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FINAL · FOX · MEMORIAL STADIUM
IUIndiana
206-0 · 3-0 Big Ten
20
FINAL
NEBNebraska
175-1 · 2-1 Big Ten
17
NEB +9.5 COVERUNDER 48.5MODEL EDGE HIT
PREGAME WP IU 54%→POSTGAME WE IU 57%
Memorial Stadium · 85,653
Postgame WE
57%IU · 10k sims
How often this box score wins
Offense EPA / play
+0.14NEB +0.06
Success rate
32%NEB 42%
Turnovers
0–1≈ 0.4 pts swing
vs model
+3proj IU by 1.5
Plays · pace
126proj 132 · 28.6s

Win probability · full game

IU LOW 14% · Q4 12:01 · EXCITEMENT INDEX 5.5

Plays that decided it

Ranked by |win probability added|
  1. 1Indiana
    Hoover 44-yd TD to Marsh
    (07:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 J.Hoover pass complete short left to #11 N.Marsh caught at NEB31, for 44 yards to the NEB00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:13, 1ST DOWN #15 N.Radicic kick attempt good (H: #93 Q.Warren, LS: #55 D.Clausen)
    Q4 7:21 · 4th & 1 · 13–17 → 20–17 · +5.8 EPA
    Q4 7:21 · 13–17 → 20–17 · +5.8 EPA
    +.39
  2. 2Indiana
    Hoover 75-yd TD to Marsh
    (12:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 J.Hoover pass complete short middle to #11 N.Marsh caught at IND39, for 75 yards to the NEB00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:51, 1ST DOWN #15 N.Radicic kick attempt good (H: #93 Q.Warren, LS: #55 D.Clausen)
    Q4 12:01 · 1st & 10 · 6–17 → 13–17 · +6.6 EPA
    Q4 12:01 · 6–17 → 13–17 · +6.6 EPA
    +.20
  3. 3Nebraska
    Colandrea 8-yd run
    (06:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea rush right for 8 yards gain to the IND30 (#46 I.Jones), 1ST DOWN
    Q3 6:24 · 4th & 2 IU 38 · +2.8 EPA
    Q3 6:24 · 4th & 2 IU 38 · +2.8 EPA
    −.14
  4. 4Nebraska
    Colandrea 39-yd TD run
    (12:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea rush right for 39 yards gain to the IND00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:01, 1ST DOWN #91 K.Cunanan kick attempt good (H: #37 K.Koch, LS: #55 J.Wills)
    Q4 12:10 · 3rd & 6 · 6–10 → 6–17 · +4.9 EPA
    Q4 12:10 · 6–10 → 6–17 · +4.9 EPA
    −.14
  5. 5Nebraska
    Roughing The Passer on IND
    (11:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass intercepted by #6 P.Zachman at IND43, End Of Play PENALTY IND Roughing The Passer (#95 T.Tucker) 15 yards from NEB16 to NEB31, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY
    Q4 11:09 · 2nd & 19 NEB 16 · +2.2 EPA
    Q4 11:09 · 2nd & 19 NEB 16 · +2.2 EPA
    −.13

Player EPA

Total · game
Full box scoreAll 126 plays