4-2-56 of 6
115 of 64-2-5base D · 6 of 6
In shotgun on 99 % of tagged snaps, passing 50 % of the time (+0.19 EPA a play; +0.75 under center). No-huddle on 87 %. Starts in 11 personnel in 5 of 6 games. Base defense 4-2-5 (6 of 6).
Next game
SAT 12:00 ABC · JORDAN-HARE STADIUMSAT 12:00 ABC
TOP INJURY · OFFICIAL REPORT
O
Whit WeeksLB · SR
LB · top injuryNEXT UPD. Keys
0%TO PLAY
−0.2IMPACT PTS
% to play = 1 − P(out) · expected return not reported
LINE · MODEL · WPIMPACT −0.2 PTS
Refs
JUDGMENT FLAGS OVER EXPECTED · 2026FLAGS OVER EXPECTED / G · 2026
Crews from | FOE / G | 90% range | Games | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEC crews−0.6 to +0.3 · 29 games | −0.2 | −0.6 to +0.3 | 29 | NOISE |
| Big 12 crews— · 3 games | +0.1 | — | 3 | NOISE |
| ACC crews— · 2 games | +2.7 | — | 2 | NOISE |
| Big Ten crews— · 1 game | +3.5 | — | 1 | NOISE |
| Pac-12 crews— · 1 game | −1.4 | — | 1 | NOISE |
FRIENDLIEST CREWFRIENDLIESTMatt Loeffler−1.4 / g · 3 games · noise−1.4 / g · 3 g · noise
TOUGHEST CREWTOUGHESTKen Williamson+1.0 / g · 4 games · noise+1.0 / g · 4 g · noise
+ = more judgment flags on LSU than expected · 2026 only: crews known for 7 of 8 games · no lean before 8 gamesJudgment flags only, 2026 · crews known for 7 of 8 games · + = more on LSU than expected · no lean before 8 games
Key players
QB · #10 · RS-JRSam Leavitt+0.37EPA/dropback · 23rdCPOE+6.6aDOT7.7Sack %4.6%RB · #13 · RS-SODilin Jones46.5%rush SR · 86thYards per carry4.5Explosive rate7.9%Rush EPA0.00WR · #6 · SOWinston Watkins Jr.1.78YPTPA · 117thTarget share19.6%EPA / target+0.73aDOT9.5EDGE · #1 · SRPrincewill Umanmielen13havoc plays · 3rdTFL13Sacks7.5Forced fumbles0
Unit statsEfficiency
OPP-ADJUSTED · RANK OF 138 FBSFBS RANK · OPP-ADJUSTED
MetricStat | LSULSU | RankRK | FBS avgVS FBS |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPA / play | +0.16 | 25th | +0.06 |
| Success rate | 48.6% | 12th | 42.3% |
| Explosiveness | 1.27 | 93rd | 1.30 |
| Rush EPA / play | +0.08 | 58th | +0.07 |
| Pass EPA / play | +0.24 | 21st | +0.11 |
| Passing downs SR | 35.9% | 8th | 31.1% |
| Line yards | 3.25 | 61st | 3.21 |
| Sack rate allowed | 4.9% | 65th | 5.3% |
| 3rd-down conversion | 53% | 10th | 41% |
| Points / opportunity | 5.10 | 19th | 4.27 |
| Red zone TD rate | 70% | 44th | 63% |
| Seconds / play | 26.2 | 36th | 28.0 |