

ISUIowa State
103-3 · 1-2 Big 12FINAL


BYUBYU
245-0 · 3-0 Big 12BYU −11.5 COVERUNDER 46.5MODEL EDGE HIT
PREGAME WP BYU 78%→POSTGAME WE BYU 82%
LaVell Edwards Stadium · 64,632- Postgame WE
- 82%BYU · 10k sims
- How often this box score wins
- Offense EPA / play
- +0.25ISU −0.12
- Success rate
- 51%ISU 28%
- Turnovers
- 0–0
- vs model
- +14proj BYU by 13.0
- Plays · pace
- 116proj 122 · 31.0s
Win probability · full game
BYU LOW 77% · Q2 4:55 · EXCITEMENT INDEX 2.9Plays that decided it
Ranked by |win probability added|
- 1

Tonga run, no gain(05:00) Shotgun #20 J.Tonga rush middle for 0 yards to the ISU46 (#36 B.Esser), TURNOVER ON DOWNSQ2 5:00 · 4th & 1 ISU 46 · −3.3 BYU EPAQ2 5:00 · 4th & 1 ISU 46 · −3.3 BYU EPA−.08 - 2

Bachmeier 26-yd run(12:39) Shotgun #47 B.Bachmeier rush right for 26 yards gain to the ISU25, out of bounds at ISU25, 1ST DOWNQ1 12:39 · 3rd & 3 BYU 49 · +2.8 EPAQ1 12:39 · 3rd & 3 BYU 49 · +2.8 EPA+.05 - 3

Bachmeier 75-yd TD to Glasker(01:18) Shotgun #47 B.Bachmeier pass complete deep middle to #1 L.Glasker caught at ISU46, for 75 yards to the ISU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:09, 1ST DOWN #97 M.Dunn kick attempt good (H: #19 F.Shurtz, LS: #88 T.Smith)Q3 1:18 · 3rd & 6 · 14–3 → 21–3 · +7.5 EPAQ3 1:18 · 14–3 → 21–3 · +7.5 EPA+.05 - 4

Bachmeier 27-yd pass to Kasper(10:54) Shotgun #47 B.Bachmeier pass complete short right to #3 K.Kasper caught at BYU35, for 27 yards to the BYU47 (#1 K.Washington), 1ST DOWNQ3 10:54 · 3rd & 6 BYU 20 · +3.2 EPAQ3 10:54 · 3rd & 6 BYU 20 · +3.2 EPA+.04 - 5

Bachmeier 63-yd pass to Saleapaga(02:15) Shotgun #47 B.Bachmeier pass complete deep left to #2 R.Saleapaga II caught at ISU47, for 63 yards to the ISU05 (#3 S.Johnson; #19 E.Lemos), 1ST DOWNQ2 2:15 · 2nd & 7 BYU 32 · +4.4 EPAQ2 2:15 · 2nd & 7 BYU 32 · +4.4 EPA+.04
Player EPA
Total · game

Bear Bachmeier · QB22/30 · 329 YDS · 2 TD · 0 INT · 109 RUSH YDS+21.4
Legend Glasker · WR5 REC · 99 YDS · 1 TD+5.9
Roger Saleapaga II · TE2 REC · 72 YDS+4.0
Kyler Kasper · WR3 REC · 40 YDS · 1 TD+3.6
Jaylen Raynor · QB16/29 · 98 YDS · 1 TD · 0 INT · 3 SACKS−14.2
Play-by-play
Box score
| Stat | ||
|---|---|---|
| Total yards | 200 | 506 |
| Plays | 56 | 61 |
| Yards / play | 3.6 | 8.3 |
| EPA / play | −0.12 | +0.25 |
| Success rate | 28% | 51% |
| Explosive plays | 5 | 9 |
| Havoc rate | 3% | 30% |
| 3rd down | 2–13 | 4–10 |
| Pts / opportunity | 1.25 | 2.43 |
| Turnovers | 0 | 0 |
| Time of possession | 27:17 | 32:43 |
| Postgame WE | 18% | 82% |

