Florida State vs Louisville

FSUFlorida State

203-3 · 1-2 ACC

FINAL

LOULouisville

443-3 · 2-2 ACC

LOU −4 COVEROVER 60.5MODEL EDGE MISS

PREGAME WP LOU 56%→POSTGAME WE LOU 91%

L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium · 48,992

Win probability · full game

LOU LOW 12% · Q2 10:53 · EXCITEMENT INDEX 3.6

Ranked by |win probability added|

1
Brown 97-yd TD run
(09:23) #1 I.Brown rush left for 97 yards gain to the FSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 09:16, 1ST DOWN #35 C.Hilbert kick attempt good (H: #17 R.Zimmerman, LS: #51 H.Travelstead)
Q2 9:23 · 1st & 10 · 0–14 → 7–14 · +7.3 EPA
Q2 9:23 · 0–14 → 7–14 · +7.3 EPA
+.21
2
Brown 2-yd run
(00:36) Shotgun #1 I.Brown rush middle for 2 yards gain to the LOU22 (#3 M.Desir)
Q2 0:36 · 1st & 10 LOU 20 · −0.2 EPA
Q2 0:36 · 1st & 10 LOU 20 · −0.2 EPA
+.16
3
Brown run, no gain
(04:46) Shotgun #1 I.Brown rush middle for 0 yards to the FSU45 (#10 C.Jones; #13 D.Diggs), TURNOVER ON DOWNS
Q1 4:46 · 4th & 1 FSU 45 · turnover on downs · −3.9 LOU EPA
Q1 4:46 · 4th & 1 FSU 45 · −3.9 LOU EPA
−.12
4
Kienholz 3-yd TD run
(12:45) Shotgun #3 L.Kienholz rush middle for 3 yards gain to the FSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:45 #35 C.Hilbert kick attempt good (H: #17 R.Zimmerman, LS: #51 H.Travelstead)
Q3 12:45 · 1st & Goal · 14–14 → 21–14 · +1.0 EPA
Q3 12:45 · 14–14 → 21–14 · +1.0 EPA
+.11
5
Daniels 25-yd TD to Danzy
(02:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Daniels pass complete short middle to #8 M.Danzy caught at LOU10, for 25 yards to the LOU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:08, 1ST DOWN #39 G.Panikowski kick attempt good (H: #87 C.Jula, LS: #48 C.Bowers)
Q1 2:12 · 1st & 10 · 0–7 → 0–14 · +2.7 EPA
Q1 2:12 · 0–7 → 0–14 · +2.7 EPA
−.10

Total · game