Wake Forest vs NC State

WAKEWake Forest

385-1 · 3-1 ACC

FINAL

NCSUNC State

143-3 · 1-2 ACC

WAKE −4 COVERUNDER 56.5MODEL EDGE MISS

PREGAME WP WAKE 56%→POSTGAME WE WAKE 93%

Carter-Finley Stadium · 56,919

Win probability · full game

WAKE LOW 30% · Q2 5:22 · EXCITEMENT INDEX 4.2

Ranked by |win probability added|

1
Bailey 24-yd TD to Robinson
(08:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete deep right to #82 C.Robinson caught at WF01, for 24 yards to the WF00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:17, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY WF Holding declined #94 K.Vinesett kick attempt good (H: #96 J.Waller, LS: #92 A.Arias)
Q1 8:21 · 3rd & 5 · 7–0 → 7–7 · +3.5 EPA
Q1 8:21 · 7–0 → 7–7 · +3.5 EPA
−.10
2
Bailey 17-yd pass to Douglas
(11:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete short middle to #19 P.Douglas caught at WF45, for 17 yards to the WF40 (#5 D.Patterson), 1ST DOWN
Q1 11:25 · 3rd & 5 NCSU 43 · +2.6 EPA
Q1 11:25 · 3rd & 5 NCSU 43 · +2.6 EPA
−.09
3
Lopez 52-yd pass to Foley
(09:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 G.Lopez pass complete deep middle to #10 J.Foley caught at NCSU29, for 52 yards to the NCSU11 (#14 J.Sensabaugh), 1ST DOWN
Q3 9:04 · 2nd & 9 WAKE 37 · +4.4 EPA
Q3 9:04 · 2nd & 9 WAKE 37 · +4.4 EPA
+.09
4
Lopez 8-yd pass to Hernandez
(02:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 G.Lopez pass complete short left to #8 C.Hernandez caught at WF33, for 8 yards to the WF36 (#35 L.Hodge; #29 B.Barnhardt), 1ST DOWN
Q2 2:23 · 3rd & 7 WAKE 28 · +1.5 EPA
Q2 2:23 · 3rd & 7 WAKE 28 · +1.5 EPA
+.09
5
Bailey 12-yd pass to Gause
(11:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete short right to #7 D.Gause caught at WF16, for 12 yards to the WF08 (#21 A.Hall), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN
Q2 11:45 · 2nd & 10 WAKE 20 · +1.6 EPA
Q2 11:45 · 2nd & 10 WAKE 20 · +1.6 EPA
−.09

Total · game