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FINAL · FOX · HUSKY STADIUM
IOWAIowa
415-1 · 2-1 Big Ten
41
FINAL
UWWashington
243-3 · 0-3 Big Ten
24
IOWA +3 COVEROVER 41.5MODEL EDGE HIT
PREGAME WP IOWA 52%→POSTGAME WE IOWA 88%
Husky Stadium · 66,231
Postgame WE
88%IOWA · 10k sims
How often this box score wins
Offense EPA / play
+0.41UW +0.01
Success rate
60%UW 36%
Turnovers
0–0
vs model
+17proj IOWA by 0.9
Plays · pace
132proj 124 · 27.3s

Win probability · full game

IOWA LOW 46% · Q1 12:34 · EXCITEMENT INDEX 3.1

Plays that decided it

Ranked by |win probability added|
  1. 1Iowa
    Buhr 51-yd FG good
    (12:33) #92 C.Buhr field goal attempt from 51 yards GOOD (H: #35 T.Philpott, LS: #69 I.Speltz), clock 12:30
    Q1 12:33 · 4th & 12 · 0–0 → 3–0 · +2.0 EPA
    Q1 12:33 · 0–0 → 3–0 · +2.0 EPA
    +.11
  2. 2Iowa
    Moulton 56-yd TD run
    (00:23) Shotgun #28 K.Moulton rush middle for 56 yards gain to the WASH00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:10, 1ST DOWN #92 C.Buhr kick attempt good (H: #35 T.Philpott, LS: #69 I.Speltz)
    Q1 0:23 · 1st & 10 · 6–0 → 13–0 · +4.6 EPA
    Q1 0:23 · 6–0 → 13–0 · +4.6 EPA
    +.08
  3. 3Iowa
    Hecklinski 30-yd pass to Vander Zee
    (09:08) Shotgun #10 J.Hecklinski pass complete deep right to #2 R.Vander Zee caught at WASH12, for 30 yards to the WASH12, End Of Play, 1ST DOWN
    Q1 9:08 · 3rd & 3 UW 42 · +2.7 EPA
    Q1 9:08 · 3rd & 3 UW 42 · +2.7 EPA
    +.06
  4. 4Iowa
    James 30-yd punt return
    (00:36) #93 H.Green punt 59 yards to the IOWA14 #8 E.James return 30 yards to the IOWA44 (#44 H.Moore; #25 D.Robinson)
    Q1 0:36 · 4th & 10 UW 27 · −0.5 UW EPA
    Q1 0:36 · 4th & 10 UW 27 · −0.5 UW EPA
    +.06
  5. 5Washington
    James 5-yd punt return
    (10:33) #93 H.Green punt 54 yards to the IOWA31 #8 E.James return 5 yards to the IOWA36 (#52 D.Hyde)
    Q1 10:33 · 4th & 14 UW 15 · +1.1 EPA
    Q1 10:33 · 4th & 14 UW 15 · +1.1 EPA
    −.06

Player EPA

Total · game