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FINAL · CBSSN · FIFTH THIRD STADIUM
JXSTJacksonville State
274-2 · 2-0 C-USA
27
FINAL
KENNKennesaw State
261-4 · 0-1 C-USA
26
KENN +3 COVEROVER 49MODEL EDGE HIT
PREGAME WP JXST 55%→POSTGAME WE JXST 50%
Fifth Third Stadium · 10,225
Postgame WE
50%JXST · 10k sims
How often this box score wins
Offense EPA / play
+0.07KENN +0.12
Success rate
44%KENN 41%
Turnovers
2–2≈ 0.6 pts swing
vs model
+1proj JXST by 2.3
Plays · pace
136proj 126 · 26.5s

Win probability · full game

JXST LOW 18% · Q3 1:20 · EXCITEMENT INDEX 7.6

Plays that decided it

Ranked by |win probability added|
  1. 1Kennesaw State
    Farrington fumble, KSU recovers
    (06:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 L.Farrington rush right for 2 yards gain to the KSU40 fumbled by #22 L.Farrington at KSU40 forced by #11 T.Christopher recovered by KSU #44 B.Hopson at KSU40, End Of Play
    Q4 6:25 · 2nd & 10 KENN 42 · −4.6 JXST EPA
    Q4 6:25 · 2nd & 10 KENN 42 · −4.6 JXST EPA
    −.22
  2. 2Jacksonville State
    Creel 39-yd pass to Johnson
    (12:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 C.Creel pass complete deep right to #11 D.Johnson caught at KSU16, for 39 yards to the KSU13 (#5 T.Lawson), 1ST DOWN
    Q4 12:15 · 3rd & 10 JXST 48 · +4.4 EPA
    Q4 12:15 · 3rd & 10 JXST 48 · +4.4 EPA
    +.21
  3. 3Jacksonville State
    Nix intercepts Collins
    (08:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 R.Collins pass intercepted by #1 C.Nix at JSU00 #1 C.Nix return 17 yards to the JSU17 (#11 B.Munroe) PENALTY JSU UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (#8 J.Brooks) 7 yards from JSU14 to JSU07
    Q3 8:33 · 1st & Goal JXST 8 · −5.6 KENN EPA
    Q3 8:33 · 1st & Goal JXST 8 · −5.6 KENN EPA
    +.20
  4. 4Jacksonville State
    Rippa 33-yd FG good
    (00:57) #37 G.Rippa field goal attempt from 33 yards GOOD (H: #1 C.Nix, LS: #45 D.Musgrove), clock 00:52
    Q4 0:57 · 4th & 6 · 24–26 → 27–26 · +0.7 EPA
    Q4 0:57 · 24–26 → 27–26 · +0.7 EPA
    +.19
  5. 5Jacksonville State
    Holding on KSU
    (01:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 C.Creel pass incomplete deep right to #3 D.Cannon thrown to KSU37 PENALTY KSU Holding (#9 I.Paul) 10 yards from JSU31 to JSU41, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY
    Q4 1:50 · 4th & 4 JXST 31 · +2.6 EPA
    Q4 1:50 · 4th & 4 JXST 31 · +2.6 EPA
    +.17

Player EPA

Total · game

Play-by-play

Box score

Team box score, Jacksonville State at Kennesaw State
StatJXSTKENN
Total yards385410
Plays7465
Yards / play5.26.3
EPA / play+0.07+0.12
Success rate44%41%
Explosive plays68
Havoc rate16%16%
3rd down7–145–11
Pts / opportunity3.002.60
Turnovers22
Time of possession29:0230:58
Postgame WE50%50%