SEC · #18 AP · 5-2 · 2-2 CONF · ATS 3-4 · O/U 4-3
LSU Tigers
HC Lane Kiffin (1st yr) · OC Charlie Weis Jr. · DC Blake Baker
STARTS IN 11 PERSONNEL (5 OF 6) · BASE D 4-2-5 · SHOTGUN 99%
Power rating16.86th
CFP odds34%—
PLAYOFFBUBBLE→BUBBLE
Proj. wins8.5of 12
Fan pulse—32 of 30 scored
SEC · #18 AP · 5-2 · 2-2 CONF · ATS 3-4 · O/U 4-3
LSU
Tigers · HC Lane Kiffin (1st yr) · starts in 11 (5 of 6) · base D 4-2-5
Power rating16.86th
CFP odds · outlook34%—BUBBLE→BUBBLE
Proj. wins8.5of 12
Fan pulse—32 of 30 scored
LSU
#18 · 5-2 · 2-2 SEC
POWER RATING16.86th in FBS
CFP ODDS34%no change
PROJ. WINS8.5of 12 games
PLAYOFF OUTLOOKBUBBLE→BUBBLE
2 losses now · CFP 34% in sims · CCG 17% · title 10%
FAN PULSE—32 of 30 scored
RECORD5-2
ATS · O/U3-4 · 4-3
POSTGAME WE · AVG82%5.7 expected wins
NET EPA / PLAY+0.343rd FBS
Schedule & resultsSchedule
POSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS (10K SIMS) · FUTURE ROWS: PREGAME WP + MODEL LINEPOSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS (10K SIMS)POSTGAME WE · 10K SIMS
Wk | Opponent | Result | Line | ATS | Net EPA | Off SR | Def SR | WP · post / pre | O/U | Model | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |   ClemsonClemson | W51–10 | −10−10 | W | +1.07 | 54% | 12% | 100% | O 49.5 | — | |
EPA +1.07 · SR 54% · O 49.5WE 100% | |||||||||||
| 2 |   Louisiana TechLouisiana Tech | W45–14 | −35−35 | L | +0.90 | 39% | 6% | 90% | O 55 | — | |
EPA +0.90 · SR 39% · O 55WE 90% | |||||||||||
| 3 |   at Ole Missat Ole Miss | L24–32 | −3−3 | L | −0.13 | 43% | 45% | 35% | U 59 | — | |
EPA −0.13 · SR 43% · U 59WE 35% | |||||||||||
| 4 |   Texas A&MTexas A&M | W35–6 | −8.5−8.5 | W | +0.74 | 49% | 29% | 96% | U 52.5 | — | |
EPA +0.74 · SR 49% · U 52.5WE 96% | |||||||||||
| 5 |   McNeeseMcNeese | W63–14 | −53.5−53.5 | L | +1.17 | 61% | 17% | 100% | O 62 | — | |
EPA +1.17 · SR 61% · O 62WE 100% | |||||||||||
| 6 |   at Kentuckyat Kentucky | L34–35 | −9.5−9.5 | L | +0.07 | 51% | 43% | 52% | O 50.5 | — | |
EPA +0.07 · SR 51% · O 50.5WE 52% | |||||||||||
| 7 |   Mississippi StateMississippi State | W31–0 | −17.5−17.5 | W | +0.57 | 71% | 41% | 99% | U 56.5 | — | |
EPA +0.57 · SR 71% · U 56.5WE 99% | |||||||||||
| 8 |   at Auburnat AuburnNEXT | SAT 12:00 ABCSAT 12:00 | −7−7 | — | — | — | — | 72% | 51.5 | −9.6 | |
MODEL −9.6 · TOTAL 51.5WP 72% | |||||||||||
| 9 | BYE | ||||||||||
| 10 |   AlabamaAlabama | NOV 7NOV 7 | —−1.4 | 53% | −1.4 | ||||||
MODEL −1.4WP 53% | |||||||||||
| 11 |   TexasTexas | NOV 14NOV 14 | —−9.1 | 71% | −9.1 | ||||||
MODEL −9.1WP 71% | |||||||||||
| 12 |   at Tennesseeat Tennessee | NOV 21NOV 21 | —−3.8 | 59% | −3.8 | ||||||
MODEL −3.8WP 59% | |||||||||||
| 13 |   at Arkansasat Arkansas | NOV 28NOV 28 | —−21.8 | 91% | −21.8 | ||||||
MODEL −21.8WP 91% | |||||||||||