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FINAL · ABC · MEMORIAL STADIUM
TAMUTexas A&M
63-3 · 1-3 SEC
6
FINAL
MIZMissouri
275-1 · 2-1 SEC
27
MIZ −4.5 COVERUNDER 50.5MODEL EDGE HIT
PREGAME WP MIZ 69%→POSTGAME WE MIZ 80%
Memorial Stadium · 63,609
Postgame WE
80%MIZ · 10k sims
How often this box score wins
Offense EPA / play
−0.06TAMU −0.43
Success rate
39%TAMU 29%
Turnovers
1–1≈ 1.0 pts swing
vs model
+21proj MIZ by 8.0
Plays · pace
132proj 137 · 27.3s

Win probability · full game

MIZ LOW 46% · Q1 9:46 · EXCITEMENT INDEX 4.9

Plays that decided it

Ranked by |win probability added|
  1. 1Missouri
    Simmons 32-yd TD to Lee
    Cayden Lee 32 Yd pass from Austin Simmons (Blake Craig Kick)
    Q2 12:58 · 3rd & 4 · 0–3 → 7–3 · +4.2 EPA
    Q2 12:58 · 0–3 → 7–3 · +4.2 EPA
    +.13
  2. 2Missouri
    Dotson intercepts Reed
    (08:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 M.Reed pass intercepted by #22 E.Dotson at Mizzou00 broken up by #4 T.Greco, Touchback
    Q1 8:19 · 3rd & 2 MIZ 6 · −5.8 TAMU EPA
    Q1 8:19 · 3rd & 2 MIZ 6 · −5.8 TAMU EPA
    +.12
  3. 3Missouri
    Craig 50-yd FG good
    Blake Craig 50 Yd Field Goal
    Q2 8:40 · 4th & 8 · 7–3 → 10–3 · +2.5 EPA
    Q2 8:40 · 7–3 → 10–3 · +2.5 EPA
    +.11
  4. 4Missouri
    Greco intercepts Reed
    (10:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 M.Reed pass intercepted by #4 T.Greco at A&M36 #4 T.Greco return 2 yards to the A&M34, End Of Play
    Q2 10:08 · 1st & 10 TAMU 25 · −4.1 TAMU EPA
    Q2 10:08 · 1st & 10 TAMU 25 · −4.1 TAMU EPA
    +.10
  5. 5Missouri
    Reed 5-yd run
    (12:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 M.Reed rush left for 5 yards gain to the A&M20 (#15 S.Banner; #5 N.Rodriguez)
    Q2 12:31 · 1st & 20 TAMU 15 · −0.9 TAMU EPA
    Q2 12:31 · 1st & 20 TAMU 15 · −0.9 TAMU EPA
    +.08

Player EPA

Total · game
Full box scoreAll 132 plays