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FINAL · CBSSN · MICHIE STADIUM
TULNTulane
172-3 · 0-1 American
17
FINAL
ARMYArmy
203-2 · 2-1 American
20
TULN +5.5 COVERUNDER 48.5MODEL EDGE HIT
PREGAME WP ARMY 62%→POSTGAME WE ARMY 58%
Michie Stadium · 29,722
Postgame WE
58%ARMY · 10k sims
How often this box score wins
Offense EPA / play
+0.15TULN −0.01
Success rate
50%TULN 31%
Turnovers
0–0
vs model
+3proj ARMY by 4.9
Plays · pace
115proj 124 · 31.3s

Win probability · full game

ARMY LOW 23% · Q4 7:44 · EXCITEMENT INDEX 4.8

Plays that decided it

Ranked by |win probability added|
  1. 1Army
    Hellums 58-yd TD run
    Shotgun #3 C.Hellums rush middle for 58 yards gain to the Tulane00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 06:54, 1ST DOWN #95 D.Jones kick attempt good (H: #98 M.Faulk, LS: #55 O.Walter)
    Q4 6:54 · 2nd & 3 · 10–17 → 17–17 · +4.7 EPA
    Q4 6:54 · 10–17 → 17–17 · +4.7 EPA
    +.34
  2. 2Tulane
    Semonza 39-yd TD to Lucas
    Jaylin Lucas 39 Yd pass from Kadin Semonza (Cooper Helmke Kick)
    Q4 7:44 · 3rd & 7 · 10–10 → 10–17 · +4.9 EPA
    Q4 7:44 · 10–10 → 10–17 · +4.9 EPA
    −.25
  3. 3Army
    Jones 25-yd FG good
    Dawson Jones 25 Yd Field Goal
    Q4 0:00 · 4th & 1 · 17–17 → 20–17 · +0.8 EPA
    Q4 0:00 · 17–17 → 20–17 · +0.8 EPA
    +.19
  4. 4Army
    Semonza incomplete to Johnson, turnover on downs
    No Huddle-Shotgun #3 K.Semonza pass incomplete deep middle to #19 D.Johnson thrown to Army00 QB hurried by #96 D.Stowers, TURNOVER ON DOWNS
    Q4 3:55 · 4th & 8 ARMY 33 · turnover on downs · −2.0 TULN EPA
    Q4 3:55 · 4th & 8 ARMY 33 · −2.0 TULN EPA
    +.19
  5. 5Tulane
    Daniels 41-yd run
    No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Daniels rush middle for 41 yards gain to the Army35 (#7 J.Mayes), 1ST DOWN
    Q4 6:47 · 2nd & 8 TULN 24 · +3.0 EPA
    Q4 6:47 · 2nd & 8 TULN 24 · +3.0 EPA
    −.18

Player EPA

Total · game
Full box scoreAll 115 plays