South Florida vs UTSA

USFSouth Florida

244-2 · 1-2 American

FINAL

UTSAUTSA

315-1 · 2-0 American

UTSA −5.5 COVEROVER 49.5MODEL EDGE MISS

PREGAME WP UTSA 54%→POSTGAME WE UTSA 63%

Alamodome · 17,632

Win probability · full game

UTSA LOW 33% · Q2 3:35 · EXCITEMENT INDEX 6.5

Ranked by |win probability added|

1
Van Buren 11-yd TD to Crowther
(01:59) Shotgun #3 M.Van Buren Jr. pass complete short left to #5 D.Crowther caught at UTSA06, for 11 yards to the UTSA00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:56 #7 N.Gramatica kick attempt good (H: #39 L.Goater, LS: #49 E.Bonnett) #7 N.Gramatica kick attempt good (H: #39 L.Goater, LS: #49 E.Bonnett) PENALTY #7 N.Gramatica kick attempt good (H: #39 L.Goater, LS: #49 E.Bonnett) PENALTY UTSA Offside declined
Q4 1:59 · 2nd & Goal · 23–17 → 23–24 · +2.9 EPA
Q4 1:59 · 23–17 → 23–24 · +2.9 EPA
−.25
2
Henderson 26-yd run
(00:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 W.Henderson III rush right for 26 yards gain to the USF01 (#16 T.Foster), 1ST DOWN
Q4 0:24 · 1st & 10 USF 27 · +3.1 EPA
Q4 0:24 · 1st & 10 USF 27 · +3.1 EPA
+.18
3
Peterson 3-yd TD run
A'Marion Peterson 3 Yd Run (Michael Petro Kick)
Q3 10:28 · 2nd & 2 · 10–17 → 17–17 · +1.0 EPA
Q3 10:28 · 10–17 → 17–17 · +1.0 EPA
+.17
4
Henderson 4-yd run
(01:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 W.Henderson III rush middle for 4 yards gain to the USF40 (#18 L.Smiley), 1ST DOWN
Q4 1:10 · 3rd & 3 USF 44 · +0.8 EPA
Q4 1:10 · 3rd & 3 USF 44 · +0.8 EPA
+.13
5
Peterson 53-yd TD run
(03:13) Shotgun #28 A.Peterson rush middle for 53 yards gain to the USF00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:13, 1ST DOWN #92 M.Petro kick attempt good (H: #30 C.Hogan, LS: #67 J.Stephens III) #92 M.Petro kick attempt good (H: #30 C.Hogan, LS: #60 W.Hodges)
Q1 3:13 · 3rd & 2 · 0–7 → 7–7 · +5.2 EPA
Q1 3:13 · 0–7 → 7–7 · +5.2 EPA
+.10

Total · game