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FINAL · CBSSN · CEFCU STADIUM
WYOWyoming
163-3 · 2-1 Mountain West
16
FINAL/OT
SJSUSan José State
133-3 · 1-1 Mountain West
13
WYO +4.5 COVERUNDER 42.5MODEL EDGE MISS
PREGAME WP WYO 36%→POSTGAME WE WYO 65%
CEFCU Stadium · 13,104
Postgame WE
65%WYO · 10k sims
How often this box score wins
Offense EPA / play
−0.05SJSU −0.14
Success rate
43%SJSU 46%
Turnovers
1–0≈ 2.4 pts swing
vs model
−3proj SJSU by 5.8
Plays · pace
143proj 123 · 25.2s

Win probability · full game

WYO LOW 14% · Q3 3:56 · EXCITEMENT INDEX 8.6

Plays that decided it

Ranked by |win probability added|
  1. 1Wyoming
    Sandvik 21-yd FG good
    (00:00) #47 E.Sandvik field goal attempt from 21 yards GOOD (H: #43 G.Helm, LS: #49 N.Curry), clock 00:00
    OT 0:00 · 3rd & Goal · 13–13 → 16–13 · −0.9 EPA
    OT 0:00 · 13–13 → 16–13 · −0.9 EPA
    +.38
  2. 2San José State
    Hughes run, −2
    (00:00) #6 T.Hughes rush middle for 2 yards loss to the SJSU03, End Of Play
    OT 0:00 · 2nd & Goal SJSU 1 · −1.7 WYO EPA
    OT 0:00 · 2nd & Goal SJSU 1 · −1.7 WYO EPA
    −.23
  3. 3Wyoming
    Hughes 12-yd run
    (00:00) Shotgun #6 T.Hughes rush middle for 12 yards gain to the SJSU02 (#32 C.Womack), 1ST DOWN
    OT 0:00 · 1st & 10 SJSU 14 · +1.3 EPA
    OT 0:00 · 1st & 10 SJSU 14 · +1.3 EPA
    +.21
  4. 4Wyoming
    Hughes 8-yd TD to Wilson
    (06:31) Shotgun #6 T.Hughes pass complete short middle to #89 J.Wilson caught at SJSU00, for 8 yards to the SJSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 06:25 #47 E.Sandvik kick attempt good (H: #43 G.Helm, LS: #49 N.Curry)
    Q4 6:31 · 3rd & Goal · 6–13 → 13–13 · +3.0 EPA
    Q4 6:31 · 6–13 → 13–13 · +3.0 EPA
    +.18
  5. 5San José State
    Hughes run, −1
    (14:24) #6 T.Hughes rush middle for 1 yard loss to the SJSU02 (#39 T.Tagovailoa-Amosa)
    Q2 14:24 · 3rd & Goal SJSU 1 · −2.5 WYO EPA
    Q2 14:24 · 3rd & Goal SJSU 1 · −2.5 WYO EPA
    −.16

Player EPA

Total · game