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FINAL · TNT · MILAN PUSKAR STADIUM
ARIZArizona
525-1 · 2-1 Big 12
52
FINAL
WVUWest Virginia
313-3 · 0-3 Big 12
31
ARIZ −3.5 COVEROVER 61.5MODEL EDGE HIT
PREGAME WP ARIZ 65%→POSTGAME WE ARIZ 87%
Milan Puskar Stadium · 50,121
Postgame WE
87%ARIZ · 10k sims
How often this box score wins
Offense EPA / play
+0.40WVU −0.08
Success rate
49%WVU 39%
Turnovers
0–2≈ 13.1 pts swing
vs model
+21proj ARIZ by 6.5
Plays · pace
153proj 140 · 23.5s

Win probability · full game

ARIZ LOW 51% · Q1 13:29 · EXCITEMENT INDEX 6.5

Plays that decided it

Ranked by |win probability added|
  1. 1Arizona
    Molette 32-yd fumble-return TD
    Lee Molette III 32 Yd Fumble Return (Michael Salgado-Medina Kick)
    Q1 5:03 · 2nd & 5 · 7–3 → 14–3 · −7.6 WVU EPA
    Q1 5:03 · 7–3 → 14–3 · −7.6 WVU EPA
    +.15
  2. 2Arizona
    Fifita 72-yd TD to Mizell
    (00:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 N.Fifita pass complete short middle to #17 I.Mizell caught at ARI30, for 72 yards to the WVU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:13, 1ST DOWN #19 M.Salgado-Medina kick attempt good (H: #34 C.Schwartz, LS: #43 D.Nicolson)
    Q3 0:21 · 3rd & 7 · 31–24 → 38–24 · +7.7 EPA
    Q3 0:21 · 31–24 → 38–24 · +7.7 EPA
    +.14
  3. 3Arizona
    Cook fumble, ARI recovers
    (00:56) No Huddle #4 C.Cook rush middle for 1 yard loss to the ARI03 fumbled by #4 C.Cook at ARI02 forced by #8 J.Cole recovered by ARI #6 T.Brown at ARI03, End Of Play
    Q2 0:56 · 2nd & Goal ARIZ 2 · −5.5 WVU EPA
    Q2 0:56 · 2nd & Goal ARIZ 2 · −5.5 WVU EPA
    +.14
  4. 4Arizona
    Craig 40-yd TD run
    (02:58) Shotgun #24 Q.Craig rush middle for 40 yards gain to the WVU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:52, 1ST DOWN #19 M.Salgado-Medina kick attempt good (H: #34 C.Schwartz, LS: #43 D.Nicolson)
    Q2 2:58 · 2nd & 10 · 17–17 → 24–17 · +4.5 EPA
    Q2 2:58 · 17–17 → 24–17 · +4.5 EPA
    +.13
  5. 5West Virginia
    Hawkins 3-yd TD run
    (13:02) Shotgun #3 M.Hawkins Jr. rush middle for 3 yards gain to the ARI00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:59 #42 J.Cassidy kick attempt good (H: #83 B.Hansen, LS: #38 M.Moss)
    Q2 13:02 · 1st & Goal · 14–3 → 14–10 · +1.2 EPA
    Q2 13:02 · 14–3 → 14–10 · +1.2 EPA
    −.12

Player EPA

Total · game

Play-by-play

Box score

Team box score, Arizona at West Virginia
StatARIZWVU
Total yards482522
Plays51104
Yards / play9.55.0
EPA / play+0.40−0.08
Success rate49%39%
Explosive plays1011
Havoc rate14%22%
3rd down3–89–19
Pts / opportunity4.092.82
Turnovers02
Time of possession24:1035:50
Postgame WE87%13%