

M-OHMiami (OH)
203-3 · 1-1 MACFINAL


MASSMassachusetts
194-2 · 1-2 MACMASS +6 COVERUNDER 44.5MODEL EDGE HIT
PREGAME WP M-OH 48%→POSTGAME WE M-OH 50%
Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium · 13,887- Postgame WE
- 50%M-OH · 10k sims
- How often this box score wins
- Offense EPA / play
- −0.12MASS −0.11
- Success rate
- 34%MASS 37%
- Turnovers
- 0–1≈ 6.2 pts swing
- vs model
- −1proj MASS by 0.9
- Plays · pace
- 121proj 111 · 29.8s
Win probability · full game
M-OH LOW 54% · Q1 6:36 · EXCITEMENT INDEX 6.0Plays that decided it
Ranked by |win probability added|
- 1

Faulkner fumble, MIA recovers(03:42) Shotgun #23 E.Faulkner rush left for 0 yards to the UMass21 fumbled by #23 E.Faulkner at UMass19 recovered by MIA #43 G.Lyons at UMass21, End Of PlayQ3 3:42 · 2nd & 1 MASS 21 · −6.2 MASS EPAQ3 3:42 · 2nd & 1 MASS 21 · −6.2 MASS EPA+.18 - 2

Amobi sacks Heavner, −9(03:08) Shotgun #6 C.Heavner sacked for loss of 9 yards to the UMass37 (#26 C.Amobi)Q2 3:08 · 3rd & 10 MASS 28 · −2.5 M-OH EPAQ2 3:08 · 3rd & 10 MASS 28 · −2.5 M-OH EPA−.11 - 3

Inagawa 30-yd pass to Harding(01:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 L.Inagawa pass complete deep left to #2 T.Harding caught at UMass30, for 30 yards to the UMass33 (#24 M.Yharbrough), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNQ4 1:56 · 2nd & 16 MASS 3 · +1.6 EPAQ4 1:56 · 2nd & 16 MASS 3 · +1.6 EPA−.11 - 4

Scott R.Andrews sacks McCarthy, −9(07:34) Shotgun #13 A.McCarthy sacked for loss of 9 yards to the UMass06 (#20 Z.Scott, #92 R.Andrews)Q3 7:34 · 3rd & 3 MASS 15 · −2.9 MASS EPAQ3 7:34 · 3rd & 3 MASS 15 · −2.9 MASS EPA+.09 - 5

McCarthy 34-yd pass to Lewis(01:09) Shotgun #13 A.McCarthy pass complete deep left to #19 J.Lewis caught at MIA41, for 34 yards to the MIA41, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNQ1 1:09 · 1st & 10 MASS 25 · +3.0 EPAQ1 1:09 · 1st & 10 MASS 25 · +3.0 EPA−.09
Player EPA
Total · game

Jabari Lewis · WR5 REC · 89 YDS+6.4
Logan Inagawa · QB6/6 · 83 YDS · 1 TD · 0 INT · 1 SACK+5.9
Elijah Faulkner · RB8 CAR · 31 YDS · FUM−6.2
Aedan McCarthy · QB15/29 · 171 YDS · 0 INT · 2 SACKS−8.0
Caleb Heavner · QB6/20 · 95 YDS · 54 RUSH YDS · 1 RUSH TD · 2 SACKS−8.2
Play-by-play
Box score
| Stat | ||
|---|---|---|
| Total yards | 260 | 319 |
| Plays | 57 | 65 |
| Yards / play | 4.6 | 4.9 |
| EPA / play | −0.12 | −0.11 |
| Success rate | 34% | 37% |
| Explosive plays | 6 | 8 |
| Havoc rate | 17% | 16% |
| 3rd down | 3–13 | 4–15 |
| Pts / opportunity | 2.22 | 2.71 |
| Turnovers | 0 | 1 |
| Time of possession | 29:18 | 30:42 |
| Postgame WE | 50% | 50% |

