

ARIZArizona
525-1 · 2-1 Big 12FINAL


WVUWest Virginia
313-3 · 0-3 Big 12ARIZ −3.5 COVEROVER 61.5MODEL EDGE HIT
PREGAME WP ARIZ 65%→POSTGAME WE ARIZ 87%
Milan Puskar Stadium · 50,121- Postgame WE
- 87%ARIZ · 10k sims
- How often this box score wins
- Offense EPA / play
- +0.40WVU −0.08
- Success rate
- 49%WVU 39%
- Turnovers
- 0–2≈ 13.1 pts swing
- vs model
- +21proj ARIZ by 6.5
- Plays · pace
- 153proj 140 · 23.5s
Win probability · full game
ARIZ LOW 51% · Q1 13:29 · EXCITEMENT INDEX 6.5Plays that decided it
Ranked by |win probability added|
- 1

Molette 32-yd fumble-return TDLee Molette III 32 Yd Fumble Return (Michael Salgado-Medina Kick)Q1 5:03 · 2nd & 5 · 7–3 → 14–3 · −7.6 WVU EPAQ1 5:03 · 7–3 → 14–3 · −7.6 WVU EPA+.15 - 2

Fifita 72-yd TD to Mizell(00:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 N.Fifita pass complete short middle to #17 I.Mizell caught at ARI30, for 72 yards to the WVU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:13, 1ST DOWN #19 M.Salgado-Medina kick attempt good (H: #34 C.Schwartz, LS: #43 D.Nicolson)Q3 0:21 · 3rd & 7 · 31–24 → 38–24 · +7.7 EPAQ3 0:21 · 31–24 → 38–24 · +7.7 EPA+.14 - 3

Cook fumble, ARI recovers(00:56) No Huddle #4 C.Cook rush middle for 1 yard loss to the ARI03 fumbled by #4 C.Cook at ARI02 forced by #8 J.Cole recovered by ARI #6 T.Brown at ARI03, End Of PlayQ2 0:56 · 2nd & Goal ARIZ 2 · −5.5 WVU EPAQ2 0:56 · 2nd & Goal ARIZ 2 · −5.5 WVU EPA+.14 - 4

Craig 40-yd TD run(02:58) Shotgun #24 Q.Craig rush middle for 40 yards gain to the WVU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:52, 1ST DOWN #19 M.Salgado-Medina kick attempt good (H: #34 C.Schwartz, LS: #43 D.Nicolson)Q2 2:58 · 2nd & 10 · 17–17 → 24–17 · +4.5 EPAQ2 2:58 · 17–17 → 24–17 · +4.5 EPA+.13 - 5

Hawkins 3-yd TD run(13:02) Shotgun #3 M.Hawkins Jr. rush middle for 3 yards gain to the ARI00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:59 #42 J.Cassidy kick attempt good (H: #83 B.Hansen, LS: #38 M.Moss)Q2 13:02 · 1st & Goal · 14–3 → 14–10 · +1.2 EPAQ2 13:02 · 14–3 → 14–10 · +1.2 EPA−.12
Player EPA
Total · game

Isaiah Mizell · WR6 REC · 183 YDS · 2 TD+17.1
Noah Fifita · QB16/23 · 341 YDS · 3 TD · 1 INT · 1 SACK+14.7
Prince Strachan · WR5 REC · 121 YDS+7.6
Jay'Vion Cole · CB1 TFL · FF · PBU · 4 TKL+6.7
Brandon Phelps · WR4 REC · 88 YDS · 1 TD+4.6
Play-by-play
Box score
| Stat | ||
|---|---|---|
| Total yards | 482 | 522 |
| Plays | 51 | 104 |
| Yards / play | 9.5 | 5.0 |
| EPA / play | +0.40 | −0.08 |
| Success rate | 49% | 39% |
| Explosive plays | 10 | 11 |
| Havoc rate | 14% | 22% |
| 3rd down | 3–8 | 9–19 |
| Pts / opportunity | 4.09 | 2.82 |
| Turnovers | 0 | 2 |
| Time of possession | 24:10 | 35:50 |
| Postgame WE | 87% | 13% |

