

SCSouth Carolina
383-3 · 1-3 SECFINAL


FLAFlorida
194-2 · 2-2 SECSC +10.5 COVERUNDER 59.5MODEL EDGE MISS
PREGAME WP SC 25%→POSTGAME WE SC 85%
Ben Hill Griffin Stadium · 90,311- Postgame WE
- 85%SC · 10k sims
- How often this box score wins
- Offense EPA / play
- +0.25FLA −0.04
- Success rate
- 44%FLA 45%
- Turnovers
- 0–3≈ 12.7 pts swing
- vs model
- −19proj FLA by 11.0
- Plays · pace
- 144proj 141 · 25.0s
Win probability · full game
SC LOW 11% · Q1 5:34 · EXCITEMENT INDEX 5.0Plays that decided it
Ranked by |win probability added|
- 1

Sellers 35-yd pass to Harbor(09:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 L.Sellers pass complete short right to #8 N.Harbor caught at FLA47, for 35 yards to the FLA26 (#1 B.Thornton), 1ST DOWNQ3 9:23 · 3rd & 14 SC 39 · +4.7 EPAQ3 9:23 · 3rd & 14 SC 39 · +4.7 EPA+.18 - 2

Sellers 16-yd pass to Black(02:42) Shotgun #16 L.Sellers pass complete short left to #83 D.Black caught at FLA23, for 16 yards to the FLA11 (#1 B.Thornton), 1ST DOWNQ2 2:42 · 3rd & 11 FLA 27 · +2.3 EPAQ2 2:42 · 3rd & 11 FLA 27 · +2.3 EPA+.10 - 3

Philo 59-yd TD to Stockton(11:34) Shotgun #12 A.Philo pass complete short right to #3 B.Stockton caught at SC 40, for 59 yards to the SC 00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:25, 1ST DOWN #91 P.Durkin kick attempt good (H: #38 A.Clark, LS: #54 L.Anderson)Q1 11:34 · 3rd & 6 · 0–0 → 0–7 · +6.3 EPAQ1 11:34 · 0–0 → 0–7 · +6.3 EPA−.10 - 4

Philo fumble, SC recovers(13:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 A.Philo rush middle for 4 yards gain to the SC 13 fumbled by #12 A.Philo at SC 15 forced by #6 D.Stewart recovered by SC #7 S.Murphy at SC 13, End Of PlayQ4 13:09 · 2nd & 1 SC 17 · −5.5 FLA EPAQ4 13:09 · 2nd & 1 SC 17 · −5.5 FLA EPA+.10 - 5

Durkin 21-yd FG good(08:51) #91 P.Durkin field goal attempt from 21 yards GOOD (H: #38 A.Clark, LS: #54 L.Anderson), clock 08:50Q2 8:51 · 4th & Goal · 7–7 → 7–10 · 0.0 EPAQ2 8:51 · 7–7 → 7–10 · 0.0 EPA−.09
Player EPA
Total · game

LaNorris Sellers · QB23/35 · 279 YDS · 4 TD · 20 RUSH YDS · 1 RUSH TD+17.4
Bailey Stockton · WR8 REC · 127 YDS · 1 TD+9.7
Nyck Harbor · WR4 REC · 83 YDS · 1 TD+7.9
Dylan Stewart · EDGE1 SACK · 1 TFL · 2 FF · 5 TKL+7.1
Aaron Philo · QB21/28 · 227 YDS · 1 TD · 1 INT · 32 RUSH YDS−6.0

