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FINAL · SEC NETWORK · BEN HILL GRIFFIN STADIUM
SCSouth Carolina
383-3 · 1-3 SEC
38
FINAL
FLAFlorida
194-2 · 2-2 SEC
19
SC +10.5 COVERUNDER 59.5MODEL EDGE MISS
PREGAME WP SC 25%→POSTGAME WE SC 85%
Ben Hill Griffin Stadium · 90,311
Postgame WE
85%SC · 10k sims
How often this box score wins
Offense EPA / play
+0.25FLA −0.04
Success rate
44%FLA 45%
Turnovers
0–3≈ 12.7 pts swing
vs model
−19proj FLA by 11.0
Plays · pace
144proj 141 · 25.0s

Win probability · full game

SC LOW 11% · Q1 5:34 · EXCITEMENT INDEX 5.0

Plays that decided it

Ranked by |win probability added|
  1. 1South Carolina
    Sellers 35-yd pass to Harbor
    (09:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 L.Sellers pass complete short right to #8 N.Harbor caught at FLA47, for 35 yards to the FLA26 (#1 B.Thornton), 1ST DOWN
    Q3 9:23 · 3rd & 14 SC 39 · +4.7 EPA
    Q3 9:23 · 3rd & 14 SC 39 · +4.7 EPA
    +.18
  2. 2South Carolina
    Sellers 16-yd pass to Black
    (02:42) Shotgun #16 L.Sellers pass complete short left to #83 D.Black caught at FLA23, for 16 yards to the FLA11 (#1 B.Thornton), 1ST DOWN
    Q2 2:42 · 3rd & 11 FLA 27 · +2.3 EPA
    Q2 2:42 · 3rd & 11 FLA 27 · +2.3 EPA
    +.10
  3. 3Florida
    Philo 59-yd TD to Stockton
    (11:34) Shotgun #12 A.Philo pass complete short right to #3 B.Stockton caught at SC 40, for 59 yards to the SC 00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:25, 1ST DOWN #91 P.Durkin kick attempt good (H: #38 A.Clark, LS: #54 L.Anderson)
    Q1 11:34 · 3rd & 6 · 0–0 → 0–7 · +6.3 EPA
    Q1 11:34 · 0–0 → 0–7 · +6.3 EPA
    −.10
  4. 4South Carolina
    Philo fumble, SC recovers
    (13:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 A.Philo rush middle for 4 yards gain to the SC 13 fumbled by #12 A.Philo at SC 15 forced by #6 D.Stewart recovered by SC #7 S.Murphy at SC 13, End Of Play
    Q4 13:09 · 2nd & 1 SC 17 · −5.5 FLA EPA
    Q4 13:09 · 2nd & 1 SC 17 · −5.5 FLA EPA
    +.10
  5. 5Florida
    Durkin 21-yd FG good
    (08:51) #91 P.Durkin field goal attempt from 21 yards GOOD (H: #38 A.Clark, LS: #54 L.Anderson), clock 08:50
    Q2 8:51 · 4th & Goal · 7–7 → 7–10 · 0.0 EPA
    Q2 8:51 · 7–7 → 7–10 · 0.0 EPA
    −.09

Player EPA

Total · game